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Stocks & Equities

Today's Market - The Waiting Game

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Posted by Seeking Alpha

on Wednesday, 24 May 2017 07:38

Summary

Stocks were frozen in place in premarket trade.

The U.S. dollar was likewise little changed.

We are playing a waiting game today until the 2:00 PM release of the Fed meeting minutes.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes will be published at 2:00 PM EDT. If the minutes show a Fed worried about the outlook for inflation and/or talking about possibly raising the trajectory of monetary policy tightening, well then stocks should take a hit. I think this is more likely than not given what we know already, though we may not learn of it until we see the Fed's updated economic projections in mid-June.

....continue reading HERE

also: 

48181402-14954793953869407Volatility is at generational lows, and a new crop of products has made it easy to sell.

Time To Buy Volatility?



Stocks & Equities

Hedge Fund Managers Pour SALT on U.S. Stocks, Look to Europe

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Posted by Frank Holmes - US Global Investors

on Tuesday, 23 May 2017 13:24

COMM-skybridge-capital-salt-conference-liz-claman-sam-zell-mark-mobius-05192017

Europe is back on the map. That was one of the main takeaways last week from the SkyBridge Alternatives (SALT) hedge fund conference in Las Vegas, where $3 trillion in assets was represented. Speaker after speaker touted European equities for their attractive valuations and as a means to diversify away from the volatile American market in light of rising U.S. geopolitical risk. France’s election of centrist Emmanuel Macron over far-right nationalist Marine Le Pen this month has especially eased investors’ fears that antiestablishment forces would challenge the integrity of the European Union (EU).

Economic growth is finally picking up in Europe—“solid and broad,” as European Central Bank (ECB) president Mario Draghi recently put it—and many countries’ purchasing managers’ indexes (PMIs) are at five- and six-year highs. Export orders and hiring have accelerated. Labor participation is improving. European commodity sectors, including energy and metals, look cheap and oversold, meaning it might be time to start accumulating.

Trading at around 17 times earnings, European companies are priced to move compared to American firms, which are trading at 22 times earnings.

European Stocks Have an Attractive Dividend Yield

Dividend yields also look attractive relative to U.S. stocks. The MSCI Emerging Europe Index, which is most heavily weighted in Russian, Polish and Turkish stocks, currently yields 3.2 percent. The S&P 500 Index, by comparison, yields 2 percent.



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Stocks & Equities

Stock Life Cycles and Maximizing Profits

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Posted by Clive Maund via Streetwise Reports

on Tuesday, 23 May 2017 07:11

Technical analyst Clive Maund describes the life cycle of stocks, and pinpoints the stage in the cycle that is optimal for investment. 

maundcover5-22

Stocks are like living things. They are born, grow, mature, age and decline and then die, or are reborn, which reflects the fact that the companies on which they are based do likewise. 

This should not be so surprising since companies are comprised of people. Whole industries come and go as a result of the evolution of technology and changing fashions. A simple example of this is provided by the music industry, where first you had vinyl, then cassettes, then CDs and now the industry is moving to downloads, with vinyl making a niche comeback. If you as a company had insisted on continuing to produce music on vinyl or on cassettes, you would have gone the way of the Dodo bird



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Stocks & Equities

Why A Short Position In The SP500 Index Is Justified

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Posted by Paul Rejczak - Sunshine Profits

on Thursday, 18 May 2017 08:45

Stock Trading Alert originally sent to subscribers on May 18, 2017, 6:55 AM.

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,410, and profit target at 2,200, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

The U.S. stock market indexes lost 1.8-2.6% on Wednesday, breaking below their recent short-term consolidation, as investors reacted to U.S. politics news, among others. The S&P 500 index has reached new record high of 2,405.77 on Tuesday. However, it failed to continue the uptrend and sold off yesterday, following a gap down opening of the trading session. The Dow Jones Industrial Average got closer to level of 20,600 again, and the technology Nasdaq Composite index fell the most (-2.6%), as it got closer to 6,000 mark. The nearest important level of support of the S&P 500 index is now at 2,350-2.355, marked by late April daily gap up, among others. The next level of support is at 2,320-2,330, marked by previous local lows. On the other hand, resistance level is now at around 2,370, marked by previous level of support. The next resistance level is at 2,385-2,395, marked by yesterday's daily gap down of 2,384.87-2,396.05. The resistance level is also at 2,400-2,405, marked by the above-mentioned new record high. Is this a topping pattern before medium-term downward reversal? The uptrend accelerated on March 1 and it looked like a blow-off top pattern accompanied by some buying frenzy. The S&P 500 index trades below its medium-term upward trend line, as we can see on the daily chart:

1



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Stocks & Equities

Stock Trading Alert: Stocks Fluctuate Along Record Highs - Topping Pattern Or Just Pause?

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Posted by Paul Rejczak - Sunshine Profits

on Thursday, 11 May 2017 09:09

Sent to subscribers on May 11, 2017, 6:56 AM.

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,410, and profit target at 2,200, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

The main U.S. stock market indexes were mixed between -0.2% and +0.1% on Wednesday, extending their short-term fluctuations, as investors took short-term profits off the table. The S&P 500 index remains close to its Tuesday's new all-time high at the level of 2,403.87. The index has broken slightly above the March 1 high on Tuesday, before closing lower by 0.1%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average remained below the level of 21,000, and the technology Nasdaq Composite index continued to trade above the level of 6,100. Will the broad stock market index continue its eight-year-long bull market? The nearest important level of support of the S&P 500 index is now at 2,390, marked by short-term local low. The next support level remains at 2,375-2,380, marked by the April 25 daily gap up of 2,376.98-2,381.15. The support level is also at 2,355-2,370, marked by the April 24 daily gap up. On the other hand, the nearest important level of resistance is at 2,400-2.405, marked by new record high, among others. We can see some volatility following six-month-long rally off last year's November low at around 2,100. Is this a topping pattern before medium-term downward reversal? The uptrend accelerated on March 1 and it looked like a blow-off top pattern accompanied by some buying frenzy. The S&P 500 index is currently trading along its medium-term upward trend line, as we can see on the daily chart:

1



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