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Timing & trends

Speculators Bearish as Dollar Tries to Hold Major Support

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Posted by John Derrick via Financial Sense

on Tuesday, 08 August 2017 06:59

FS Insider recently spoke with John Derrick, CFA, President of the Derrick Letter, regarding his outlook on the dollar, the US stock market, and more. Derrick believes there is a good case to be made that we are nearing the end of the dollar's decline and that the risks of a near-term correction in the US stock market have increased (see Derrick: Retail Investors Buying As Institutions Trim Back for audio).

us-dollar-support

Dollar Weakness Set to Reverse



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Timing & trends

The Top 3 Articles of the Week

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Posted by Money Talks Editor

on Saturday, 05 August 2017 06:57

Screen Shot 2017-08-05 at 6.22.02 AM1. Jim Rogers: Gold Prices Will Be 'Explosive,' Just Wait and See

Is it time for the market to crash? Legendary investor Jim Rogers discusses his predictions for the biggest financial crisis we’ll see in our lifetimes, and how he’ll be protecting himself. “Gold is going to be explosive in the next few years,” Rogers said, as he gave his insight on gold, the U.S. dollar, and the crypto-craze.

...read more HERE

2. What's Feeding The Weakness In The Dollar

   by Martin Armstrong 

US President Donald Trump may be a good businessman, but in politics, he just does not get it. Politics is all about ego and back-stabbing. It is not about logic and the art of the deal. After just ten days in the office, Trump’s communications chief, Anthony Scaramucci has been forced to resign. It has been this downturn in Trump’s administration that feeds the weakness of the dollar.

....continue HERE

3. Eric Coffin: A Positive Period To Buy is Just Beginning

By Michael Campbell

Featured guest is Eric Coffin notes that there is usually a couple of periods a year when precious metals are positive and we are just beginning the stronger of the two that will run into this fall. Eric also notes that the committments of Traders (COT) was as bullish two weeks ago as it was in late 2015 just prior to the $329 rise in Gold thru the first half of 2016. Eric explains why he recommends San Marco Resources Inc. (SMN.V) and Vendetta Mining Corp. (VTT.V) 

....read it all HERE



Timing & trends

What Is Widespread Excessive Optimism Indicating?

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Posted by Chris Vermeulen - The Gold & Oil Guy

on Friday, 04 August 2017 06:55

I implement these “seasonality” charts as they have been a great framework into all of my trading/investing technical analysis.  Seasonality charts are constructed from the past thirty years of historical data.

I implement them as “contrarian indicators”.  The “extreme bullishness” is perceived as bearish and the “extreme bearishness” is perceived as bullish! 

In the chart below, it displays the spread between the percentage of bulls and percentage of bears rather than just looking at bulls or bears in ‘isolation’.  Many deeper internals of the BIGGER PICTURE of the overall market sentiment become more relevant!

The sentiment consensus scenario seems to be ‘lulling’ everyone to become “extremely bullish” which is a FLASHING RED WARNING SIGNAL. 

chart1

The chart below displays only the total put/call ratio to provide the most comprehensive view of options sentiment. A high put/call ratio indicates “negative sentiment”. 



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Timing & trends

Are Investors Running Out Of Cash?

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Posted by ZeroHedge

on Thursday, 03 August 2017 10:53

20170803 cashOne survey finds the lowest investor cash position since the stock market top in 2000. 

Specifically, the July 2017 reading of investor cash came in at 14.5%. This was the lowest level in the survey since January 2000. In fact, the only lower readings in the survey’s history back to 1987 occurred in January-April 1998, July 1999 and November 1999-January 2000.

... more analysis & view chart HERE



Timing & trends

US stocks are overheated; so Marc Faber is buying Asian shares, and gold

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Posted by Marc Faber via Financial Express

on Thursday, 03 August 2017 07:54

marc-faber-reuters-1Marc Faber reveals his asset allocation strategy to tide over the risks posed by the US equity markets.

Marc Faber’s disenchantment with equity shares, especially US stocks, is well-known. However, it is not very often that the 80-year old veteran gives others an insight into his portfolio. Often referred to as Dr Doom, renowned investor Marc Faber — the author of Gloom, Boom & Doom report — said this week that he has allocated only a quarter of his portfolio to equities, and that too, mainly in Asia. The remaining three-fourths of Marc Faber’s money is mainly divided between real estate, precious metal and gold shares.

The reason is simple: Marc Faber is not a believer in the rally in the US stock markets, and seems to be openly opposed to the US President Donald Trump’s ideas!

...continue reading HERE

 



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