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Economic Outlook

Protests from USA to Russia


Posted by Martin Armstrong - Armstrong Economics

on Tuesday, 28 March 2017 07:42

California-Trump-Supporter-hit-by-Obama-Supporter-March-2017-768x418Civil Unrest is rising around the world. In the USA, demonstrations have been organized to support Donald Trump in a counter-demonstration move against the Obama/Soros uprising. In Los Angeles, Trump supporters were confronted by opponents of Trump and the two groups ended in violence. The Obama/Soros supporters were partially traditionally masked.

The Trump supporters were trying to organize marches in about 40 US cities for Sunday. However, many cities were denying the Trump supporters the right to even assemble. In Philadelphia, the police stopped such an event they alleged for safety, as the news page Philly.com reported.

....continue reading HERE

...also from Martin:

ECB under Pressure to Reverse Direction



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Asset protection

Brexit: It’s Now Reality


Posted by Mike Burnick via The Edelson Wave

on Tuesday, 28 March 2017 07:37

Screen Shot 2017-03-28 at 7.12.31 AMIt’s been nine months since Britain stunned the world by voting to leave the European Union.

After decades of accepting the European Union’s burdensome regulations – one after another – the British people finally said enough is enough.

Now, the EU’s days of stifling the economic growth of Britain – and other countries that joined the union but not the currency – are finally coming to an end.

Last week, Britain moved one step closer to taking back its sovereignty, and escaping the burdensome regulations of the EU, when it was announced that Prime Minister Theresa May plans to invoke Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty on Wednesday, March 29.

Article 50 is the mechanism for quitting the European Union, thus launching a chess match: Pitting the U.K.’s desire for a trade deal – while regaining power over immigration and lawmaking – against the EU’s view that Britain must not benefit from Brexit.

Britain is the world’s sixth-largest economy, and it’s been more than 40 years since the U.K. joined the European Union. So this separation won’t be a piece of cake.

In fact, the U.K. will have to pay a bill of about $62 billion when it leaves the European Union, warned Jean-Claude Juncker, the president of the European Commission, the EU’s executive branch. While Britain prepares to start Brexit negotiations, the EU has already been tallying the U.K.’s share of liabilities such as pensions for EU officials, infrastructure projects, and the bailout of Ireland.

I don’t know about you, but $62 billion is a heck of a divorce settlement!

Once Article 50 is invoked, the two sides have two years to come to terms on a trade deal.

And a lot can happen in two years.

In fact, if the negotiations collapse, May says she’ll walk away without a new commercial framework in place rather than accept a bad deal. All this makes the likelihood of a disruptive breakup “troublingly high.”

Brexit is just the beginning



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Timing & trends

What’s next for the Dollar, Gold & Stocks?


Posted by Merk's Insights

on Tuesday, 28 March 2017 07:29

Two rate hikes since last year have weakened the dollar. Why is that, and what’s ahead for dollar, currencies & gold? And while we are at it, we’ll chime in on what may be in store for the stock market...

2017-03-17-markets

Stocks...
The chart above shows the S&P 500, the price of gold and the U.S. dollar index since the beginning of 2016. The year 2016 started with a rout in the equity markets which was soon forgotten, allowing the multi-year bull market to continue. After last November’s election we have had the onset of what some refer to as the Trump rally. Volatility in the stock market has come down to what may be historic lows. Of late, many trading days appear to start on a down note, although late day rallies (possibly due to retail money flowing into index funds) are quite common. 

Where do stocks go from here?..

....continue reading about Stocks, Bonds, Currencies & Gold HERE

..also:

Two Trends That Will Force The Fed To Start Buying Stocks



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Gold & Precious Metals

Gold Price Rally Acceleration In Play


Posted by Stewart Thomson - Graceland Updates

on Tuesday, 28 March 2017 07:27

Mar 28, 2017

  1. I’ve referred to the price action of gold in 2017 as the “Uptrend of Champions”. 
  2. Please  click here now. Double-click to enlarge.
  3. A short term pause here in the $1255 - $1270 area is likely. A pullback would only add to the already-positive look of the chart, and open the door for a powerful rally to $1315.
  4. To understand why a pullback would only add to the solid technical set-up, please  click here now. Double-click to enlarge.
  5. A pullback from the current price area would create a nice inverse bull head and shoulders continuation pattern within the uptrend channel. That pattern would mathematically target the $1343 area highs where gold traded on the night of Donald Trump’s election.


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Stocks & Equities

Two Trends That Will Force The Fed To Start Buying Stocks


Posted by John Rubino - DollarCollapse.com

on Monday, 27 March 2017 09:41

While the Japanese and Swiss central banks have turned themselves into hedge funds by loading up on equities, the US Fed has stuck to supporting the stock market indirectly, by buying bonds. It's worked, obviously, with all major US indexes at record highs. But it won't work going forward, thanks to two gathering trends.

First, the main way bond buying supports equities is by lowering interest rates which, among other things, allows corporations to borrow cheaply and use the proceeds to buy back their own stock. Companies avoid paying dividends on the repurchased stock and the government gets capital gains tax revenue from a bull market. From a short-sighted Keynesian perspective, it's a win-win.

Alas, this New Age public/private partnership on running out of steam. Interest rates have fallen about as far as they can fall and corporations have borrowed about as much as they can borrow. So the buyback binge is topping:

Share Buybacks Sink For Second Straight Year

(Forbes) – According to S&P Dow Jones Indices, companies of the S&P 500 index in the fourth quarter pulled back on their share repurchases by 7.2% from the fourth quarter 2015, although they accelerated 20.6% sequentially.

Companies spent $135.3 billion buying back their shares during the fourth quarter, compared to $112.2 billion from the third quarter and $145.9 billion in the fourth quarter 2015. For the full year, they spent $536.4 billion on buybacks, a decline from $546.4 billion in 2015 and $553.3 billion in 2014 – the first time the index saw two consecutive years of declines since the financial crisis era or 2008 and 2009.

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Notes from Michael - Mar 28th

Income stocks from Aaron Dunn 1) Brookfield Infrastruture Fund (BIP.UN) First recommended in 2011 but still a BUY based on similar cash...

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