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Timing & trends

ECM Turning Point this Weekend

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Posted by Martin Armstrong - Armstrong Economics

on Friday, 24 November 2017 05:46

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The Turning Point on the ECM is this weekend. We do happen to have a Directional Change next week in the Dow with the next turning point due the week of 12/04 and that is followed by the week of 12/18. What is most curious, is the fact that the Dow, Euro, Gold, and Oil all have the same timing targets, with oil showing the week of 12/04 is the strongest.

We are witnessing the global markets beginning to align. This is implying that international expectations are starti9ng to dominate domestic or isolated market fundamentals.

We do not expect this turning point to be a monumental one. What this reflects is the markets are starting to align preparing for 2018 and the beginning of a new round of fun and games.

....also from Martin:

Fed Admits is Does Not Understand The Markets

and

EU Concern Rising About Italian Debt



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Timing & trends

All The Old World Systems Are Being Deliberately Torn Down

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Posted by ZeroHedge

on Thursday, 23 November 2017 07:20

As we approach the holiday season many people turn to thoughts on tradition, heritage, principles, duty, honor and family. They consider the accomplishments and even the failures of the past and where we are headed in the future. For most of the year, the average American will keep their heads in the sands of monotony and decadence and distraction. But during this time, even in the midst of the consumption frenzy it has been molded into, people tend to reflect, and they find joy, and they find worry.

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What perhaps does not come to mind very often though are the institutions and structures that provide the "stability" by which our society is able to continue in a predictable manner. While many of these institutions are not built with the good of the public in mind, they often indirectly secure a foundation that can be relied upon, for two or three generations, while securing power for the establishment. The problem is, the establishment is never satisfied with a static or semi-peaceful system for very long. They are not satisfied by being MOSTLY in control, they seek total control. Thus, they are often willing to create chaos and crisis and even tear down old structures that previously benefited them in order to gain something even greater (and more oppressive for the rest of us).

.....continue reading HERE

...also from ZeroHedge

Chinese Stocks Plummet: Shanghai Tumbles Most In 17 Months As Bond Rout Spreads



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Timing & trends

Tesla Approaches Terminal Decline

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Posted by Andreas Hopf - Special Situations

on Thursday, 23 November 2017 07:01

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- Financial performance deteriorates - structural unprofitability likely.

- Most cash raised recently is already burnt - next equity sale looms.

- Institutional ownership declines - distribution continues.

- Management churn accelerates - corporate culture looks damaged.

- Only the story matters - the stock remains a trade vehicle.

Here we are, seven months later, and Tesla's (NASDAQ:TSLA) financial performance deteriorates at an alarming rate. Bearish macro scenarios, always just around the corner since 2011, refuse to play out and Queen TINA and King FOMO remain enthroned. The much anticipated interest rate assault by central banks is further delayed. And once it arrives, it will do so in rather piecemeal fashion, unlike the infamous macro-scaremongers suspect. No surprise then that the Panglossian valuation of Tesla abides, while journalists and analysts alike continue falling for every new-fangled non-profit idea emerging from Palo Alto.

And then, as long as 1) wealthy consumers in western nations but also China are eager to seek indulgence by way of green-washing and, 2) are in search of a Steve Jobs replacement persona onto which they can project their hopes for a gleaming future and, 3) are disillusioned with the establishment and its leaders, the company will likely succeed to raise cash again. Some say it might already be too big to fail.

The Tesla narrative is based on an illusion, a contradictio in adjecto - the promise that humankind can shop and consume itself into a sustainable future. However, even a million Teslas on the world’s roads will not impact the environment for better or worse. It is a systemic issue. The Financial Times agrees. Sustainability and promoting the purchase of raw-material consuming heavyweight products are mutually exclusive. There is no right life in the wrong, to paraphrase Theodor Adorno.

At the time of writing, the company’s precarious financial position shows that it remains a bottomless pit. Let’s go in.

....continue reading HERE



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Timing & trends

World Markets Update

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Posted by Jill Mislinski - Advisor Perspectives

on Tuesday, 21 November 2017 05:52

All eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains for 2017 through November 20. The top performer thus far is Hong Kong's Hang Seng with a gain of 33.0%, followed by India's BSE SENSEX at 25.43%. In third is Tokyo's Nikkei with 16.47%.

The Last Four Weeks

The tables below provide a concise overview of performance comparisons over the last four weeks for these eight major indexes. We've also included the average for each week so that we can evaluate the performance of a specific index relative to the overall mean and better understand weekly volatility. The colors for each index name help us visualize the comparative performance over time.

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2017 YTD Performance

Here is an overlay of the eight illustrating their comparative performance thus far in 2017.

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....continue reading for the Bear Market Perspective,  the Longer Term Perspective & Charts HERE

 

also from Advisor Perspectives:

Six Themes That Will Drive The Next 5 Years



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Timing & trends

Bitcoin Invalidates Breakdown

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Posted by Mike McCara - Sunshine Profits

on Monday, 20 November 2017 06:04

.....related: All the Reasons Cryptocurrencies Will Never Replace Gold as Your Financial Hedge

Square, a payment company, is playing around with Bitcoin. In an article on CNBC, we read:

Jack Dorsey's company is testing support for bitcoin through its Cash payments app.

"We're exploring how Square can make this experience faster and easier, and have rolled out this feature to a small number of Cash app customers," a Square spokesperson said via email to CNBC. "We believe cryptocurrency can greatly impact the ability of individuals to participate in the global financial system and we're excited to learn more here."

The test does not allow individuals or businesses to send or accept bitcoin, Square said.

Shares of Square spiked more than 5 percent Wednesday to a record high as one Wall Street firm was quick to recommend the stock on this potential development. The stock closed up 2.3 percent at $40.66 a share.

We are always skeptical when we hear something like: “Stock X has rallied because Y.” It is very hard to pinpoint specific reasons behind a given move. We’re not saying that the Bitcoin news was not the reason why Square went up. We’d simply rather say that it is a possibility rather than certainty as it might be gleaned from many media stories. The same goes for the “Bitcoin goes up because of the Square move” story. Wait, does Bitcoin affect Square or does Square affect Bitcoin? Which one is it? Or is it both? You can immediately appreciate the subtlety of any reasonable answer. While the Square story reads well and for precisely this reason is featured heavily in the media, the recent price move might have implications for the Bitcoin market beyond the possible temporary impact of the news.

For now, let’s focus on the charts.

bitcoin-alert-2017-11-16-01



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