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Timing & trends

Eastern Europe & World War III


Posted by Martin Armstrong - Armstrong Economics

on Wednesday, 08 February 2017 06:18

Romania-Protest-Feb-2017Europe could become the site of a new global war in the East as tensions build there against refugees and the economic decline fosters old wounds. The EU is deeply divided over the refugee issue and thus it is fueling its own demise and has failed to be a stabilizing force. After five days of demonstrations, Romania’s month-old government backed down and withdrew a decree that had decriminalized some corruption offenses. They were still acting like typical politicians and looking to line their pockets. After one month, the people have been rising up saying “We can’t trust this new government.”

....continue reading HERE

....also from Martin:

Stock Market Bubble Still to Come



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Real Estate

Canada 6-City Housing Prices Slide Off Their Highs


Posted by Brian Ripley's Canadian Real Estate Charts

on Tuesday, 07 February 2017 11:23

chart-canada 1 orig

CLICK CHART TO ENLARGE

The chart above shows the average detached housing prices for Vancouver*, Calgary, Edmonton, Toronto*, Ottawa* and Montréal* (the six Canadian cities with over a million people each) as well as the average of the sum of VancouverCalgary and Toronto condo (apartment) prices on the left axis. ​On the right axis is the seasonally adjusted annualized rate (SAAR) of MLS® Residential Sales across Canada (one month lag).

​​In January 2017 Canada's big city metro SFD prices coiled about or slid off their near term highs except in Toronto where detached houses and town houses fetched new peak prices. Anyone owning a house in the scorching hot Toronto  market is sitting on an unredeemed lottery ticket. In Vancouver scorched earth ruins are beginning to appear. Notice Calgary prices are labouring under the new Energy Sector 2.0 which could be anticipating the Trumpster's U.S. energy independence.

....continue reading HERE

....related: The Canadian Real Estate Plunge-O-Meter (The Plunge-O-Meter tracks the dollar and percentage losses from the peak and projects when prices might find support.)



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Timing & trends

Investors Shift Back into Gold as Trump’s Honeymoon Period Ends


Posted by Frank Holmes - US Global Investors

on Tuesday, 07 February 2017 08:10

COMM-gold-02032017

That didn’t take long.

After little more than two weeks, President Donald Trump’s honeymoon with Wall Street appears to have been put on hold—for the moment, at least—with major indices making only tepid moves since his January 20 inauguration. That includes the small-cap Russell 2000 Index, which surged in the days following Election Day on hopes that Trump’s pledge to roll back regulations and lower corporate taxes would benefit domestic small businesses the most.

Is Trump's Honeymoon with Wall Street Over Already?

click to enlarge



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Gold & Precious Metals

A Global Money Printing Competition


Posted by Stewart Thomson - Graceland Updates

on Tuesday, 07 February 2017 06:57

Feb 7, 2017

  1. With each passing day, both the technical price action and the news flow are getting more positive for gold.
  2. Double-click to enlarge this daily bars gold chart.2017feb7gold1
  3. Another great week for the world’s ultimate asset is clearly underway. A beautiful technical uptrend is now in play.
  4. Gold has also surged through resistance at $1220 and is making a beeline towards my $1250 target zone.
  5. Please  click here now. Double-click to enlarge. The US dollar has broken down from a substantial head and shoulders top formation against the Swiss franc.
  6. A small rally back towards the neckline of the pattern is likely, but the overall technical picture for the dollar is very negative.


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Asset protection

The Danger of Being Bearish in a Bull Market


Posted by Cliff Droke - Financial Sense

on Tuesday, 07 February 2017 06:44

One of the biggest contributors to losses for traders in the financial market is the temptation to sell short. Borrowing shares of a company that are not owned by the seller in the hopes of making a massive profit has shipwrecked more traders than probably any other factor. With stories abounding of the quick and easy profits to be made in selling stocks which are supposedly on the verge of plummeting, it's no wonder that the allure of "shorting" is so irresistible to so many.

Selling short is a simple enough proposition: place a short sale order with your broker for a company whose shares you believe are overvalued or technically "overbought". Then just sit back and wait for the profits to start rolling in. If only it were that easy! The trouble with selling short is that in most cases the odds are against the short seller. This is due to a number of factors, some of which we'll examine here.

Perhaps the biggest risk for short sellers is the crowded short trade. A high-profile example of what happens when too many traders pile into a single stock on the short side occurred recently – a cautionary tale if ever there was one. It involved the loss of one man's entire fortune due to a misguided attempt at selling short one of the most widely traded U.S.-listed stocks.  It's a textbook case of what can go wrong when attempting one of the most dangerous of all trading maneuvers.

According to MarketWatch, Canadian investor F.S. Comeau bet his last $249,000 against Apple Inc.(AAPL) in an attempt to reclaim $2.5 million lost in poor investments. At the time of the trade, shares were valued around $122, and MarketWatch reported that an increase of just $6 would deplete Comeau's savings.

Apple shares screamed higher last week when the tech giant released an impressive Q1 earnings report and Comeau lost substantially. As of this writing, AAPL shares had risen to a 52-week high of $130.50.

43644



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