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Timing & trends

The Wall Of Worry Is Gone

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Posted by Bob Hoye - Institutional Advisors

on Tuesday, 26 September 2017 06:33

“The Wall of Worry is Gone”

                                                                 – Zero Hedge, September 15, 2017.

“Every bull market climbs a wall of worry and with a rush of enthusiasm, leaps over only to find ‘Murphy’ waiting.”

                                                                                                    – Institutional Advisors, at the peaks in 2007 and 2000. As well as now.

Through the summer we received questions about how the stock market could roll over after registering high momentum and sentiment readings on the surge into June. Then in August, the DJIA soared to accomplish the same excesses. And as we have been noting if this arose in 2017, the action could set a cyclical peak, rather than another trading high as in 2015. Our target since the April Springboard Buy has been that New York could accomplish the final surge of the bull market into September.

The Zero Hedge chart provides fresh and vivid indication of excess – at a key time.

Of course, the stock exchange is a market of individual stocks, and Wall Street has been doing its best in suggesting individual stocks represents attractive value. No need to change investor’s behavior.

Maybe this could soon be criticized.

Checklist for a Top

With buoyant action into September it is appropriate to review our “Checklist”.

Is the market up when it should be? Yes. The action has been likely to accomplish a final thrust into September and perhaps into early October.

Are there signs of speculation? Yes. This piece provides outstanding examples.

How sound is the fundamental story? The prospect of a pro-business administration is now in the market but has yet to be achieved.

 Screen Shot 2017-09-26 at 6.52.05 AM



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Timing & trends

The 3 Most Popular Articles Of The Week

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Posted by Money Talks Editor

on Saturday, 23 September 2017 07:54

ldr117-the-canadian-press1. The Feds & Small Business: A Breathtaking Disconnect

   by Michael Campbell

The massive backlash coming from Family businesses, Doctors, Lawyers Farmers & small businesses is an indication just how little the architects of this legislation understand small businesses. Or understand how much they already pay in taxes. 

...read more HERE

2. Great Interview with the Legend, Jim Dines

 by Michael Campbell & Jim Dines

Jim Dines, author of The Dines Letter has been ranked #1 several times by Timers Digest. He joins Mike to discuss the best growth areas in the market along with why the boom in marijuana stocks is just beginning. Plus his latest on gold and silver. 

....continue HERE

3. Get Ready for an Interesting October Folks - Peter Schiff, Bill Gross, BlackRock

Peter Schiff touches on a key point the feel-good-investor must now consider: we have never seen a Federal Reserve try to unwind a balance sheet of this size before, no less against the backdrop of robo-trading and real-time news.

....read it all HERE



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Timing & trends

John Embry – The Charade Is About To End And The Implications For The Public Are Horrifying

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Posted by King World News

on Thursday, 21 September 2017 06:43

KWN-Zappa-864x400 cAs the world digests the propaganda released from the Federal Reserve about their preposterous plan to reduce their balance sheet, today John Embry told King World News:

 “Eric, at this point the manipulation of all markets has become so blatant and the lying about the economy so intense that one has to wonder what is really going on behind the curtain…

....continue reading HERE

....also from King World News:

DANGER: This Major Warning Indicator Just Hit An All-Time Record, But This Is Truly Shocking!



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Timing & trends

Real Investment Report: Winter Is Coming

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Posted by Lance Roberts - The Real Investment Reportport

on Monday, 18 September 2017 07:49

  • Review & Update
  • Bonds Send A Signal
  • Sector & Market Analysis

Review & Update

Two weeks ago, I noted:

“I have a sneaky suspicion that when I update the Fed Balance Sheet reinvestment analysis next week, shown below, we are going to find a substantial, well-timed, reinvestment by the Central Bank. Wanna bet?  Well, here is the updated chart of the 4-week net change to the Fed’s balance sheet. As you can see, reinvestments have, once again, returned to the market in a very “timely” fashion. Of course, since the Fed claims they are not trying to, nor are they influenced by, the markets, this is purely coincidental. (#SarcasmAlert)”

Fed-Balance-Sheet-090817

Here is the updated chart this week as the markets broke out to new “all-time highs.”  I changed the coloration to more clearly show balance sheet expansion periods more closely.



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Timing & trends

James Dines - The Legend Returns to Money Talks Sept. 16th

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Posted by Michael Campbell & The Legend James Dines

on Friday, 15 September 2017 12:22

Screen Shot 2017-09-15 at 12.22.54 PM

In the financial world, there are “analysts”... and then there are legends.

And this man is a LEGEND. 

Over the past 70 years (!) James Dines has consistently made accurate, and profitable, predictions about the financial world. His list of accomplishments can be seen in his Biography.

In a rare engagement, at 90 plus years old James Dines joins Michael Campbell on Money Talks this Saturday Sept. 16th. for a very special interview.

Last interviewed by Mike on Sept. 10th 2016 - Dines major profitability at that point had been gained in the Gold and Silver Stocks. Dines went bullish on Gold & Silver on Feb 13 2016 just two days before before Gold & Silver stocks erupted. Doubles, triples even a 4 bagger on:

First Majestic FR.TO which went from 5.75 to 24 in the next 6 months as illustrated in the chart below:

                                          (Chart Dated Feb 1st 2016 to Sept. 10th 2016)

First Majestic 

But that is not all. 

The XAU Gold Stock Average ran from 55 to its peak of 115 6 months later on August 8th 2016. The junior Gold Market Average GDXJ ran from 22 to 50 on August 8th. 

Dines said "he has never experienced a gold and silver rally so steep before". Extremely bullish Gold and Silver, the power of the initial rally has a long term meaning. Right now Jim thinks the present rally, because of the power of the 2016 rally might be the first step of the 3rd wave he has been looking for. The first step was the rally $35 - $800 in the 1980's, the second step rally was from April 2001 @ $255 to $1850 in 2011). James believes that the 3rd step would take gold to long term target of $3000 - $5000 an ounce.

Now with Gold & Silver rallying for the first time since James was last with us Sept 10th 2016, Mike has persuaded Jim to come back and tell us why he predicts in this 3rd wave an astonishing move in Silver to $300 to $500 an ounce.

Don't miss this wonderful opportunity to hear this legend tomorrow on Money Talks. It may well be the most important interview you will hear for some time to come. 

Listen to Money Talks Live HERE @ 8:30 am - 10:00 am PST Saturday Sept. 16th

 

 



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