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Todd Market Forecast: Change To Bullish US Dollar

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Posted by Stephen Todd - Todd Market Forecast

on Wednesday, 13 September 2017 17:51

5:00pm PST Monday May 8, 2017

DOW + 39 on 13 net advances

NASDAQ COMP + 6 on172 net advances

SHORT TERM TREND Bullish

INTERMEDIATE TERM Bullish

STOCKS: Stocks spent most of the day in a high level consolidation with a bias to the upside. The main catalyst for the market seemed to be the price of oil and the accompanying rally in oil stocks. The word was decreased supply worldwide although the U.S. figures didn't reflect that.

Near term setbacks aside, I continue to believe that we have unfinished business on the upside.

GOLD: Gold resumed its decline, down $6. Rising rates and a rising dollar were instrumental.

CHART One of the more bullish considerations is the fact that the U.S. rally isn't an isolated phenomenon. Stock markets around the world are rallying. We thought that perhaps the German market was leading us down in July and August, especially since seasonality was a negative, but it now looks like this market is getting back in gear with our market.

Screen_Shot_2017-09-13_at_5.12.55_PM.png

BOTTOM LINE:  (Trading)



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Stocks & Equities

YOU HAVE BEEN WARNED: The Situation In The Markets Is Much Worse Than You Realize

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Posted by Steve St. Angelo - SRSrocco Report

on Monday, 11 September 2017 06:30

It’s about time that I share with you all a little secret.  The situation in the markets is much worse than you realize.  While that may sound like someone who has been crying “wolf” for the past several years, in all honesty, the public has no idea just how dire our present situation has become.

The amount of debt, leverage, deceit, corruption, and fraud in the economic markets, financial system, and in the energy industry are off the charts.  Unfortunately, the present condition is even much worse when we consider “INSIDER INFORMATION.”

What do I mean by insider information… I will explain that in a minute.  However, I receive a lot of comments on my site and emails stating that the U.S. Dollar is A-okay and our domestic oil industry will continue pumping out cheap oil for quite some time.  They say… “No need to worry.  Business, as usual, will continue for the next 2-3 decades.”

I really wish that were true.  Believe me, when I say this, I am not rooting for a collapse or breakdown of our economic and financial markets.  However, the information, data, and facts that I have come across suggest that the U.S. and global economy will hit a brick wall within the next few years.

How I Acquire My Information, Data & Facts

To put out the original information in my articles and reports, I spend a great deal of time researching the internet on official websites, alternative media outlets, and various blogs.  Some of the blogs that I read, I find more interesting information in the comment section than in the article.  For example, the Peakoilbarrel.com site is visited by a lot of engineers and geologists in the oil and gas industry.  Their comments provide important “on-hands insight” in the energy sector not found on the Mainstream Media.

I also have a lot of contacts in the various industries that either forward information via email or share during phone conversations.  Some of the information that I receive from these contacts, I include in my articles and reports.  However, there is a good bit of information that I can’t share, because it was done with the understanding that I would not reveal the source or intelligence.

Of course, some readers may find that a bit cryptic, but it’s the truth.  Individuals have contacted me from all over the world and in different levels of industry and business.  Some people are the working staff who understand th reality taking place in the plant or field, while others are higher ranking officers.  Even though I have been receiving this sort of contact for the past 4-5 years, the number has increased significantly over the past year and a half.

That being said, these individuals contacted me after coming across my site because they wanted to share valuable information and their insight of what was going on in their respective industires.  The common theme from most of these contacts was…. GOSH STEVE, IT’S MUCH WORSE THAN YOU REALIZE.  Yes, that is what I heard over and over again.

If my readers and followers believe I am overly pessimistic or cynical, your hair will stand up on your neck if you knew just how bad the situation was BEHIND THE SCENES.

Unfortunately, we in the Alternative Media have been lobotomized to a certain degree due to the constant propaganda from the Mainstream Media and market intervention by the Fed and Central Banks.  A perfect example of the massive market rigging is found in Zerohedge’s recent article; Central Banks Have Purchased $2 Trillion In Assets In 2017 :

….. so far in 2017 there has been $1.96 trillion of central bank purchases of financial assets in 2017 alone, as central bank balance sheets have grown by $11.26 trillion since Lehman to $15.6 trillion.

What is interesting about the nearly $2 trillion in Central Bank purchases so far in 2017, is that the average for each year was only $1.5 trillion.  We can plainly see that the Central Banks had to ramp up asset purchases as the Ponzi Scheme seems to be getting out of hand.

So, how bad is the current economic and financial situation in the world today?  If we take a look at the chart in the next section, it may give you a clue.

