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Jim ROGERS – Dollar and commodities for 2017, interest rates, inflation and why books


Posted by Jim Rogers via The Economic Times

on Thursday, 19 January 2017 07:15

This 33 minute interview is encompasses the works, and especially on Rogers belief that the agricultural markets have been depressed for many years.

"I'm still extremely optimistic about agriculture, more so than many sectors of the world economy. Buy anywhere it's raining! Anywhere that has good weather, good soil, good laws, and there are many of those around – the African continent, South America, the middle part of Asia. There are many places where there are astonishing opportunities. I'm not sure I would rush out and buy Iowa right now because it's extremely expensive. But there are lots of places where the opportunities are good" - from the Daily Bell

 

Jim Rogers started trading the stock market with $600 in 1968.In 1973 he formed the Quantum Fund with the legendary investor George Soros before retiring, a multi millionaire at the age of 37. Rogers and Soros helped steer the fund to a miraculous 4,200% return over the 10 year span of the fund while the S&P 500 returned just 47%.

MW-DO749 Jim Ro ZG 20150624153247



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Bonds & Interest Rates

Bill Gross: Bond Fundamentals Confusing


Posted by Bil Gross - Janus Capital Group

on Thursday, 19 January 2017 06:52

"Happiness has dominated risk markets since early November and despair has characterized global bond markets."

"For 10-year Treasuries, a multiple of influences obscure a rational conclusion that yields must inevitably move higher during Trump's first year in office. When the fundamentals are confusing, however, technical indicators may come to the rescue and it's there where a super three decade downward sloping trend line for 10-year yields could be critical. Shown in the chart below, it's obvious to most observers that 10-year yields have been moving downward since their secular peak in the early 1980s, and at a rather linear rate. 30 basis point declines on average for the past 30 years have lowered the 10-year from 10% in 1987 to the current 2.40%."

USGG10YR-Index Graph

...reading Bill Gross Investment Outlook January 2017

 



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Energy & Commodities

Oil Trading Alert: Time for Drop below $50?


Posted by Nadia Simmons - Sunshine Profits

on Thursday, 19 January 2017 06:42

Sent to subscribers on January 19, 2017, 7:11 AM.

Trading position (short-term; our opinion): Short positions (with a stop-loss order at $56.45 and an initial downside target at $45.81) are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

On Wednesday, crude oil lost 2.57% after the head of the IEA warned of a significant increase in U.S. shale output as OPEC and non-OPEC producers cut output. This news negatively affected the investors’ sentiment and pushed the black gold under important support levels. What does it mean for light crude?

Let’s examine the charts below to find out (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

2017-01-19-wtic-W-1

Yesterday, we wrote the following:



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Bonds & Interest Rates

At beginning of 'long bear market in bonds...


Posted by Bill Miller via MarketWatch

on Thursday, 19 January 2017 06:32

Screen Shot 2017-01-19 at 6.38.02 AM... which should help banks, investor Bill Miller says.

The bull market in bonds is over and that should benefit financials, legendary investor Bill Miller told CNBC on Wednesday. 

"We're at the beginning of a long bear market in bonds that will last for who knows how long," he said in an interview with "Closing Bell."

.... continue reading/listening HERE

...related:

The 2017 Bond Strategy Backed By Goldman and BlackRock



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Stocks & Equities

Marc Faber: Take a Gamble on Trump


Posted by Marc Faber - Gloom Boom & Doom Report

on Thursday, 19 January 2017 06:00

1465823697 marcfaberThere are many advantages to spread betting not least the flexibility to engage in transactions whilst on the move and in your spare time. In addition to this, as you don’t own the asset there is no need for large capital investment. The basic principle of this form of investment and trading is a simple one. However, albeit straightforward it would be prudent to enlist the support of a professional such as the CMC markets, an online trading and investment company.

The recent United States Presidential election has, as would be expected caused some nervousness in the markets, however careful analysis is required to determine the possible impact on the markets over the coming months and in particular the impact on spread betting.

To look at this in detail we need to consider the principles of spread betting. There are different methods of spread betting but we will concentrate on online trading. This provides an excellent method of monitoring the markets and managing individual spread betting. We have already touched on the advantages of the process but in addition to this a key factor is the fact that spread betting is considered to be gambling and as such any profit is not subject to taxation. Unlike some forms of trading the investor does not buy shares but buys a stake (points). In addition the investor can also sell their stake. The point at which the stake is sold is the important factor as this will dictate the profit (or loss) that will be made. Spread betting allows the trader to trade on the price of movement of thousands of financial markets including commodities, indices, stocks and shares.



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