Timing & trends

Timing & trends

The Most Interesting 3 Articles This Week

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Posted by Money Talks Editor

on Saturday, 21 April 2018 02:05

crude 2887354f1. Oil Analyst Extraordinaire Josef Schachter

With $10 of geo-political risk in the price of oil, the wild stock market & the Kinder Morgan pipeline debacle both sending out shock waves....Josef talks to Michael about the market impacts, the energy & energy service sectors & what investors should do to protect themselves

 ....continue reading HERE

2. Coup d'État That May Shake the World

The Liberal's have gone a step to fare when they made it clear a citizen doesn't have right to Federal money if they disagree with the Prime Minister's point of view. 

....Click HERE for full comment

3. Control of battery resources is key to EV leadership

This article examines who is likely to come out on top in the manufacture of Lithium-ion batteries. Currently dominated by China with 60% of the Global market, with Panasonic and Tesla having together built a huge factory in Reno, Nevada, known as the Gigafactory

...read more HERE


Timing & trends

VR Crypto Newsletter - SPECIAL OFFER

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Posted by MoneyTalks Editor

on Friday, 20 April 2018 16:33


~ From Mark Leibovit ~

The timing for this service couldn’t be any better as we see the Crypto’s coming out of their bottoming action and setting up to move higher in 2018. Our weekly and monthly recommendations will ensure that you don’t let the generational wealth potential of Crpytos pass you by. We will provide hands on advice including recommendations, analysis of key players, discussion on the future and additional tips and tricks that are needed to maneuver through the Crypto environment. This service is another valued product provided as a complement to his other VR products.


Timing & trends

2018's 'Short' of the Year

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Posted by Michael Ballanger- Streetwise Reports

on Thursday, 19 April 2018 06:47

In this very detailed proposal Michael Ballanger outlines what he thinks is a superb shorting opportunity. He provides the rationale, and the specific size and nature of the trade using ETF's. In one scenario he expects a return on investment of 50.35%, another scenario yields 1.08% - R. Zurrer for Money Talks

Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses the gold and silver ratio. 


There is a famous quote about short-selling that comes from Olde English business folklore that goes something like this: 

"He who sells what isn't his'n. 
Must deliver or goes to prison!"

That old horse chestnut was used to frighten the Rothchildian short-sellers that used to hang out on the old New York "curb" back before governments and influence- peddling lobbyists conspired to change the rules. I used to love to find overvalued stocks or commodities and get our trading desk to call over to the loan post to see what it would cost to borrow a few thousand shares of some pumped up bowser of a stock and then attempt to catch it on an uptick in order to sell it. The entire concept was rather civilized because everyone would know that there was a highly visible bear out there trying to get short something and invariably, the principals like the CEO or CFO would find out and then the ancient game of cat-and-mouse would begin.

It would begin with the phone calls from someone at the target company introducing themselves and asking you out for coffee or a beer if you were borrowing a puny 2,000 shares with the venue morphing decidedly if the number was north of 100,000 shares. (If it was a MILLION, it was a weekend in Vegas.) I would put on my most gracious persona as the rep from the overvalued company tried in vain to change my intention of hammering his pig of a stock into the ground, but what made it a study in human behavior was that the higher the gratuity, the more maniacally I wanted to sell the stock.

Needless to say, short-selling is not the fun it used to be because everyone and their uncle are "hip" to the notion of shorting overvalued garbage thanks to terrific books and movies like "The Big Short" that really showed the world how extremely difficult it can be and how the market-makers can artificially create a squeeze on a short player by simply fiddling with the "marks" at the end of every month. I, for one, long for the old days of finding some piece of Vancouver garbage that had a $500,000 annual travel and entertainment budget and a $500 annual exploration budget and a property "next door to Friedland" (!) whose founders held all the one-cent stock that was coming out of escrow next week. Adding insult to injury and turning the ridiculous to the sublime, the CEO has just paid out an egregious amount of money and stock to the telephone room owners whose job it was to "pump up the volume." Alas, the Elon Musks of theorld learned how to magnificently "manage" their stocks by way of social media and sweetheart deals with all the top 50 hedge fund managers that conspire daily to monitor the share price so that nothing "untoward" can ever happen to threaten the uptrend line, despite being the most over-priced, money-losing auto manufacturer in world history.

