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Timing & trends

Gold: Bullish Candlesticks Are Boss

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Posted by Morris Hubbartt - Super Force Signals

on Monday, 21 August 2017 06:33

Here are today's videos and charts (double click to enlarge):
 

Super Force Signals Key Charts & Video Update

g1



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Timing & trends

Marc Faber and Jim Rogers Agree

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Posted by Financial Tribune

on Saturday, 19 August 2017 07:18

Screen Shot 2017-08-17 at 6.48.14 AM1. Marc Faber and Jim Rogers Agree

Despite US Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen saying last month that another financial crisis on the scale of the crash that enveloped the world in 2007/8 was unlikely “in our lifetimes”, several respected stock market commentators believe a new disaster could happen within months rather than years  

...read more HERE

2. Hot Properties: Chinese Money Changes Direction

Ozzie Jurock on the massive change in investment money coming from China. Also Ozzie on the most interesting real estate story you will ever hear! The latest on the big story - what is happening with shopping malls in North America.

....continue HERE

3. Is Kim Jung-un Blinking?

by Martin Armstrong

Kim Jung-un in North Korea is refusing to blink yet he maybe. He has turned domestically first in the ongoing crisis and has now announced a massive army recruitment program. An article in a Pyongyang-based propaganda newspaper today declared already more than 3.5 million people had signed up to fight. The newspaper is claiming that millions were “volunteers” including students and former soldiers.

The truth is that the North Korean army is subjected to absolute obedience to the Kim dynasty. If civilians are scrambling to volunteer, it is also likely that they are malnourished and desperate civilians.

....read it all HERE



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Timing & trends

Why The Bear Will Be Held At Bay

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Posted by Cliff Droke via Seeking Alfa

on Friday, 18 August 2017 06:34

Summary

Despite similarities to 2015, energy sector weakness won't bring a bear market this time around.

While retail and energy are weak, other key areas are still strong.

Copper strength points to continuing long-term bull market.

Financial markets have been relieved that the past few days have passed without more inflammatory rhetoric from either President Trump or Kim Jong-un. The U.S. stock market recovered from sharp losses last Thursday, Aug. 10, when tensions were high between the two countries. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up for the last four trading sessions (as of Aug. 16) in response to the easing of tensions, retracing most of its losses from last week.

Although there has been a decent bounce in most major indices after last week's dip, the internal health of the NYSE broad market remains a concern in the immediate term (1-3 weeks). In the past few months, whenever the S&P 500 (SPX) has sold off and fallen to the 60-day moving average, there has been a technical bounce followed by either a sharp rally or some more consolidation and then another rally. See the chart below.

973376-1502940487833549-1

...read more HERE



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Timing & trends

Marc Faber and Jim Rogers Agree

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Posted by Financial Tribune

on Thursday, 17 August 2017 07:24

Screen Shot 2017-08-17 at 6.48.14 AMMassive money printing to restart the global economy after the financial crisis has blown an even bigger bubble. Ten years after the last financial crisis, is the world due another one and will it be worse?

Despite US Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen saying last month that another financial crisis on the scale of the crash that enveloped the world in 2007/8 was unlikely “in our lifetimes”, several respected stock market commentators believe a new disaster could happen within months rather than years, DW reported.

Jim Rogers, co-founder of the privately owned Quantum group of hedge funds, told the news website Business Insider in June that a stock market crash would happen “later this year or next”. In a separate interview with the business channel CNBC, longtime Swiss investor Marc Faber, who has been nicknamed Dr Doom, predicted some stockholders would “lose 50% of their assets” during what he described as an “avalanche” of selling.



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Timing & trends

Learn Your Market History Now Or Be Forced To Learn It The Hard Way Later

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Posted by Avi Gilburt - Elliottwavetrader.net

on Wednesday, 16 August 2017 06:54

George Santayana was noted as saying:

“Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it”

As human beings, we all have a limited life span. And, as one generation fades away, we often see the next generation growing in its shadow, but forgetting the lessons learned by those who came before them. Sadly, it is a fact of life. 

Today, we see the stock market and certain assets like Bitcoin rising to heights never imagined by market participants even 5 years ago. Yet, we believe the reasons for the rise in price are different today than they were in generations past.

Many analysts and market participants are certain that it is purely due to central bank’s actions that we are creating a new bubble. In fact, someone forwarded me what some deem as “analysis,” which stated that “bubbles are a symptom of central bank monetary policy.” And, sadly, many market participants believe this to be true. 

Unfortunately, too many are willing to adopt what they read as truth, without testing it through the prism of intellectual honesty. So, let me present you a question to test the ultimate “truth” presented about central c22cb6033f069963e4a07f627e3e9627banks and bubbles: What central bank caused what is considered to be the first speculative bubble in modern history - “Tulipmania?” 

For those who are unfamiliar with history, in the 17th century, which is regarded as the Dutch Golden Age, contract prices for tulip bulbs reached extraordinarily high levels and then dramatically collapsed in February 1637. At the peak of “tulipmania,” a single tulip bulbs sold for more than 10 times the annual income of a skilled craftsworker. 

Yet, there was no central bank that was involved in this event. And, amazingly, this has been the case study for what we deem to be a “bubble” within markets. Moreover, it has been determined that this bubble was caused by the “madness of the crowd,” as coined by Charles Mackay. So, again, no where do I see any central bank involvement in this case study of a market bubble.

You see, Mackay concluded that crowds often behave irrationally, especially when dealing with financial markets. This irrationality of the market is what causes bubbles to occur. While we may want to view a central bank as the “rational reason” for such bubbles, the ultimate point is that there is nothing rational about bubbles. Therefore, rational reasons are immaterial, if you really think through the issue carefully. 

Unfortunately, most are too willing to adopt the commonly held fallacies about financial markets rather than engage in any independent thought. So, they simply propagate the commonly held fallacies, which causes them to be even more widely adopted by the masses, as the great majority of the public will never test these perspectives through a prism of intellectual honesty and truth.



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