Everybody's Betting On A Weaker Dollar

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Posted by Movement Capital via Seeking Alpha

on Thursday, 10 August 2017 07:07


Commodities: Speculators reduced their long positioning in silver, commercials are actively hedging in feeder cattle, and CoT data helped reveal crowded positioning in coffee and natural gas.

Currencies: Traders have big long positions in the Mexican peso, New Zealand dollar, and euro. The Japanese yen is one of the few foreign currencies without crowded long exposure.

Stocks: Traders quickly reversed their stance on U.S. equity index futures since Q1 of last year, and it's important to contextualize positioning in VIX futures.

Note: My approach for analyzing CoT data to reveal how different types of traders are positioned in the futures markets is outlined here. If you missed it, give the article a read to see the method behind my analysis. All data and images in this article come from my website.

This article outlines how traders are positioned and how that positioning has recently changed. I break down the updates by asset class, so let's get started.


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