Timing & trends

Todd Market Forecast: It's Risky Right Now

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Posted by Stephen Todd - Todd Market Forecast

on Wednesday, 16 November 2016 20:14

Todd Market Forecast for 3pm Pacific Wednesday November 16 , 2016 

DOW - 55 on 100 net advances

NASDAQ COMP + 19 on 150 net advances



STOCKS: Today was profit taking after 7 up days in a row for the Dow. We like the fact that it was down on positive breadth.

Crude oil may have influenced trading. It was down on a high inventory number.

It's tempting to take a long trading position, but it's a bit too risky right now.

GOLD: Gold was flat. Not much happening even though it is very oversold.

CHART The NASDAQ Composite, like the S&P 500 is overbought and in a congestion zone. Note that when 5 Day RSI becomes overbought (over 70) the index usually drops or goes sideways. That is unless it is in a sustained uptrend like last July. We should soon know if that's the case. We still have in mind the high put call ratios.

Screen Shot 2016-11-16 at 7.07.08 PM

BOTTOM LINE:  (Trading)



Timing & trends

Live From The Trading Desk: Making Sense of a Wild Week

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Posted by Michael Campbell & Victor Adair

on Monday, 14 November 2016 07:15

Explosive swings in the markets this week with the US Dollar, Interest rates, & the stock market rising. Gold down &  Currencies in the emerging markets are getting smashed.

....related Michael's Featured Guest: Don Vialoux on Fascinating Markets



Timing & trends

Peter Schiff: Midnight in America

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Posted by Peter Schiff - Euro Pacific Capital

on Friday, 11 November 2016 07:47

Screen Shot 2016-11-11 at 6.44.23 AMStunned political analysts are missing the most plausible argument explaining Donald Trump's unexpected victory. The misreading of the American electorate stems from the political class' acceptance of mistaken (and increasingly insane) economic dogma that has arisen over the past generation. Based on their flawed understanding of economics, the pundits could simply not understand why the electorate had become totally disillusioned.

According to the ideas favored by economists on Wall Street, in government, and in the Federal Reserve, Americans should be enjoying a marginally good economy. Unemployment is low, home values and the stock markets are high, credit is cheap and plentiful, prices are stable, auto sales are robust, healthcare is available to all, and GDP is growing, albeit at levels that are below optimal. These are conditions that would normally favor the incumbent party, and would discourage voters from taking a chance on an unknown who has promised to tear down the entire system. But that is precisely what happened. There can only be two explanations: Either Trump supporters were motivated by hatred strong enough to cause them to vote against their own economic interests, or they understood the economic reality better than the Ph.D.'s. I believe the people got it right.



Timing & trends

The Trump Win. What to do …

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Posted by Larry Edelson - Money & Markets

on Thursday, 10 November 2016 06:36

Screen Shot 2016-11-10 at 5.27.25 AMIf you’ve been with me for any length of time, then you know that the cycles and movements, course of history and markets — will never be denied.

That’s how I was able to predict well in advance the Trump victory, in many of my services.

But now, the question still on most investors’ minds is how will this impact your investments or change the course of history?

My answer: It will not change the course of history one iota. What will be, will be, and it’s all largely predetermined by the cyclical nature of history and mass human social behavior.

Ditto for the markets, which are ultimate expressions of the cyclical nature of history and human interaction with investment markets, not to mention the people versus government, all over the world.

I’ve been saying since early last year that we’re headed into a great sovereign debt crisis, one that will upend many governments, set off political revolutions, turn politics and markets upside down and inside out …

And clearly, it’s all starting to happen in spades. Lastly, stay tuned … I will be ramping things up for my subscribers and members as loads of new opportunities unfold.

Best wishes,


...also from Marting Armstrong: When The Dust Settles


Timing & trends

When The Dust Settles

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Posted by Martin Armstrong - Armstrong Economics

on Wednesday, 09 November 2016 09:42

Dust-SettlesThe Euro soared to 113 and then crashed and burned to the 109 level. The Dow exceeded yesterday’s high but has not penetrated the previous day’s low. Gold had its reaction up to 1340 and fell back under 1300. Let’s get this much straight. Our computer is NOT showing a major change in trend because of the election. We have warned this is not the case and at the end of the day, fundamentally, Trump will be far more bullish for the US economy that war and more taxes from Hillary.

This is more of a Reagan Moment. Ronald Reagan was the outsider every and the “establishment” in Washington resisted him. This will play-out the same. So let everything calm down. There appears to be no major change in trend at hand. If Trump gets the 15% corporate tax rate in, then look for the dollar to soar and almost $3 trillion come homes.


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