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Bill Gross: Show Me The Money

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Posted by Holly LaFon via GuruFocus.com

on Friday, 10 March 2017 06:29

Money Dollars InvestThe latest Investment Outlook from Janus Capital's Bill Gross

"School days" inexorably continue at the Gross household, not just because of grandchildren, but because of the necessity to teach my own kids the complexities and pitfalls of investing. As I get older, I fear I may unduly introduce them to a 1930s Will Rogers warning about losing money: "I'm not so much concerned about the return on my money," he wrote, "but the return of my money." "Don't lose it" is my first and most important conceptual lesson for them despite the Trump bull market and the current "animal spirits" that encourage risk, as opposed to the preservation of capital.

Recently I also explored with them the concept of financial leverage -.....continue reading HERE

....also: 

Killing Cancer One Gene at a Time



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Wealth Building Strategies

Marc Faber – The Risk of Global Collapse, Economic Collapse & Financial Crisis is Rising

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Posted by Marc Faber via Liberty Talk Radio

on Wednesday, 08 March 2017 18:38

This unprecedented monetary experiment as in the last 5000 to 6000 years interest rates have never been this low. There's never been negative interest rates and it is clear that one day the bond market will react negatively. But it is not crystal clear......continue listening to the interview below:

....related: Faber Warns: Beware a Stock Market ‘Avalanche’

King-World-News-Marc-Faber-Governments-To-Seize-Peoples-Gold-864x400 c



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Wealth Building Strategies

Could Trump’s economic Policies Propel Hated Stock Market Bull even Higher

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Posted by Sol Palha - Tactical Investor

on Monday, 27 February 2017 09:12

solI add this, that rational ability without education has more often raised a man to glory and virtue, than education without natural ability.  Marcus T. Cicero

Before we get into the meat of this article, we would like to state at the onset that this article is not politically orientated.  This election has probably been more divisive than any other election in U.S history. There are those who love Trump and those who detest him. Our views are based on market trends and not politics. Before the election results came in, we went on record to state that a Trump win would from an investing perspective prove to be a great buying opportunity and the masses would panic and dump their shares. We took the same stance on Brexit, and as they say, the rest is history.

From a contrarian angle (and not a political point of view) a Trump win could be construed as a positive development; non-contrarians will demand to know why? Mass Psychology clearly states that the masses are always on the wrong side of the equation.  A Trump win will create uncertainty, and the lemmings will flee for the exits; markets will pull back sharply and viola the same old cycle will come into play.  The cycle of selling based on fear which equates to opportunity for those who refuse to allow their emotions to do the talking. Tactical Investor

Trump’s agenda is in some aspects strikingly similar to that of Ronald Regan’s who was known for his pro-growth policies.  When Regan took office, unemployment was in the 7.5% ranges by the time he left office it had dropped down to 5.4%. GDP growth surged and averaged 3.8% per year.  Inflation was brought down to 3.7% and averaged 4.4% during his eight-year reign.  

Regan’s massive tax cuts contributed to exponential growth. He cut taxes from 70% to 28% for the top income tax rate, and reduced corporate taxes from 48% to 34%.  This iswhat probably helped drive the SPX 400% higher over the past 30 years, and these policies continue to drive the market higher.  Trump is seeking to lower corporate taxes from 35% to 15% and has aspirations to reduce taxes for the average American. He also wants to embark on a massive infrastructure restoration plan, which if implemented should create thousands upon thousand of jobs. 

Traits that Trump shares with Regan 

  • Both were outsiders 
  • Both were TV personalities; the only difference being that Trump is both a television personality and a businessman 
  • Both were ridiculed by the press and were mostly written off from having any chance at a win 
  • They both made promises to make America great 

So how is Trump’s economy faring?

Well, by looking at the stock market, the outlook appears to be pretty good.  The Dow has had Ten winning days in a row and is now up roughly 5% for the year.  The markets are forward looking beasts so they appear to be viewing Trump’s economic agenda through a bullish lens. However,  everyone is getting excited over this market, which might not be such a good thing in the short term, but that is a story for another day. 

