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Martin Armstrong: Why The Fed Risks are Nonsense PDF Print E-mail
Written by Martin Armstrong: Armstrong Economics   
Friday, 24 May 2013 01:44

Martin Armstrong's perspective fascinated so many at last night's Emergency Gold Summit, as you can tell from this sent to Martin:

Thank you. Your insight into how everything is connected has saved me a fortune. I cannot tell you how many people showed up tonight simply to hear you. As the moderator said, you have the best track record of anyone. Your insight into the world is amazing. I understand what you said tonight as so many were talking about your speech walking out. It will be the markets that force political change. You have thousands of followers here in Vancouver. You should know that.

Thanks for everything you are doing.

 R…S,,,

Martin's Answer to R…S,,,

Thank you. It is nice to see the understanding of the world economy is growing. I believe to create political change that will preserve our liberty, it requires the public to grasp the world is all connected. If we can accomplish that, we have a chance at leaving our children and their’s a better life rather than a dismal one. I have been speaking in Vancouver for 30 years. It has always been one of my favorite spots in North America.

An example of Martin's thinking that he posted in this on his blog last night:

Why The Fed Risks are Nonsense

imagesAll we have heard is about the hyperinflation is all based on the idea that the Fed has increased the money supply. I have warned that the dollar has become the new world currency. The German elections in September are not looking good. Let’s just step back a second and look at the issue without bias. The real risk of the Fed is perhaps a half-trillion loss that is less than 3% of GDP. We have the Bank of England buying nearly 100% at times of government new debt compared to 60% at the Fed. The Fed has simply a theoretical inflation risk. However, what is the risk at the ECB and Bundesbank? The risk there is the collapse of the Eurozone that ends in the split of the union. The whole issue of the ECB saying that depositors will have to bailout the banks is because they cannot reach agreement of who will pay for what. Germany is not about to pay for a bailout of Spanish banks. So the only solution is that the depositors of the troubled bank will have to suffer the loss. That is the “fair” way of doing this with of course those with more than a €100,000 euro will pay most of the cost.

In this case the Bundesbank, that sits on €700 billion of peripheral euro (debt) assets of member states. If these assets were shaved by 30%, the currency devaluation for such assets would be about 5% of the German GDP.  Clearly, the risks of a catastrophic collapse exists in Europe on a major scale. No such risk exists at the Fed.

The Swiss government holds assets of €350 billion in  foreign currency reserves. A 20% franc revaluation to EUR/CHF parity would give them a loss of €70 billion that would amount to 15% of Swiss GDP. The risk for the Swiss is trying to prevent the Swiss from rising against the Euro and that risk in the result of the peg. The Swiss are intentionally buying Euro to keep their currency down. The peg is a loss that could be devastating. They are trying to diversify in turn selling the Euro for other currencies including A$ and C$ along with the US$ of course..

The dollar is the only game in town. If the German elections turn bad, look out come September.

Ed Note: To order the entire Video Presentation of the Emergency Gold Summit including Martin Armstrong's presentation click below HERE

Mike Campbell: Martin Armstrong has been clear for the last two years that while the market would dictate ultimate price action - the trend remained down. His models warned that gold was not the place to be until late 2015 at the earliest. He has written consistently that the majority of gold analysts don’t understand the factors that move gold. Over the years I have learned to pay attention when Marty speaks.

 

That’s why personally, I wanted him to answer the questions above and the video includes that Q&A with Marty at the Emergency Gold Summit.

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Greg Weldon Analyses Bernanke Impact on Markets PDF Print E-mail
Written by Greg Weldon: Money Monitor   
Thursday, 23 May 2013 16:34

Interest Rates - Greg Weldon Analyses Bernanke & The Fed's Congressional Testimony as it relates. Go to the 5:37 mark for the beginning of Greg's presentation. The 7:35 Mark for Greg's comments on where & when they intend to get short the Bond Market.

 Ed Note: With Michael's Emergency Gold Summit occurring tonight and Precious Metal stocks grinding around  the attendee's and 

Ed Note: With metal mining stocks grinding around, names are what you need for investing/speculating. Gregory Weldon's daily TrendTRAKr is brilliant for isolating Equities & ETF's in all phases of trending, trend strengthening, trend weakening &  end of trend . You can get a 30 Day FREE TRIAL of this $1,200 service HERE, or outright register HERE.

 

Screen shot 2013-05-23 at 4.37.42 PM

 

 

 

 

 
Russell & Rogers on The Current Situation PDF Print E-mail
Written by Richard Russell & Jim Rogers   
Thursday, 23 May 2013 08:11

With S&P 500 is hitting new highs, and gold and silver are sitting roughly at two-year lows, it's ususally good to listen to what these two old guy's have to say: 

 

Richard Russell- Gold is the Safest CurrencyRichard Russell on May 17, 2013:

“The CPI is manipulated, and I believe gold is being manipulated as well. The Fed’s QE4ever is inflating everything — school tuition, haircuts, food, gas, insurance, medicine. They’ve already “rearranged” the CPI, so what’s left for them to do to keep us from knowing about inflation? Oh yes, it’s gold, so c’mon, Bernanke, keep the lid on gold. Slam it in after-market trading in the thin paper-gold markets of the night.

I promise you, when the true forces of inflation finally break loose, the Fed won’t be able to disguise what they’ve wrought. When the true forces break out — it will be a national disgrace and an emergency. ‘Then you will know the truth, and the truth will set you free.’ The rest of this year should be something to behold.”

jim-rogers-333-300x250Jim Rogers to MoneyNews on May 19, 2013:

“Right now, we have a very artificial situation. You have the central bank in America printing staggering amounts of money,” he tells Newsmax TV in an exclusive interview.

“There’s this gigantic artificial flow of money floating into our economy, and this is going to end badly because it is artificial.”

“It seems that Mr. Bernanke may be leaving in a few months,” Rogers says. “I guess he wants to get out before he has to deal with the hangover or the aftermath.” Bernanke’s term ends Jan. 31, 2014, and the consensus opinion is that he doesn’t want to serve another.

But as far as the Fed’s easing tactics are concerned, Rogers doesn’t see a smooth conclusion on the horizon.

“I don’t know how long it will last,” Rogers says. “I don’t see how it can last much more beyond this year.”

 
 
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22 May 2013

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