Economists to Miss the Next Financial Crisis

03/15/10 Mumbai, India – Beware the Ides of March…and the rest of the year too!

This is the day Caesar was assassinated. What’s it to us?

Well, it just reminds us that things go wrong. Even when you’re on top of the world. There are always countercurrents…undercurrents, beneath the surface, where you don’t see them…plots…conspiracies…and just bad luck.

On the surface, the US economy is recovering. Well, not even. It is stabilizing.

The Dow has been creeping up. It rose 12 points on Friday. Gold fell $6. Oil held at $81.

The most recent figures show the consumer becoming a little freer with his money. But look beneath the surface and you find government statisticians juking and jiving with the numbers. They seasonally adjusted downward the figures for January…which boosted the figures for February. Had they not done so, the figures for February would have been negative!

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