Real Estate

Canada 6-City Housing Prices & the Plunge-O-Meter

Posted by Brian Ripley's Canadian Real Estate Charts

on Wednesday, 26 April 2017 07:07

chart-canada 3 orig-1

larger chart

In March 2017 Canada's big city metro SFD prices coiled about or slid off their near term highs except in Toronto where detached houses, town houses and condos fetched new peak prices; Vancouver strata prices also hit new highs as well. Strata is the new Canadian "can-do" "must-do" "will-do" affordability metric.

Anyone owning a house in the scorching hot Toronto  market is sitting on an unredeemed lottery ticket. In Vancouver scorched earth ruins are beginning to appear. In Calgary prices are labouring under the new Energy Sector 2.0 as the oil majors head for blacker fields; big money is fleeing Canada (and has been for nearly 20 years) and on the street, Calgary buyers are shunning strata units in favour of detached properties. 

...read more HERE

The Plunge-O-Meter is a fantasy model based simply on the current snapshot of how much of the correction has already occurred and if the rate of change continues at the same tempo. 



Real Estate

The Housing Bubble Is Back

Posted by John Rubino - DollarCollapse.com

on Wednesday, 26 April 2017 06:59

Last week I ran into a friend whom I’d been worrying about. He’s a real estate appraiser and his work had been drying up as interest rates rose and homeowners stopped refinancing their mortgages. 

But now he’s back to being happily swamped because instead of refinancing, everyone is buying — often, he says, for above the asking price. 

A couple of days later my wife and I were at a slide show put on by friends just back from New Zealand. They’d heard that a neighbor was thinking about selling his house and on an impulse made him an offer. He accepted, and our friends became instant homeowners. 

The very next day my wife’s father called to say that the company running a gas station next to his house wants to expand in his direction. They made him an unsolicited – and very generous — offer, which he accepted. 

Then, I did an interview with Gordon T. Long’s Macro Analytics website in which Gordon told the following story: 

My brother just sold one of his properties in Toronto [Ontario]. He had bidding war with 11 bidders so he demanded cash. Several of the Chinese buyers were on the phone overnight raising the money, which they got. My brother’s still partying after that sale. 

It definitely feels like the housing bubble is back. Here’s part of a (factual rather than anecdotal) overview of the subject from Charles Hugh Smith:

Housing’s Echo Bubble Now Exceeds the 2006-07 Bubble Peak

If you need some evidence that the echo-bubble in housing is global, take a look at this chart of Sweden’s housing bubble.

A funny thing often occurs after a mania-fueled asset bubble pops: an echo-bubble inflates a few years later, as monetary authorities and all the institutions that depend on rising asset valuations go all-in to reflate the crushed asset class.

Take a quick look at the Case-Shiller Home Price Index charts for San Francisco, Seattle and Portland, OR. Each now exceeds its previous Housing Bubble #1 peak:




Gold & Precious Metals

Frank Holmes Exclusive: Gold Could Hit $1,500 in 2017 Amid Imbalances And Weak Supply

Posted by Frank Holmes via MoneyMetals.com

on Wednesday, 26 April 2017 06:55

youtube-thumbnail-frankholmesListen to the Podcast Audio: Click Here

Mike Gleason: We are fortunate today to be joined again by Frank Holmes, CEO and Chief Investment Officer at US Global Investors. Mr. Holmes has received various honors in recent months including being named America's Best Fund Manager for 2016 by The Mining Journal and received two more Lipper awards just last month in both the three year and five year precious metals equity funds categories.

He's also the co-author of the book The Goldwatcher: Demystifying Gold Investing and is a regular guest on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox Business, as well as right here on the Money Metals podcast. Frank, welcome back and thanks for joining us again. How are you today?

Frank Holmes: I'm well, thank you.

Mike Gleason: You mentioned back in January when we had you on right before Donald Trump's inauguration that the first 100 days of his presidency would be a key on several fronts. Give us your thoughts on what these first 100 days have looked like. What have you gleaned from the last few months as you've been evaluating his policy decisions and the market's reaction to those?



Stocks & Equities

Marc Faber: Outlook for China & India better than the US, Europe Markets in 2017

Posted by Marc Faber - Gloom Boom & Doom ReportDoom Report

on Tuesday, 25 April 2017 13:33

“India has done very well in 2017 and is grossly outperforming the US. Even if India grows at only 5%, it is still better than the US, Europe”. Citing a PwC report he said, India would be the second largest economy by 2050. “Outlook for the Chinese, Indian economy for emerging markets, in general, is far superior to the outlook in our rotten western democracies,” 


Marc Faber Expert Opinion Relating to Markets, Gold and Economy



Energy & Commodities

The Bullish Case For Oil Is Fading Fast

Posted by OilPrice.com

on Tuesday, 25 April 2017 08:01

a50b6bb29f9cd0a3f978ef8d037588e2Oil prices took another dip on Monday, and with WTI down to $49 per barrel, crude oil has given up most of the gains that it had made so far this month, taking prices down to their lowest levels since late March.

Major investors are also losing a bit of confidence in oil’s comeback. Hedge funds and other money managers took a breather in the buildup, buying up long positions in the most recent week for which data is available. Much of the rally in oil prices between the end of March and mid-April occurred as investors closed out short positions and took on bullish bets. Since then, however, hedge funds have slowed their net-long builds, a sign of waning confidence in higher oil prices.

Also, the futures market no longer looks all that encouraging.

...continue reading HERE


Plungers Big Trade- Part III The Oil Short


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