Timing & trends

Timing & trends

Energy Curiosities - An Ongoing Photo Essay

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Posted by Bob Hoye - Institutional Advisors

on Friday, 13 April 2018 11:00



The Liberal Federal Government is torn between the passions of mob politics and the dispassionate rule of law. It reminds of a donkey standing between two equally compelling stacks of hay.

The following by broadcaster Mike Campbell is a good intro to the latest pipeline fiasco:



....continue for Bob Hoye's Photo Essay:


Timing & trends

The Individual Investor Has Left The Building

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Posted by Bespoke Investment Group

on Friday, 13 April 2018 07:23


It took a long time before individual retail investors were even mildly bullish before the big drop, but now they are "flat out BEARISH". Since every major turn down into a bear market has been precededed by a long period of increasing optimism ultimately ending in euphoria, it was unusual as this analyst points out that just before the recent drop from the January 26th 2018 high, the "little guy's"were just beginning to become optimistic. Not eurphoric, but getting "comfortable" as explained below. Perhaps now they are virtually absent as they were when this chart below appeared in 2017: - R. Zurrer for Money Talks



Individual Investors Bail

2018 hasn’t been the year for the little guy.  Late last year, individual investors appeared to be finally getting comfortable with stocks as bullish sentiment in the weekly poll from AAII topped 50% for the first time in nearly three years.  For a little while, they enjoyed the ride as equities surged to start the year and bullish sentiment reached just shy of 60%.  Then the correction came.  Since then, the bulls have been in steady retreat as increased volatility and lower prices remind these individuals why they were so apprehensive in the first place.  This week provided a further confirmation of that trend as bullish sentiment in the weekly AAII poll dropped from 31.9% down to 26.09%.  This marked the fourth straight week of declining bullish sentiment and took the percentage of bulls to the lowest level since last August.




 Charts courtesy of Bespoke - Save 30% By Starting a Bespoke Research Trial Now!

The investors leaving the bullish camp recently aren’t just moving to the neutral sidelines either.  They are flat out bearish.  In this week’s survey, bearish sentiment surged from 36.6% up to 42.75%.  Bearish sentiment has now increased by more than 20 percentage points in the last four weeks and is at its highest level since last March.



Timing & trends

Todd Market Forecast: Impressive Breadth & Hot Techs

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Posted by Stephen Todd - Todd Market Forecast

on Thursday, 12 April 2018 06:12

Fear of War, both Trade and Missiles drove all 3 Stock Indexes down yesterday. Despite the hammering, there were actually more NYSE issues up than down, an unusual event. Mr. Todd thinks something is going to happen missle wise, but doubts that "it will effect markets all that much" - R. Zurrer For Money Talks

Wednesday April 11, 2018. 3:00 Pacific

DOW - 219 on 4 net advances

NASDAQ COMP - 25 on 72 net declines



STOCKS: Today was all about the prospect of military conflict in the Middle East. Russia issued threats and President Trump issued counter threats. It does look something is about to happen, but I doubt that it will affect the markets all that much.

Today also looked like a bit of reaction and profit taking to yesterdays gonzo move.

We were impressed by breadth. It isn't often that we see a 200 point Dow drop with more advances than declines. 

GOLD: Gold gained $11. We still haven't closed above the late March peak which constitutes resistance.

CHART: The QQQ is the ETF for the NASDAQ 100 and it has a tendency to be market leader. I am impressed that after a March decline, it is now making a series of ascending highs and ascending lows. 



BOTTOM LINE: (Trading)



Timing & trends

The Most Popular 3 Articles This Week

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Posted by Money Talks Editor

on Saturday, 07 April 2018 06:07

todd51. Todd Market Forecast: Complex Bottoming Process

 Stephen's monthly newsletter covers all major markets, Stocks, Bonds, Gold Canadian Markets and current market sentiment. Everything seems to be lining up for multi week uptrend, but there is one caveat.....

 ....continue reading HERE

2. Federal Liberals Blackmail Canadians

The Liberal's have gone a step to fare when they made it clear a citizen doesn't have right to Federal money if they disagree with the Prime Minister's point of view. 

....Click HERE for full comment

3. It's Not Yet Time for Gold....

This analysis as well as Martin Armstrong's Quarterly Closing Post clearly state that it is just not Gold's time to explode upwards. There are factors that will have to fall into place before Gold can begin a long term bull swing upwards

...read more HERE


Timing & trends

A Special Post-Show Webinar

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Posted by MoneyTalks Editor

on Friday, 06 April 2018 18:08

How to Protect Yourself & Profit from a Market Crash

Because there is never enough time on the radio, immediately following today's show (Saturday April 7th at 10:00am Pacific) Chief Derivative Market Strategist Patrick Ceresna is hosting a live FREE webinar exclusively for MoneyTalks to go into more detail on investments and strategies to use during a bear market and market crashes. In it he will discuss:

  • Which asset classes perform the best during economic contractions
  • Understanding the differences in cyclical high beta stocks vs. defensive stocks
  • Learning how to remove tail risk using option overlay strategies on stocks you already own
  • Positioning yourself to profit during declining markets

Only 500 spaces are available so register today!

webinar april 7



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Martin Armstrong and How Bull Markets End

Back on July 26th, we invited Martin Armstrong back to get an update on his views on stocks, bonds and politics.  Not only did Martin suggest...

- posted by Patrick Ceresna

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