…how worried should Canadians be!
Canadians have been gobbling up US Real Estate and are a now 2nd in dollar value to China and number 1 in units. And the gap between the US and Canada on Trade might not be as bad as previously thought and consumers will benefit.
For the last month Mike’s been warning of higher rates. Well now it’s happened but who are the winners and losers.
The markets are beginning to react to the hints coming from Central Banks around the world that interest rates are going to rise. Right now 90% of analysts think that Stephen Poloz, the current Governor of the Bank of Canada will raise rates this fall. Rate increases that will change the investment landscape across the board. Possibly the only factor that will hold back a rise in Canadian rates would be another significant fall in oil prices.
Despite OPEC still talking about producton cuts which had Oil in the fities in April, Oil breaks below $43 today setting up big problems for Canada’s economy and its deficits. The main driiving force behine the drop in Oil is how easily American frackers have been in ramping up their production and lowering their costs. Meanwhile the “rest of the world” has been very slow to embrace fracking, but when they do it seems inevitable that they are going to add to the low cost supply of oil. Amateur hour is over with UBER’s CEO resigning with their stock trading at a value of 68-70 Billion dollars. Mike describes UBER’s pioneering and dynamic new “Family Program”. Sears, another of the great traditional retailers is preoaring to file for bankruptcy potentially throwing 16 thousand out of work while Amazon continues to expand.
….also from Michael: Financially Illiterate Graduates a Political Boon
The Fed moved interest rates higher today putting pressure on Canada to raise rates. With BOC Stephen Poloz saying low rates “have done their job”, and with Canadian growth outperforming the US recently it looks like higher rates are coming to Canada too. Will it be 1/4 of a percent, 1/2%….? Despite lower Oil it’s significant the Canadian dollar is rallying. The ancient Canadian retail giant Hudsons Bay has doubts its can survive with the move towards internet purchasing. That big trend is forcing the mall in your neighborhood to change, Michael describes what some of the successful are doing in the US.
….also from Michael: Hockey & Economics 101
With the testimony of FBI Director James Comey tomorrow, Donald Trump’s tax and infrastructure program is on the hotseat putting the Trump rally at risk. As this drama unfolds the markets are also on high alert for the results of the British Election which has ramifications throughout Europe.