Stocks & Equities

The Most Successful Dividend Investors of all time. Mark Leibovit Comment

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Posted by Dividend Growth Investor - Comment by Mark Leibovit

on Friday, 08 June 2012 10:20

The first investor is Anne Scheiber, who turned a $5,000 investment in 1944 into $22 million by the time of her death at the age of 101 in 1995. The second investor is Grace Groner, who turned a small $180 investment in 1935 into $7 million by the time of her death in 2010. The third dividend investor is Warren Buffett, the Oracle of Omaha himself.

Dividend investing is as sexy as watching paint dry on the wall. Defining an entry criteria that selects quality dividend stocks with rising dividends over time and then patiently reinvesting these dividends while sitting on your hands is not exciting. While active traders have a plethora of hedge fund managers on the covers of Forbes magazine there are not many well-publicized successful dividend investors. Even value investing has its own superstars – Ben Graham and Warren Buffett.

....read how these investors did it HERE

Mark Leibovit: My reaction to Bernanke's testimony in Congress yesterday is simply that the sooner this corrupt house of cards collapses, the better off we'll all be!

Bernanke only knows one thing: How to print more money! If you think that is going to change whether you call it QE3 or secret actions masked under the protected cloak of the Federal Reserve, guess again.

A sixty point rally in the S&P 500, a 500 point rally in the Dow Industrials and a 420 point rally in the TSX is apparently 'all she wrote' for this upleg. Whether we've seen THE low for my predicted May to July cyclical trough, only time will tell. (Ed Note: Mark recently went Bullish on Stocks based on Cyclical and seasonal patterns)

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Stocks & Equities

Hard Choices—The Investor’s Dilemma

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Posted by Jim Puplava: Financial Sense

on Thursday, 07 June 2012 08:12

Investors are now faced with a dilemma. Where do they place money in an era of financial repression? Do they chase Treasury yields which are now in bubble territory? Or are there safe havens still available in the stock market? I thought I would never see the day where the yield on the Dow Industrials would exceed the yield on a thirty year Treasury bond. The current stock market correction has brought the PE multiple down to 12 on the Dow Industrials and raised the dividend yield up to 2.8%. Treasuries may be seen as a safe haven but they are also fraught with risk. What happens to the price on bond funds when yields eventually rise?

The worries that plagued the market over the last two years still remain: Europe’s debt difficulties, a hard landing in China, turmoil in the Middle East, and the U.S. fiscal cliff. All of those problems still hang over the market, Europe is in a recession, China’s economy is slowing down, and many of the BRIC countries are seeing economic growth soften as we are now seeing in the U.S. To make matters worse...

....read more HERE



Stocks & Equities

Portfolio Hedging When The Bears Come Knocking

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Posted by Jon Peter - Seeking Alpha

on Wednesday, 06 June 2012 07:51

Now that the major stock market indexes are near or at the official "correction" level, that is about 10% below a recent market high - it may be time to get serious about some portfolio hedging. May was a brutal month for the market as the Dow 30 gave up all of its year to date 6%-plus gains. June (so far) doesn't look too healthy either. Also, the 200 day moving average is in danger of being breached. If the S&P 500 closes below that 200 DMA level for several days, that could trigger even more selling. That 200 DMA is a "line in the sand" to many institutional money managers. Typically the market will try and rally back when that level is reached. The market does not just go straight down or straight up. Expect counter trend rallies. If things deteriorate further here are four Exchange Traded products that could help ease the pain.

....read about the 4 Products HERE

hedging 1


Stocks & Equities

Goldman Sachs Sees Potential S&P 500 Bear Market On Europe

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Posted by Inyoung Hwang - Comment by Bob Hoye

on Tuesday, 05 June 2012 00:00

An intensifying financial crisis in Spain or elsewhere in Europe has the potential to drive American stocks into a bear market, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS)’s chief U.S. equity strategist said.

Kostin said investors face three upcoming macro events that may add uncertainty: the second round of Greek elections on June 17, the Federal Open Market Committee’s June meeting and the U.S. Supreme Court’s ruling on health-care reform.

....read more HERE

Bob Hoye in this Money Talks article, was again very clear that we are now at another critical point in the markets and that its now time to either save your capital and get out of the way, or make some money (by shorting -ED)



Stocks & Equities

The Bottom Line: Short Term Risk

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Posted by Don Vialoux - Timing the Market

on Monday, 04 June 2012 07:11

Short term risk in North American equity markets remains following the technical meltdown on Friday. However, equity markets already are deeply oversold. Downside risk is not substantial. Unfortunately, upside potential also is not significant. Look for lots of volatility during a base building period lasting until mid-July when “difficult” second quarter earnings reports are released. Thereafter, intermediate prospects are expected to improve. Be patient!

Other Issues

The VIX Index popped 4.90 (22.52%) last week. The Index recovered from the top of a reverse head and shoulders pattern. On Friday, it broke above its 200 day moving average. Short term momentum indicators are overbought, but have yet to show signs of peaking.

Economic news this week is expected to be mixed and is not expected to have a significant impact on equity markets.

Earnings news this week is not significant.

Macro events will continue to impact equity markets. Once again, the focus is on Europe. Comments by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke later this week also will be watched closely. Is Quantitative Easing III on the radar screen? Traditionally, the Fed has not made significant policy changes during four months prior to a Presidential election date. That means Fed action, if occurring, is likely to be announced before the end of July.

Headline risk is exceptionally high. The media extensively warned about a slowing U.S. economy over the weekend. The politicians on both sides of the political spectrum also were notable for their comments in the media over the weekend.

Intermediate technical indicators, most notably the break by U.S. equity indices below their 200 day moving averages, suggest that the intermediate uptrend remains downward.

Short term technical indicators for most equity markets and sectors are oversold, but have yet to show signs of bottoming.

Seasonal influences for most equity markets, sectors and commodities in the month of June are negative.

Currency trends will continue to impact equity markets. The U.S. Dollar Index is short term overbought and the Euro is short term oversold. Both recorded interesting reversals on Friday. Gold quickly responded. Will there be follow through this week?

Cash on the sidelines remains substantial. Cash hordes held by Corporate America remains high. Major commitments of cash are unlikely until the market determines the next U.S. president.

The historic pattern for U.S. equity markets during a Presidential election year were altered slightly last week when broadly based U.S. equity indices broke to new lows.

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....read more of Don's Brilliant Monday compilation of 45 Charts and commentary HERE



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