THE DEATH OF BEAR STEARNS: A Warning For Things To Come

It seems like a lot of people already forgot about the gut-wrenching 2008-2009 economic and financial crash.  During the U.S. Banking collapse, two of the country’s largest investment banks, Lehman Brothers, and Bear Stearns went belly up.  Lehman Brothers was founded in 1850 and Bear Stearns in 1923.  In just one year, both of those top Wall Street Investment Banks ceased to exist.

Now, during the 2001-2007 U.S. housing boom heyday, it seemed like virtually no one had a clue just how rotten of a company Bear Stearns had become.  Looking at the chart below, we can see the incredible RISE & FALL of Bear Stearns:

The-Death-of-Bear-Stearns-Chart-768x606



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Stocks & Equities

S&P 500 Still Close To Record High, Will Uptrend Continue?

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Posted by Paul Rejczak - Sunshine Profits

on Thursday, 07 September 2017 06:35

Briefly:

Intraday trade: Our yesterday's neutral intraday outlook has proved accurate. The S&P 500 index fluctuated within a relatively narrow trading range of 10 points. The broad stock market index may extend its short-term consolidation today. Therefore, we prefer to be out of the market, avoiding low risk/reward ratio trades.

Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is bearish, as we expect downward correction. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish

The main U.S. stock market indexes gained 0.3% on Wednesday, extending their short-term fluctuations following last week's move up, as investors reacted to economic data announcements, among others. The S&P 500 index extends its over-month-long consolidation along the level of 2,450. It currently trades around 1% below the August 8 all-time high of 2,490.87. The Dow Jones Industrial Average trades along the level of 21,800, and the technology Nasdaq Composite index remains close to record high, as it trades along 6,400 mark. The nearest important level of resistance of the S&P 500 index is at around 2,470-2,475, marked by Tuesday's daily gap down of 2,471.97-2,473.85. The next resistance level is at 2,480-2,490, marked by recent local high and the above-mentioned August's record high. On the other hand, support level is at around 2,445, marked by Tuesday's daily low. The next level of support is at around 2.430-2,435, marked by previous daily gap up of 2,430.58-2,433.67 and last week's Wednesday's daily low. The broad stock market continues to trade within an over-month-long consolidation following November-July uptrend. Will it continue higher? Or is this some medium-term topping pattern before downward reversal?

1

Short-Term Uncertainty



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Stocks & Equities

New Record Highs Ahead Or Just Bounce? S&P 500 Above 2,450 Mark

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Posted by Paul Rejczak - Sunshine Profits

on Tuesday, 05 September 2017 08:53

Briefly:

Intraday trade: The S&P 500 index may slightly extend its short-term advance today. However, we can see some technical overbought conditions that may lead to a downward correction. Therefore, we prefer to be out of the market again, avoiding low risk/reward ratio trades.

Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is bearish, as we expect downward correction. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish

The U.S. stock market indexes gained between 0.1% and 1.1% on Wednesday, extending their short-term uptrend following better-than-expected economic data releases, among others. The S&P 500 index broke above its short-term consolidation along the level of 2,440-2,450. It is currently trading just 1.3% below the August 8 all-time high of 2,490.87. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was relatively weaker than the broad stock market, as it gained 0.1%, and technology Nasdaq Composite gained 1.1%. The nearest important level of resistance of the S&P 500 index is now at 2,465-2,475, marked by previous support level and local highs. The next resistance level is at 2,490-2,500, marked by the above-mentioned all-time high. On the other hand, support level is at 2,440-2,450, marked by previous level of resistance. The next support level is at 2.430-2,435, marked by last Tuesday's daily gap up and Wednesday's daily low. The support level is also at 2,400-2,420. The market has retraced most of its recent downtrend, as it broke above 2,450 mark. Will uptrend continue? Or is this just an upward move within a consolidation? The S&P 500 index continues to trade within a medium-term consolidation following early June breakout above 2,400 mark, as we can see on the daily chart:

nmx

Will Uptrend Continue?



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Sentiment Speaks: Greed Is Not Good

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Posted by Avi Gilburt via Seeking Alpha

on Tuesday, 05 September 2017 06:42

Screen Shot 2017-09-05 at 7.41.39 AMSummary

The pitfall of buying high.

Leveraged ETF’s.

A real-life Example.

The market pinball wizard.

Special announcement.

As many of you know, I run a trading room with well over 3000 members, and have over 450 money manager clients. I have seen the good, the bad, and the ugly as far as what traders and investors do through the years. And, no matter how much I warn about the pitfalls in the market, many chose to ignore me, and eventually learn on their own the hard way.

The Pitfall Of Buying High

First, I would suggest you begin by reading an article I wrote several years ago, which should describe what every new trader/investor goes through as they begin their career.

BUYING HIGH; SELLING LOW: NO NO NO!!

And, if it sounds familiar, well, then you are in good company, as most of us have gone through it. The question is if you will learn from it. Unfortunately, most do not.

Leveraged ETFs



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