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Stocks & Equities

Use This Trade to Stomp a Boring Market

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Posted by Greg Guenthner

on Wednesday, 18 January 2017 06:25

tradingboard

  • A tight range ahead of Dow 20,000
  • Dominating the post-election melt up
  • Plus: Holding our breath before the inauguration…
  • Rude Numbers: When to Buy When to Sell

The weeks following the election lit a fire under the stock market.

In an epic rally, the Dow Industrials shot higher by 2,000 points in a matter of weeks. Forgotten sectors offered traders fresh gains every single day. The struggles from earlier in the year vanished.

How quickly things change.



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Stocks & Equities

Be Afraid of the Fear of Missing Out - V.MMS - T.QRM

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Posted by Tyler Bollhorn - StockScores

on Tuesday, 17 January 2017 17:58

tyler

perspectives commentary

Stockscores.com Perspectives for the week ending January 16, 2017

In This Week's Issue:

  • Weekly Commentary
  • Strategy of the Week
  • Stocks That Meet The Featured Strategy
  • Stockscores' Market Minutes Video - Adapt to the Market
  • Stockscores Trader Training - Be Afraid of the Fear of Missing Out
  • Stock Features of the Week - Stockscores Simple Canada

Stockscores Market Minutes - Adapt to the Market
Trading strategies can be improved by considering the state of the overall market. What works in an up trending market may not work as well if the market is heading lower or sideways. That topic, my regular weekly market analysis and the trade of the week on Sanchez Energy (SN). Click Here to Watch
To get instant updates when I upload a new video, subscribe to the Stockscores YouTube Channel

Trader Training - Be Afraid of the Fear of Missing Out
Traders, particularly those who need to make money rather than those who would like to make money, tend to have a fear of missing out. They hear about a trading idea or find an opportunity with their own effort and make the trade with less thought than they might put into buying a microwave. They can invest thousands of dollars on an impulse, much like the drunken gambler who throws down $1000 on Five Red.



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Stocks & Equities

Will the Stock Market Bull Continue to Charge or is it time to sell the news

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Posted by Sol Palha - Tactical Investor

on Friday, 13 January 2017 07:55

For of all sad words of tongue or pen, the saddest are these: ''It might have been!''

John Greenleaf Whittier

For a long time, our theme was to view all sharp pullbacks through a bullish lens as the trend based on our trend indicator was trading firmly in bullish territory.  Secondly, onecritical psychological component was in our favour too- the masses were either bearish or they cursed this market from the sidelines (neutral camp); hence the slogan the most hated bull market in history.    We must deter for a second by stating that a mild or brutal correction comes down to what level you embraced this market. If you embraced this Stock Market Bull in the early stages from 2009 -2011, then a mild correction would seembrutal or back breaking in comparison to someone who just jumped into the market. A 15-20% correction would knock the socks out of them, but for you, it would appear to be nothing but a blip; this is why we have consistently stated that the best time to open long positions when the masses are in a state of despair.   

Having said that what does the future hold?

Towards the end of last year around Dec, we stated that we were getting a tad bit nervous as the crowd had started to embrace this bull market. Up until the Trump win, which we saw as a bullish event for the markets, while most experts viewed it as a death omen, the masses were either bearish or sitting on the sidelines. Bullish sentiment was generally below 40%, and the combined score of the individuals in the bearish and neutral camp was almost always above 55% and in most cases above 65%.  After Trump had won the markets experienced an initial shock but recouped twice as fast as they did with Brexit and never looked back since.  During this monstrous rally, the sentiment gradually started to improve, and for the past 11 weeks, the percentage of individuals in the bullish camp hasalways been above the 40% mark. On three occasions in the past 11 weeks, the bullish sentiment soared above the 50% mark something we had not experienced even once over the past 30 months.   As we pay close attention to the masses, this had to be treated as a significant development. 

Anxiety Index Jan 2017



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Stocks & Equities

Stock Trading Alert: S&P 500 Trades Close To Record High - Topping Pattern Or Just Consolidation?

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Posted by Paul Rejczak - Sunshine Profits

on Thursday, 12 January 2017 08:14

Stock Trading Alert originally sent to subscribers on January 12, 2017, 6:54 AM.

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,330, and profit target at 2,150, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook remains bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

The main U.S. stock market indexes gained between 0.3% and 0.5% on Wednesday, extending their short-term consolidation, as investors reacted to economic data releases, U.S. President-Elect press conference, among others. All three major stocks market indexes continue to trade along their all-time highs. The S&P 500 index remains relatively close to its Friday's new record high of 2,282.10, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average trades close to round resistance level of 20,000. The technology Nasdaq Composite has reached new record high on Tuesday. Will the market extend its year-long medium-term uptrend even further before some more meaningful downward correction? The next possible resistance level of the S&P 500 index is at 2,300 mark. On the other hand, the nearest support level is at around 2,260, marked by last week's consolidation. The next support level is at 2,230-2,240, marked by recent local low. We can see a new long-term high within almost eight-year-long bull market from 2009 multi-year of 666.8. However, the index remains within its month-long consolidation. It continues to trade along its medium-term upward trend line, as we can see on the daily chart:

1

Expectations before the opening of today's trading session are negative, with index futures currently down 0.2-0.3%, as investors take profits off the table. The European stock market indexes have lost 0.1-0.4% so far. Investors will now wait for the Initial Claims number announcement at 8:30 a.m. The S&P 500 futures contract trades within an intraday consolidation, following an overnight move down. It retraces some of its yesterday's rally from support level at around 2,255-2,260. For now, it looks like a flat correction within an intraday downtrend. Overall, the market extends its last week's consolidation along the level of 2,260-2,265. The nearest important level of resistance is at around 2,275, marked by local high. On the other hand, the next support level is at 2,230-2,240, marked by previous local lows. Is this a topping pattern before downward correction of the November - December rally? There have been no confirmed negative signals so far. The futures contract trades along its recent local lows, as the 15-minute chart shows:



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Stocks & Equities

Stock Markets: Short Sharp Pullback

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Posted by Mark Leibovit - The VR Platinum Newsletter

on Wednesday, 11 January 2017 07:56

tradersJan 10th 8:45 PM

"Despite New Year bullishness from our early January indicators and our expectation for full-month January Barometer gains that will support our modestly bullish 2017 Forecast, a mid-January break in equities is looking increasingly likely. Since 1996 this January break has been more pronounced and more consistent. This trade, last featured in the Commodity Trader’s Almanac 2013, is beginning to set up nicely right now.

The stock market has demonstrated a tendency to retreat after the first of the New Year, especially when there has been a strong fourth quarter gain. Once the New Year begins we often see a profit taking correction. Investors tend to sell stocks to lock in profits in order to defer taxes from capital gains after the New Year begins. Even though the best time to be long the overall equity markets lasts from October through late April, this January break can certainly give short-term, nimble traders a nice return. With stocks struggling to move higher this week this trade is setting up a little later this year.

Also consider that since the New York Stock Exchange began observing the Martin Luther King, Jr. holiday on the third Monday in January in 1998 that the stock market has exhibited strength in the days before the market is closed on that third Monday and weakness after. This also coincides with the pattern of weakness during January’s expiration week. S&P 500 has been down 13 of the last 18 years during the week, while suffering some heavy losses on expiration Friday in 10 of the last 18 years."

Mark Leibovit

....related: Buy C-R-A-P



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Ozzie Jurock Mark Leibovit Greg Weldon Ryan Irvine