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Timing & trends

Sell in May & Go Away: Should you sell in April?

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Posted by Mark Hulbert, MarketWatch

on Tuesday, 03 April 2012 05:26

Those interested in doing some spring cleaning in their portfolios this month might be tempted to do the most radical spring cleaning of all: Sell everything and go to cash.

That’s because April represents the end of the seasonally favorable six-month period that began last Halloween, and the fast approach of the time when many will “Sell in May and Go Away.” Should you try to get a head start on those who mechanically wait until May Day to do their selling?

To read the full article click here

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Timing & trends

Central Banks Stockpiling Gold & Governments Hoarding Oil

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Posted by King World News

on Monday, 02 April 2012 06:33

With gold and silver set up for a big move this week, today King World News interviewed 40 year veteran, Robert Fitzwilson.  Fitzwilson is founder of The Portola Group, one of the premier boutique firms in the Unites States.  He told KWN that investors need to accumulate key assets while they remain undervalued.  Fitzwilson also said gold, silver and oil are being hoarded by a combination of central banks and governments.  Here is what Fitzwilson had to say:  “It is critical that people distinguish between price and value.  As prices fall and ‘utility’ stays the same, that is what creates greater value.  In the case of oil, gold and silver, not only is the utility holding steady, but it is actually rising.”

Read full article here

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Timing & trends

Precious Metals – Silver, Gold, Gold Miner Stocks On The Rise?

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Posted by Chris Vermulen - GoldandOilGuy.com

on Friday, 30 March 2012 08:35

The past couple months investors have been focusing on the equities market. And rightly so with stocks running higher and higher. Unfortunately most money managers and hedge funds are under performing or negative for the first quarter simply because of the way prices have advanced. New money has not been able to get involved unless some serious trading rules have been bent/broken (buying into an overbought market and chasing prices higher). This type of market is when aggressive/novice traders make a killing cause they cannot do anything wrong, but 9 times out of 10 that money is given back once the market starts trading sideways or reverses.

While everyone is currently focusing on stocks, its important to research areas of the market which are out of favor. The sector I like at the moment is precious metals. Gold and silver have been under pressure for several months falling out of the spot light which they once held for so long. After reviewing the charts it looks as though gold, silver and gold miner stocks are set to move higher for a few weeks or longer.

Below are the charts of gold and silver charts. Each candle stick is 4 hours allowing us to look back 1-2 months while still being able to see all the intraday price action (pivot highs, pivot lows, volume spikes and price patterns).

The 4 hour chart is one time frame most traders overlook but from my experience I find it to be the best one for spotting day trades, momentum trades and swing trades which pack a powerful and quick punch.

As you can see below with the annotated charts gold, silver and gold miner stocks are setting up for higher prices over the next 2-3 weeks. That being said we may see a couple days of weakness first before they start moving up again.

4 Hour Momentum Chart of Gold:

Gold1

4 Hour Momentum Chart of Silver:

Silver2

Daily Chart of Gold Miner Stocks:

Gold miner stocks have been under performing precious metals for over a year already. Looking at the daily chart we are starting to see signs that gold miner stocks could move up sharply at the trade down at support, oversold and with price/volume action signaling a possible bottom

GoldMiners3

Daily Chart of US Dollar Index:

The US Dollar index has formed a possible large Head & Shoulders pattern meaning the dollar could fall sharply any day. The size of this chart pattern indicates that if the dollar breaks down below its support neckline the we should expect the dollar to fall for 2-3 weeks before finding support.
Keep in mind that a falling dollar typically means higher stock and commodity prices. If this senario plays out then we should see the market top late April which falls inline with the saying “Sell In May and Go Away”.

Dollar3

Precious Metals Conclusion:

Looking forward 2-3 weeks precious metals seem to be setting up for higher prices as we go into earning season and May. Overall the market is close to a top so it could be a bumpy ride as the market works on forming a top in April.

Chris Vermeulen
www.GoldAndOilGuy.com




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Timing & trends

Current Gold & Oil Trading Patterns Unfolding

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Posted by Chris Vermulen - GoldandOilGuy.com

on Thursday, 29 March 2012 07:05

The past two months we have seen all the focus from traders and investors be on the equities market. And rightly so and stocks run higher and higher. But there are two commodities that look ready to explode being gold and oil (actually three if you count silver).

Below are the charts of gold futures and crude oil 4 hour charts. Each candle stick is 4 hours allows us to look back 1-2 months while still being able to see all the intraday price action (pivot highs, pivot lows, strong volume spikes and if they were buyers or sellers…).

The 4 hour chart is one time frame most traders overlook but from my experience I find it to be the best one for spotting day trades, momentum trades and swing trades which pack a powerful yes quick punch.

As you can see below with the annotated charts both gold and silver are setting up for higher prices in the next 1-2 weeks from a technical point of view. That being said we may see a couple days of weakness first before they start moving up again.

4 Hour Momentum Charts of Gold & Oil:


GoldAndOilGuy
 

Watch Full Video Analysis:

HERE

 


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Timing & trends

Simply "The World's Most Valuable Asset in a Time of Crisis"

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Posted by Porter Stansberry via Stansberry's Investment Advisory

on Wednesday, 28 March 2012 07:00

There's one reliable, common and briliant investment that has proved to be even better than gold or silver in crisis. In fact, since 1970, a year before the U.S. went off the gold standard, this investment has easily outpaced both stocks and gold.

Farmland vs Gold - SP 500

Its certainly reasonable to expect a crisis of the US losing Reserve Currency status and the ability to fund its spending/deficits too,  given its borrowing 40 cents of every dollar it spends & Obama has added more debt than all of the Presidents in history:

Its FARMLAND: Click on either chart or HERE to read the full report

path to prosperity1



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