The same thing goes for gold and silver with massive quantities of paper gold being traded as if in a virtual reality pit of digital outcry. To say that being long the gold and silver markets since 2013 has been "interesting" is like saying that having root canal surgery without Novocain is "interesting," when we both know that the proper descriptive should be "agony" or "maddening" but one adjective to most-accurately describe these past five years of shenanigans is "costly" for many people and for all the wrong reasons. Banks cannot sanction gold or silver because there is no counterparty to the transaction. Once it leaves the bank, it is gone.

I have one idea for all of you that is, in my humble opinion, one of the greatest "short" set-ups that I have seen in over 40 years trading markets. Because I am leery of interventions and manipulations carried out constantly under the blinded eyes of regulators, I need to short something that would not be exposed to directional risk. The best example of being right about something and wrong at the same time was mid-2017 when I took one look at Bitcoin and determined that it was a bubble of the highest order. That was at $10,000 per coin. It went to $19,891 and then got bombed to under $7,000 and had we shorted it in mid-year, we still would have made money but had we shorted it on December 19, we would have made a fortune. What I knew from my short-selling experiences on the Nikkei in the late 1980s was that the most difficult part of shorting is execution (TIMING) because the biggest move on a chart comes in the last 10% of its journey along the x-axis. (Classic "bubble" chart pattern).



Timing & trends

Todd Market Forecast: Weeks of Upside

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Posted by Stephen Todd - Todd Market Forecast

on Tuesday, 17 April 2018 06:45

For Mon. April 16, 2018 3:00 Pacific

DOW + 213 on 1285 net advances

NASDAQ COMP + 50 on 851 net advances



STOCKS: The market went into the weekend with Middle Eastern war fears, but the end result was a positive. President Trump did what he promised and there was very little reaction from the other belligerents in the area. 

The Dow was up over 300 at one point then some talk about additional tariffs hit the wire and this caused a bit of a retreat, but it was still a good day and the pattern of ascending highs and ascending lows is still holding on the daily charts of the important indices.

GOLD: Gold was flat in spite of a decent drop by the dollar. The yellow metal seems a bit confused at present. 

CHART: Sentiment is falling into place for a tradable rally from current levels. The put call ratios have been favorable. Now, the surveys are coming along. When the bearish percentage of the 5 week moving average of the American Association of Individual investors exceeds 32, we generally have weeks of upside in store. 


BOTTOM LINE: (Trading)



Timing & trends

The Most Popular 3 Articles This Week

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Posted by Money Talks Editor

on Saturday, 14 April 2018 07:54

DaToD-6WsAA-Fc41. Kiss The Jobs and Government Revenue Goodbye - along with Canada's Investment Reputation

$47 billion lost in government revenue - 800,000 man hours of work gone if the Trans Mountain pipeline gets scrapped. And for what? Best case scenario is .03 of a % reduction in global emissions. But don't worry - there's one big winner -  San Francisco based Corporate Ethics, who in 2008 launched and financed the campaign to landlock Alberta oil. Oh yeah, US oil producers are smiling too. 

 ....continue reading HERE

2. Short Sale of the Century

The Liberal's have gone a step to fare when they made it clear a citizen doesn't have right to Federal money if they disagree with the Prime Minister's point of view. 

....Click HERE for full comment

3. Climate Change Advocates Have Blown It

Misleading statements, hypocrisy, over the top predictions of eco-catastrophe, intolerance and disrespect for opposing views and a totalitarian like determination to stop anyone from questioning their agenda - too often those are the common of the Climate Crusaders. And they're hurting public support for taking effective action.

...read more HERE


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