Corporations and Wall Street are drooling over the prospect of less regulation and lower taxes and judging by Trump’s recent actions; he looks set to deliver on many of his campaign promises.  There is a massive pile of money sitting overseas that corporations would repatriate in a heartbeat under the right conditions.  Some estimates put the amount of cash sitting overseas at $2.5 trillion. Trump could soon provide them with that opportunity, and this money among many other things could be used to fund massiveshare buybacks which will only help propel these stocks higher.  Among the biggest benefactors from a lower corporate tax rate would be GE, AAPL, and MSFT.

Under Regan the stock market soared, unemployment levels dropped, and GDP growth rates rose significantly. If Trump takes a similar path, then the outlook for the stock market going forward could be quite favourable.  However, one should always defer to Mass Psychology; if the crowd turns euphoric than caution is warranted. The time to jump in head first was in Nov of 2015, Jan of 2016 and before Trump won the elections.   As the trend is still up, sharp pullbacks have to viewed through a bullish lens. The crowd is not euphoric, but the markets are extremely overbought, so prudence is justified over the short term. Investors should consider waiting for the market to let out a nice dose of steam before jumping in. 

A genius can't be forced; nor can you make an ape an alderman.

Thomas Somerville

....also: Bob Hoye: Radio Free America & Market Analysis



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Wealth Building Strategies

Killing Cancer One Gene at a Time

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Posted by Jon Markman - Money and Markets

on Tuesday, 21 February 2017 06:31

You probably haven’t heard about precision medicine. That’s fine, it wasn’t even possible ten years ago.

But now we’re entering the new Gilded Age — and suddenly researchers are using it to fight many deadly diseases, including brain cancer in kids.

Scientists at Dana Farber, a Harvard-affiliated research group, and the Boston Children’s Blood Disorders and Cancer Center, recently sequenced tumor samples from 200 children with brain cancer, Forbes reported.

Screen Shot 2017-02-21 at 6.33.06 AMWhat they found was astounding: More than half the children exhibited genetic abnormalities that could influence how the disease was treated.

“The reason we did this trial was that brain tumors are a leading cause of death in children, and the treatments that we and everyone else use are decades old – radiation and chemo,” writes Pratiti Bandopadhayay, a pediatric neuro-oncologist at Dana-Farber/Boston Children’s in the medical journal Neuro-Oncology. “Our approach to try to improve on that is to target the individual tumors of each child.”

That’s the key. Precision medicine promises to change health sciences by using data analytics and what we know about ourselves to tailor personal therapies and treatments.

In this way, precision medicine is the perfect symbol of the New Gilded Age. It grew out of the awesome advances in cloud computing. It touched medicine and changed what researchers thought to be possible. Without that, neither genome sequencing nor bespoke drug discovery would be possible. Certainly it would not have been possible for doctors to dream about developing treatments based on the patient’s individual biology.

In theory, it all seems simple enough, even logical. Getting to this point has been a bit more complex.



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Want To Find The Opportunities? Follow The Sentiment

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Posted by Frank Holmes - US Global Investors

on Friday, 17 February 2017 08:48

holmes021617-1On Monday I had the opportunity to attend a conference at Goldman Sachs’ Dallas office. Among the dozens of money managers and investors who attended, a combined $1 trillion in assets was represented. The speakers were numerous, from famed economist Jan Hatzius, Goldman’s head of global economics, to Jeff Currie, global head of commodities research. Everyone was exceedingly smart and articulate, and I left the conference feeling recharged with much to think about.

One of the most fascinating takeaways was Goldman’s increased use of sentiment analysis tools. Basically what this means is sophisticated software trawls the internet in real time for public attitudes and opinions on companies, products, sectors, industries, countries—you name it. Sources can include press releases, news stories, earnings calls, blogs, social media and more. All of this data is gathered and analyzed, giving quants and other highly sophisticated investors a better idea of where tomorrow’s opportunities lie.

We have experience gauging sentiment using platforms designed by Meltwater and ScribbleLive, and I was pleased to see our efforts validated.

Goldman’s preferred system is Stanford’s CoreNLP, which is able to break down and analyze sentences in a number of different ways (and different languages to boot). Below is just a sampling of what the process looks like.   



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