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Lance Roberts: Chart of the Year

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Posted by Lance Roberts - Real Investment Advice

on Wednesday, 14 March 2018 08:20

Chart-of-the-YearLance Roberts highlights the breakout to all-time highs in the technology sector as the “Chart Of The Year” for 2018. But not for the reason as touted by the overly optimistic “hopefuls,”  but rather because this could very well mark the “last breakout” of this particular bull market cycle. R. Zurrer for Money Talks

Well, I jinxed it.

Technically Speaking: Chart Of The Year?

In this past weekend’s missive I wrote:

“There are generally two events that happen every year – somebody forgets their coat, goggles or some other article of clothing needed for skiing, and someone visits the emergency clinic with a minor injury.”

The tradition continues as my wife fell and tore her ACL. The good news is she tore the right one three years ago, and after surgery is stronger than ever. Now she will get to do the left one.

But, while I was sitting in the emergency clinic waiting for the x-rays to be completed, I was sent a chart of the technology sector with a simple note: “Chart Of The Year.”

Chart Of The Year

Yes, the technology sector has broken out to an all-time high. Yes, given the sector comprises roughly 25% of the S&P 500, it suggests that momentum is alive and well keeping the “bullish bias” intact. (We removed our hedges last week on the breakout of the market above the 50-dma on a weekly basis.)

This is why we are currently only slightly underweight technology within our portfolio allocation models as shown below.

But why “the chart of the year” now? As shown below the technology sector has broken out to all-time highs several times over the last 18-months. What makes this one so special?

The Last Breakout

As stated, breakouts are indeed bullish and suggest higher prices in the short-term. This time is likely no different. However, breakouts to new highs are not ALWAYS as bullish as they seem in the heat of the moment. A quick glance at history shows there is always a “last” break out of every advance.

1999-2000



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Stocks & Equities

Tyler Bolhorn: Buy These Two Stocks Now

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Posted by Tyler Bollhorn - StockScores

on Tuesday, 13 March 2018 06:10

The heart of Tyler's newletter is how to deal with the fear of missing out. He says the best trades are "easy to find" and to prove it in his Strategy of the Week he selects two stocks that are just breaking powerfully up from a rising bottom with very abnormal price and volume break. - Robert Zurrer for Money Talks

Screen Shot 2017-09-19 at 2.00.45 PM

perspectives commentary

In this week's issue: 

  • Stockscores’ Market Minutes Video – What is Stock Risk?
  • Stockscores Trader Training – Don’t Be a Reckless Trader
  • Stock Features of the Week – Abnormal Breaks

Stockscores Market Minutes – What is Stock Risk?

Many investors confuse the risk of a stock with the volatility of a stock. This week, I explain this important distinction, provide my analysis of the market and take a different look for the trade of the week on JDST. Click here to watch the video.

To get instant updates when I upload a new video, subscribe to the  Stockscores YouTube Channel

 

Trader Training – Don’t Be a Reckless Trader



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Stocks & Equities

Martin Armstrong: The Analysts Are Turning Back to Bearish Again

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Posted by Martin Armstrong - Armstrong Economics

on Friday, 09 March 2018 06:40

Martin Armstrong has some good news supporting a continuation of the 8 year Stock Market rally to new highs in the market averages. Martin also comments on Sovereign Debt Crisis, rising interest rates, trade wars & the collapsing Interbank Market - Robert Zurrer for Money Talks

DJIND-W-3-8-2018

CNN Money is reporting the headline “A top JPMorgan Chase executive is warning that stocks could fall as much as 40% in the next few years.” CNN reports that Daniel Pinto, JPMorgan’s co-president, said on Bloomberg Television he believed that market gains should continue for the next year or two. However, he added that nervous investors could result in a “deep correction” of between 20% and 40%, “depending upon the market values at the time the downturn starts.”

Indeed, this was the pause we were looking for from January. We did not see a collapse as in terms of 1987. Instead, this is simply the transition period where the marketplace must come to grips with a Sovereign Debt Crisis and that means rising interest rates will devastate the bond bubble. So exactly how does that equate to a 40% decline in equities?



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Stocks & Equities

Todd Market Forecast: Bullish

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Posted by Stephen Todd - Todd Market Forecast - Todd Market Forecast

on Wednesday, 07 March 2018 06:24

#1 ranked Trader by Timer's Digest with a 31.6% return for 2017 is still looking for higher stock prices and has switched to bullish Gold in last evenings letter after going bearish the US Dollar on March 2nd. The chart below certainly indicates there is still a lot of fear on the part of investors, though less than in previous days. Investors are driven by two emotions: fear and greed. Too much fear can sink stocks well below where they should be. Robert Zurrer for Money Talks

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Todd Market Forecast for 3pm PST Tuesday March 6, 2018

DOW + 9 on 1040 net advances

NASDAQ COMP + 41 on 818 net advances

SHORT TERM TREND Bullish

INTERMEDIATE TERM Bullish

STOCKS: When the market is up over 300 on a session, it would hardly be surprising to see profit taking the next day. The bears tried, but failed. We were impressed by the action, especially breadth. The advance decline line has been a solid performer.

The Russell 2000 made a new rally high today. It's a good sign when smaller caps are outperforming. See the charge below.

There are almost zero signs of a top of any significance. Pullbacks should be bought.

GOLD: Gold was up $15. A sharply lower dollar helped. This changes our outlook below.

CHART: There are no guarantees in this business, but when the high techs are leading the charge, it suggest that there are higher prices ahead. Today the SOX or semiconductor index made an all time high (bottom arrow).

Screenshot 2018-03-07 06.21.46

BOTTOM LINE:  (Trading)



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Stocks & Equities

Some Longer Term Projections

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Posted by Gary Savage - Smartmoneytracker.com

on Tuesday, 06 March 2018 07:22

Gary Savage is a renowned trading/investment expert in the areas of precious metals, stock market, oil and currency markets. Today he has some long term projections for the years ahead. (Note: He sees 10,000 on the Nasdaq as a piece of cake!). For larger charts, click the square box lower right to expand the youtube - Robert Zurrer for Money Talks. 

This video details Gary's longer term projections for numerous markets including the Nasdaq Index, Semiconductor Index, SPX 500, Commodities Index and Gold.

 

Screenshot 2018-03-06 07.53.49

ttps://blog.smartmoneytrackerpremium.com/



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