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Prepare for Turbulence

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Posted by John Mauldin - Mauldin Economics

on Monday, 10 July 2017 08:04

170709-01Prepare for Turbulence

Afraid of the Truth
We Couldn’t Take the Chance
Policy Brick Wall
Least-Bad at Best
Getting Out of Dodge
Global Contagion
Barefoot on the Beach

“The job of the central bank is to worry.”

– Alice Rivlin

“The central bank needs to be able to make policy without short-term political concerns.”

– Ben Bernanke                                                                                                          Photo: Monica Muller via Flickr

“… from the standpoint of the overall economy, my bottom line is we’re watching it closely but it appears to be contained.

– Ben Bernanke, repeatedly, in 2007

“Would I say there will never, ever be another financial crisis? You know, probably that would be going too far, but I do think we’re much safer, and I hope that it will not be in our lifetimes, and I don’t believe it will be.”

– Janet Yellen, June 27, 2017

“My good friends, for the second time in our history, a British Prime Minister has returned from Germany bringing peace with honor. I believe it is ‘peace for our time.’ Go home and get a nice quiet sleep.”

– Neville Chamberlain, September 30, 1938

The way we assess problems depends on our perspective. People can look at the same set of facts and reach quite different conclusions based simply on their circumstances. This is why it’s good at times to get away from your normal environment. Listen to a wide variety of opinions. Read books outside of your comfort zone. You’ll see things differently when you return.



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Wealth Building Strategies

People Should Know When They’re Conquered

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Posted by The 10th Man - Mauldin Economics

on Thursday, 06 July 2017 07:40

wo weeks ago, I took a shot and called the top of the stock market. If you are a newsletter writer and you aren’t trying to call major turns in the market, you are not really doing your job.

If you missed that issue, I suggest you go back and take a look at it. My argument is that speculation is getting out of control. And not just on stocks—on bitcoin, comic books, all kinds of stuff.

When you have one bubble, you usually have others, concurrently.

But the one that people are most focused on is the bubble (if you want to call it that) involving Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, and Google. Throw in Apple and Tesla for good measure, and maybe a few more.

A handful of tech stocks have gone bananas. So, let’s do some basic blocking and tackling.

I actually spend almost no time on charts in The 10th Man, but I think technical analysis is really important. The quality of the analysis often depends on the abilities of the analyst, and one of the best is Frank Cappelleri at Instinet.

He has pointed out that on a short-term basis, the NDX (which largely tracks large-cap tech stocks) has formed a head-and-shoulders top and is breaking trend.

Chart 1 20170706 10th
Source: Instinet

This is the first real weakness we’ve seen in tech in a really long time…

Though Frank is quick to point out that on a longer time horizon, the trend is still firmly intact:



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Wealth Building Strategies

The Opioid Abuse Epidemic: What's The Investment Angle?

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Posted by Seeking Alpha

on Tuesday, 27 June 2017 06:53

drugsSummary

The opioid abuse epidemic is destroying American lives, families and the fabric of American communities.

The action taken to address the crisis by socio-political-legal means has placed both pain patients and companies at risk of sanctions.

There are companies engaged in the development of abuse-deterrent opioids that can not only help reduce the abuse potential but also offer an opportunity for the informed investor.

The Opioid Abuse Epidemic is real and in an attempt to ameliorate the crisis, whether well-meaning or self-serving, doctors are reducing patient access to pain drugs. The evidence makes it clear that those actions are doing harm to millions of Americans who were on long-term opioids. As a result, some are seeking to buy their drugs on the black-market, risking overdose, and others have committed suicide when unable to stem the pain.

...continue reading HERE

....also from Seeking Alpha:

Dollar Turns Positive Despite Downbeat Economic Data

 

 



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Wealth Building Strategies

Marc Faber Believes in a Possible U S Stock Market Bubble in 2017

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Posted by Marc Faber - Gloom Boom & Doom Report

on Thursday, 22 June 2017 15:15

 

Faber 's typically controversial and contrarian views have earned him the label of Dr. Doom, though even his harshest critics must admit that he's been unerringly correct in his market forecasts over the past three decades. He also trades currencies and commodity futures like Gold, Natural Gas and Crude Oil. 

King-World-News-Marc-Faber-Unveils-The-Biggest-Surprise-For-2015-And-The-Greatest-Danger-Facing-The-World-Today



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Wealth Building Strategies

10 Steps to More Cash Flow

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Posted by Eamonn Percy - The Percy Group

on Wednesday, 21 June 2017 10:42

Cash-FlowConcrete steps you can take today to improve your cash flow tomorrow!

“Business opportunities are like buses, there is always another one coming.” – Richard Branson
 

Step 1. Know your numbers. 

The best business leaders are able to describe their business, market and future plans, numerically. Exceptional growth comes from the precise understanding of all aspects of your business, including key metrics (e.g. sales funnel health, CAGR, and gross margins) and the status of current resources such as cash.  I am not suggesting you lack emotion or passion, but rather complement it with objectivity.

Step 2. Embrace low cash growth strategies.

Often a company in growth mode will get a rude awakening when the sales plan actually succeeds, only to discover cash consumption, for working capital, can vastly outstrip cash generation.  One of the better problems to have, but don’t let it become fatal. Build low cash growth strategies upfront such as: non-core outsourcing, well negotiated deal terms, low cost technology platforms, and scalable, multi-channel business models

Step 3. Maintain control of your financial systems at all times.



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