Timing & trends

U.S. Economic Expansion Set To Continue

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Posted by Merk Investments

on Tuesday, 15 May 2018 08:57

While there has been some deceleration at the margin in some of the macro data (e.g., LEIs), overall the economic expansion looks set to continue over the next few months, and in general until further notice. All of these charts or concepts are somewhat inter-related, as is the economy in general, and almost all indicators are positive: R. Zurrer for Money Talks

Screenshot 2018-05-15 08.47.14

Analysis: Over the 90 years between 1927 and 2017, the average S&P 500 monthly return during expansions was +0.89% (889 months), compared to an average S&P 500 monthly return during recessions of -0.71% (191 months). The business cycle also has important implications for Fed policy. *Note that recessions are not announced by the NBER until well after their start dates*

.....continue for Next Chart & Analysis HERE



Timing & trends

Todd Market Forecast: S&P 500 Breaks Out

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Posted by Steve Todd - Todd Market Forecast

on Thursday, 10 May 2018 07:56

Steve Todd notes that although we have broken a downdtrend line from January, the Stock Market is somewhat overbought. The real short term money has been made in his bullish US Dollar and Bearish Gold posiitions R. Zurrer for Money Talks.  

 For 3pm PST Wednesday May 9, 2018

DOW + 182 on 675 net advances

NASDAQ COMP + 73 on 691 net advances



STOCKS: There seemed to be several factors at work on Wednesday. First, the political reaction to the decision on Iran seemed to be pretty mild on Tuesday. This probably encouraged investors. 

Second, the inflation data was pretty benign. This suggested that the Fed may not be so anxious to raise rates.

Third, CNBC pointed out that there was a technical breakout for the S&P 500. We show this in the chart below. 

GOLD: Gold was lower by $1. Very minor range at present. 

CHART: The S&P 500 broke out of a declining trendline connecting a series of peaks going back to late January. This may have encouraged buying by traders who monitor this type of thing. Yes, we are overbought and that is something to be aware of. 

Screenshot 2018-05-10 06.50.01


BOTTOM LINE: (Trading)



Timing & trends

Mercedes Benz Plan for Surviving the Auto Revolution

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Posted by Nicholas Stecher, WIRED

on Thursday, 03 May 2018 12:45


IF YOU'RE THE guy in charge of leading Daimler—you know, the world’s largest luxury carmaker, one of Europe’s most important tech companies, and the inventor of the automobile—into a threatening future, it can’t hurt to have a name that sounds made for a superhero. Good thing it's a guy named Wilko Stark helming CASE (that’s connectivity, autonomous, shared and services, and electric mobility), which Daimler launched in 2016 to address the most promising and troubling trends under one roof. He’s the fellow tasked with forging a 20-year blueprint for Daimler and its flagship, Mercedes-Benz... CLICK HERE for the complete article


Timing & trends

Amazon Creates New Vancouver Hub

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Posted by Canadian Press

on Monday, 30 April 2018 15:40


Online retail giant Amazon has announced it will expand its Vancouver technology hub and create 3,000 new high-tech jobs. Amazon’s general manager of web services Jesse Dougherty said the new corporate positions will be focused on e-commerce technology, cloud computing and machine learning. The employees will be working in a new 38,000 square metre office tower the company plants to build on the site of the city’s old post office... Click for complete article


Timing & trends

Why Parliaments Are Dangerous

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Posted by Martin Armstrong

on Tuesday, 24 April 2018 11:00

doomed historyCOMMENT:  Hi Martin, reading your article about the SPD imposing Marxism on Germany is horrifying. To see established political parties so greedy that they’re willing to partner with fringe parties to maintain control is nuts.

We’re currently seeing this in British Columbia where the Liberal party lost its majority due to a government formed by new Democrats and the Greens. Now, this handful of green party MLAs wield enormous powers. They’re impeding the expansion of kinder Morgan’s pipeline to Vancouver, despite FEDERAL regulatory approval.

How can so few, be so greedy, as to crush the economic activity and benefits that this creates for thousands of workers? Bring on the crash and reboot, I’m sick of this.

Mike C.

REPLY:  CLICK HERE for Martin's answer


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