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Timing & trends

Massive VIX Warning for all Traders

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Posted by John Winston - ActiveTraders.com

on Thursday, 12 January 2017 09:18

My analysis of the recent VIX action is clearly warning of a potentially massive price volatility increase in the US and global markets.  Many traders use and trade the VIX as a measurement of volatility.  The VIX is a measurement of the expected market volatility over the next 30 days.  As the VIX rises, traders expect larger and more volatile price swings.  As the VIX declines, traders expect smaller and more narrow price swings.

Currently, the VIX is near historical low levels and has recently past a critical cycle midpoint.

stock-reversals1-768x438

One can see from my cycle analysis, I am tracking to cycle events; a longer term top-to-top cycle event and a smaller bottom-to-top cycle event.  I call these dual-phase and single-phase cycle events, respectively.

This analysis tells me we recently past a single-phase bottom cycle (near Nov 30th) and are expecting a dual-phase top cycle event near Feb 17th.  Given the expected opportunity to retest the VIX high channel, the potential price move in the SSO would relate to a 11%~16.5% price swing (approx) – or larger.  The dark blue downward VIX channel is a boundary that we would expect the VIX move to attempt to reach.  It could blow past this level and develop a much larger price correction in the US and Global markets but lets just focus on one target at a time for now.

Now, let’s take a look as how this relates on the SSO chart.



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Timing & trends

A Bullish Play in GDX

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Posted by Rick Ackerman - Rick's Picks

on Wednesday, 11 January 2017 08:05

Upside-potential-in-GDX

Subscribers are long 400 shares from 22.61, stop 22.01, based on a real-time guidance for a ‘mechanical’ entry that was posted to chat room Scoreboard at 11:21 a.m. GDX, an ETF proxy for the gold mining sector, is having trouble getting airborne, but if the buying should catch fire, it has the potential to reach 24.58 (see inset) over the near term. For now, I’d suggest entering an order to sell half the position at p=23.30, the pattern’s ‘midpoint Hidden Pivot’ resistance. The order should be held o-c-o with a 22.01 stop-loss on the whole position. You should also offer another 100 shares at 24.58 g-t-c. If the order fills, we’d be left with 25% of the original position — or 100 shares, based on the original order. 

Click here for a no-risk, two-week trial subscription.

....related: More short term trading ideas from Victor Adair: Live From The Trading Desk: Long & Short Term Positions Now

 



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Timing & trends

Strength in Weakness

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Posted by Tyler Bollhorn - StockScores

on Tuesday, 10 January 2017 06:52

Screen Shot 2016-11-28 at 2.56.07 PM

perspectives commentary

In This Week's Issue:

- Stockscores' Market Minutes Video - Trade the Evidence
- Stockscores Trader Training - Strength in Weakness
- Stock Features of the Week - Stockscores Simple Weekly Canada

Stockscores Market Minutes - Trade the Evidence
Traders can easily take trades for emotional reasons, we have to force ourselves to slow down and look for evidence that the trade is the right one to make. That plus my regular weekly market analysis and the trade of the week on GBX. Click Here to Watch

To get instant updates when I upload a new video, subscribe to the Stockscores YouTube Channel

Trader Training - Strength in Weakness
Simple approaches to any practice usually work the best. Finding the simple solution is not always easy, doing so can take the most experience. This is true in trading too and one simple concept to keep in mind when trading stocks is that there is strength in weakness (and weakness in strength).

What do you do when you are optimistic about a stock? Assuming you invest in stocks at all, you probably buy. When you are pessimistic, there is a good chance you sell.



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Timing & trends

Live From The Trading Desk: Long & Short Term Positions Now

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Posted by Michael Campbell & Victor Adair

on Monday, 09 January 2017 11:32

Victor Adair covers the recent action in Gold, Interest Rates, Crude Oil, CDN Dollar, US Dollar and the very powerful Stock Markets. Also Victor on what he is doing long term to protect all assets.

....related: Agri-Equities and Agri-Food Prices: Both Strong

traders

 



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Timing & trends

The 3 Top Articles Of The Week

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Posted by Money Talks Editor

on Saturday, 07 January 2017 04:07

300px-Global warming ubx.svg 11. Peer-Reviewed Survey Finds Majority Of Scientists Skeptical Of Global Warming Crisis

   by Forbes Magazine

It is becoming clear that not only do many scientists dispute the asserted global warming crisis, but these skeptical scientists may indeed form a scientific consensus.

...read more HERE

2. The War On Kids

 by Michael Campbell

"In talking to a group of 19 - 20 year old students over the holiday I was reminded of the alternate ace in the hole for our status quo power groups is the collective ignorance of economics & finance"

....continue HERE

3. 2017 is Looking More Optimistic Than Ever

 by Martin Armstrong

The net capital movements around the world are showing clear signs that things will be intensifying and the net capital movement is headed for the dollar

....continue reading HERE



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