Timing & trends

Is This the World’s Largest Robot?

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Posted by Martin Armstrong - Armstrong Economics

on Thursday, 19 July 2018 07:24


Rio Tinto has employed the first fully autonomous train, which many are calling the world’s largest robot. Rio Tinto’s project has eliminated humans and that saves on pensions and salaries. This is the way of the future because of exponentially rising human costs. The train completed its first delivery of iron ore between the company’s Australian Mount Tom Price mine and the port of Cape Lambert on the Western coast.


Rio Tinto spent $940 million to develop this project. The train consists of three locomotives and carries around 28,000 tonnes of iron ore making a journey of 280km with no human driver. The trip was monitored remotely by operators at Rio’s Operations Centre in Perth more than 1,500km away. Effectively, this is not so dissimilar from the drone used in the military that is also being monitored from a far away location.

The high cost of socialism is driving the field of robotics. The higher the costs of pensions and their lack of feasibility when central banks play with interest rates pretending to be managing the economy has driven the technology into the hands of automation. Governments are in a state of denial and they will continue to raise taxes to try to cover their costs. They fail to look at this crisis straight in the eyes. There is no hope of maintaining socialism and more than there was communism.

...also from Martin: Why CONFIDENCE is the Backbone of the New Monetary System


Violence from the Left is Starting – It will be Their Way or No Way



Timing & trends

Europe’s EV Sales Growth Is Slowing

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Posted by Tsvetana Paraskova

on Wednesday, 18 July 2018 11:29


Sales of electric vehicles (EVs) and plug-in hybrids in Europe’s top car markets rose by just 33 percent in the first half this year, compared to a 54-percent surge in the same period last year, as customers are still wary of limited driving ranges of the models and an insufficient.....CLICK for the complete article


Timing & trends

This Rare Signal Shows a Time of Strength for U.S. Stocks

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Posted by Michael Carr - Peak Velocity Trader

on Wednesday, 18 July 2018 07:16

The yield curve measures the difference between short- and long-term interest rates.

Long-term rates are usually higher than short-term rates. That’s because there’s more risk in the long term.

When short-term rates exceed long-term rates, the yield curve inverts. That’s a rare and ominous signal that has been an early warning sign for every recession in the past 60 years.

But this time is different.

The chart below shows long-term interest rates issued by the U.S., Germany and Japan. It shows why the yield curve is set to invert.


(Source: Yardeni.com)

Germany is paying only 0.24%. Japan offers investors just 0.03%. Meanwhile, the U.S. offers 2.87%.

Global investors chase the highest yield. So, they’re buying U.S. bonds.

When foreign investors buy bonds, they drive long-term interest rates down. This sets up the potential inversion that’s worrying so many analysts.

But this time, the yield curve isn’t signaling a recession. That’s because of the unique circumstance of yields around the world being so low.

Normally, the inversion would result from investors selling stocks as the economy weakens. Large investors need to put their money somewhere, so they buy bonds.

That pushes interest rates down, and the yield curve eventually inverts. At least that’s what happened in the past.

Right now, earnings growth is strong, and stocks are doing well. The yield curve is rising because global investors are also chasing yields and seeking safety in long-term bonds.

This time, if the yield curve inverts, it will be a short-term time of strength for U.S. stocks and the dollar. It won’t be a reason to worry, at least not at first.

This will be a signal to buy since stocks are likely to shoot higher as dollars rush into the U.S. from around the world.


Michael Carr, CMT

Editor, Peak Velocity Trader


Timing & trends

Can Artificial Intelligence Compete With Real Doctors?

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Posted by Michael Scott

on Tuesday, 17 July 2018 11:19


In the race for world dominance in advanced technology, Chinese artificial intelligence is also taking on its own doctors, with a new system claiming to diagnose brain tumors faster and more accurately than human physicians.

BioMind, developed by Beijing’s Tiantan Hospital and its AI research center for neurological disorders, has told Chinese media that the new system has correctly diagnosed 87 percent of 225 cases in only 15 minutes. That compares to only.... CLICK for the complete article


Timing & trends

US Equities Set For Further Advances As Q2 Earnings Start

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Posted by Chris Vermulen - The Technical Traders

on Monday, 16 July 2018 06:49

The upside price moves recently in the US Equities markets have been dramatic. While many people believe the US Equity markets are overvalued and setting up for a top, we believe just the opposite – that the US Equity market and strong US Dollar are attracting capital and investment from numerous internal and external sources. We also believe the Q2 2018 earnings season, which is just about to begin, could be an additional driving force for further price advances – with big upside moves ahead.

There are really three things at work in the global markets right now:

Strong US Dollar and global trade/policy issues: these are driving concerns and economic sustainability issues in many foreign nations and attracting investments as the US Dollar continues to strengthen against many foreign currencies.

Foreign Debt/Economic Sustainability issues: the fact that economic cycles, as well as political and social concerns, have roiled many foreign markets, elections and policies in combination with somewhat out of control debt levels in some countries is starting to weigh on investors. Yes, strategic investors will still be looking for opportunities, but longer-term investors are seeking risks everywhere and are searching for protected investments – not risky deflationary investments.

Leadership Changes/Challenges: as we have all recently seen, there are a number of political leadership and regional economic and policy challenges that are underway at the moment. Italy, Greece, Malaysia, Mexico, Denmark, Belgium and a host of others are all in the process of restructuring policies, objectives and SOP (standard operating procedures) to address new demands from their people and the world. What was acceptable, nearly 24+ months ago, is now just not the case any longer. The result is that leadership must adapt to the new demands of the people and economic environment.

Simply put, there is so much going on throughout the rest of the world in terms of currency valuations, global trade and policy issues, debt levels and economic sustainability concerns as well as leadership concerns and dramatically changing political and economic environments that investors are actively seeking some level of “standard of protection” for their capital.. And the only places on the planet, right now, that offers that standard are the US, Canada, and Great Britain. Our opinion is that, soon enough, the only economies on the planet that will be capable of handling the ROI and capital requirements of the world will be the most mature and dynamic economies on the planet.

Keeping this in mind, as we near the Q2 US earnings season, expect the following to play out:


  • Technology will likely continue to shine with earnings growth and increased subscriber bases. Netflix, Hulu, Microsoft, Amazon and a host of others will likely surprise with earnings over the next few weeks.
  • Industrial standards like Disney, Comcast, Charter Communications, Sony, Marvel and many others will likely support strong earnings and forward guidance.
  • Manufacturing and Chemicals will likely be positive to mixed overall. Some companies will likely issue strong forward guidance while others may issue weaker guidance as a result of foreign market slowdowns.
  • Biotech and healthcare will likely produce strong results overall as the past quarter has likely been a “lean operational process” for many not knowing what to expect throughout the next 12+ months.
  • Weakness may be seen in some isolated instances with companies that may be more exposed to global demand and raw material costs (oil, copper, hard materials). Yet we believe the outcome of this Q2 earnings season will be moderately strong overall.


What does this mean for the markets?

This 240 Minute ES chart shows the recent upside price action as well as the recent breakout to new highs (above 2800 for the first time since March 2018). These upside price channels are likely to hold going forward and we expect earnings to drive prices to near or above 2900 (new all-time highs) relatively quickly in the ES. As we have been highlighting, we believe the ES and YM have the strongest potential for upside price moves compared to the NQ.

Screenshot 2018-07-16 06.51.49



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