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New Hindenburg Alert

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Posted by Ross Clark - Institutional Advisors

on Tuesday, 22 August 2017 06:39

A new Hindenburg signal was generated on August 16th. This follows the signal in May and its confirmation in June. That combination resulted in a minor correction to the 50-day moving average in the S&P.

The current signal comes on the heels of what was a very close call on August 8th when only one ingredient was missing from the strict rules. If the S&P can’t hold at the 50-day ema then we should be prepared for a deeper break to the 150-day average (2388).

See the June 28th report for further background information in the Hindenburg Omen.

Click Image For Larger Version 

Screen Shot 2017-08-22 at 6.37.55 AM

Opinions in this report are solely those of the author. The information herein was obtained from various sources; however, we do not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. This research report is prepared for general circulation and is circulated for general information only. It does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs regarding the appropriateness of investing in any securities or investment strategies discussed or recommended in this report and should understand that statements regarding future prospects may not be realized.

Investors should note that income from such securities, if any, may fluctuate and that each security’s price or value may rise or fall. Accordingly, investors may receive back less than originally invested. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed constitutes an offer to buy or sell any securities or options or futures contracts. Foreign currency rates of exchange may adversely affect the value, price or income of any security or related investment mentioned in this report. In addition, investors in securities such as ADRs, whose values are influenced by the currency of the underlying security, effectively assume currency risk. Moreover, from time to time, members of the Institutional Advisors team may be long or short positions discussed in our publications.

BOB HOYE, INSTITUTIONAL ADVISORS

EMAIL bhoye.institutionaladvisors@telus.net WEBSITE www.institutionaladvisors.com 



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Stocks & Equities

Some Big Wall Street Players Are Starting to Sweat a Crash

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Posted by Shah Gilani - Money Morrning

on Monday, 21 August 2017 07:16

Here's what to do if they're right...

wall-street-signWhen it comes to the stock market, everything’s always all good… until it isn’t.

And it’s been all good: U.S. stocks have been rallying for nine years, making successive all-time highs, with only sporadic bouts of profit-taking by the Nervous Nellies along the way.

But now, some huge investors – marquee names – are getting nervous.

And they’re letting people know about it, too…

Between them, these giants are pushing around close to $1.7 trillion in capital – more than enough for them to be able to make waves wherever they go.

I’m going to show you what to do if these whales are right; they just might be…

Meet the (Very Wealthy and Powerful) Bears



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Stocks & Equities

High-Profile Sectors Start To Roll Over

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Posted by John Rubino - DollarCollapse.com

on Monday, 21 August 2017 06:42

Long credit cycles like the current one always end with a crash. But first they deteriorate. The headline numbers remain positive while under the surface a growing list of sectors start to falter. It’s only when the latter reach a critical mass that market psychology turns dark.

How far along is this process today? Pretty far, it seems, as some high-profile industries roll over:

Deep’ Subprime Car Loans Hit Crisis-Era Milestone

(Bloomberg) – Amid all the reflection on the 10-year anniversary of the start of the subprime loan crisis, here’s a throwback that investors could probably do without.

There’s a section of the auto-loan market — known in industry parlance as deep subprime — where delinquency rates have ticked up to levels last seen in 2007, according to data compiled by credit reporting bureau Equifax.

“Performance of recent deep subprime vintages is awful,” Equifax said in a slide show on second-quarter credit trends.

Analysts have been warning for years that subprime car loans pose a threat to lenders as delinquency rates have edged higher since reaching a post-recession low in 2012. But it wasn’t until last quarter that the least creditworthy borrowers started to show the kinds of late payment profiles that accompanied the start of the financial crisis.

“We’re seeing an increase in delinquencies across all credit scores, but in deep subprime, the rise is more substantial. What stood out to me was the issuers. Those that have been doing this for a decade or more were showing the ‘better’ performance, while those that were relative newcomers were in the ‘worse’ category.”

Subprime-auto-delinquencies

Used Car Prices Crash To Lowest Level Since 2009 Amid Glut Of Off-Lease Supply 



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Stocks & Equities

Todd Market Forecast: Change To Bearish Short Term

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Posted by Stephen Todd - Todd Market Forecast

on Friday, 18 August 2017 07:05

 For Thursday August 17, 2017 3:00pm Pacific.

DOW - 274 on 1850 net declines

NASDAQ COMP - 123 on 1650 net declines

SHORT TERM TREND Bearish (change)

INTERMEDIATE TERM Bullish

STOCKS: Well, it had to happen sometime. We were stopped out of the SSO for a one point loss. This is the first loss of the year. Oh well, 10 and 1 should still get a bowl bid. More below in trading.

The market was hit by turmoil in Washington. There is concern that with there is now uncertainty about the agenda of tax cuts and infrastructure programs. The terrorist attack in Barcelona probably didn't help.

I believe that this is an overreaction. What are these Congressmen and Senators going to do? Go back to their districts and say, "Sorry we just couldn't get anything done please reelect us"?

Days like this in a bull market tend to have me looking for entry points on the long side. I am a bit wary because this is a weak seasonal period so we'll have to be extra careful in here.

I went bearish on the short term because a previous low was broken on the S&P 500 daily chart, but I doubt it will last long. This is still a bull market. Bear markets tend to only occur as a result of a recession and I don't see this at all.

GOLD: Gold was up $11 on the turmoil and a flight to safety.

CHART:  I'm not liking the fact that the S&P 500 broke a previous low (top arrows) and it's not particularly good that we became oversold so quickly again after the last oversold condition (bottom arrows). But I have also seen a break of a support followed by a six month rally. The key will be breadth. The advance decline line has to straighten out. Stay tuned.

Screen Shot 2017-08-18 at 7.02.52 AM 

BOTTOM LINE:  (Trading)



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Market Update - Intermission

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Posted by Ed Carlson - Seattle Technical Advisors

on Wednesday, 16 August 2017 06:45

Last week’s Market Update – Showtime! – announced that the time had come for a sell-off in equities and we were not disappointed as the Dow lost over 234 points (worst week since March). Internal indicators now point to a pause in the decline. It’s now time for a short Intermission.

21wk

One of those indicators is the total number of unchanged issues divided by the total number of issues traded (NYSE). It reached a low on Thursday indicating a low in equities.



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