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In Defense of Trumpian Diplomacy

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Posted by John Browne - Euro Pacific Capitalital

on Monday, 05 June 2017 06:26

JS123620960-REUTERS-trump-merkel-presser-large trans NvBQzQNjv4BqZgEkZX3M936N5BQK4Va8RQJ6Ra64K3tAxfZq0dvIBJw"Trump's inaugural overseas trip could well result in a positive effect on world trade, job creation and economic growth. Coupled with the prospect of greatly increased defense expenditure, equities should benefit."

Given the media's obsession with some of the President Trump's communication challenges, it was utterly predictable that the President's declaration that his trip to Europe and the Middle East should be considered a "home run" was met almost universally with ridicule. In truth, the President actually did accomplish a series of victories overseas, or at least laid important groundwork that should help advance American interests in ways that prior Administrations have failed to do. It's a shame that these developments have been ignored among the din of partisanship.

From my perspective President Trump reasserted American leadership in the primary security challenge of our day, namely the defeat of radical Islamic terrorism. He also struck deals that could prove financial windfalls to U.S. industry. The President ran on security and prosperity and that was precisely the thrust of the trip.

Trump's first stop was Saudi Arabia, the keeper of the most holy places in Islam, the most influential of the Sunni Arab states and the one with whom America has long enjoyed close relations. Over the previous eight years Sunni Arabs had been increasingly dismayed by the Obama Administration's tilt towards friendship with Shiite Iran and her allies. (This change resulted in the Iran Nuclear Treaty which is widely despised among Sunnis.) Given that some had concluded that Trump had won the presidency on in part through anti-Islam rhetoric, his meetings in Saudi Arabia should do much to quell anxiety in America's most important Islamic allies.



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Stocks & Equities

US Equities Extend Channel, Possibly Into Super-Bull Run

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Posted by Chris Vermeulen

on Friday, 02 June 2017 07:46

atpb4

Recently, lots of news items have been discussing the run in the US equity markets and “how long can it go on like this?”.  Our analysis of the markets shows us that many of these industry analysts are failing to consider one very important factor in much of their results.  We wanted to share this with you through our own analysis so you have a clear picture in your head regarding the potential for US equities.



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Stocks & Equities

Forget about Fake News... Let’s Talk about Fake Markets

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Posted by Clint Siegner - Money Metals Exchange

on Thursday, 01 June 2017 07:36

The U.S. and other nations with “free market” economies got credit for defeating the communists in Russia. That is ironic, because it is now more clear than ever that western leadership actually shares the Soviet inclination for central planning, and they have been increasingly intervening in our markets since the collapse of the USSR.

Our officials make economic policy as if healthy markets must be planned and coerced, much like the politburo. Some of this policy is created and run in the open; the government bailouts, Quantitative Easing, and zero interest rate policy, for example.

Other programs are more secretive. Investors know the “Plunge Protection Team” exists to be the buyer in markets when all genuine buyers have left. But we can only guess as to what that crew actually does day to day.

What these self-appointed market masters do in complete darkness is likely even more controversial and intrusive. They remain violently opposed to audits and other attempts to impose accountability.

But, recently, some leaked documents have given a sense of what western officials do behind closed doors.

manipulation

They have actually been micromanaging markets since the 1970s.



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Stocks & Equities

The Death of Volatility? Don't Bet on It....

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Posted by Rick Ackerman - Rick's Picks

on Wednesday, 31 May 2017 07:46

VXX-lowest-ever

Volatility has gone brain-dead, as today’s chart makes clear. What this implies is that ‘everyone’ has bet the opposite or is hedged up the wazoo with puts, calls or straddles against a stock market melt-up or -down. Such an event is inevitable, but not on any time schedule that traders have been able to predict with any particular success. We’ve got a small bet down ourselves, having hit .666 in our last three at-bats.  Two of the trades precisely caught trampoline lows in VXX within hours, allowing subscribers who followed my explicit guidance to easily quadruple their money. Some who held onto a portion of their initial position reported doing far better than quadrupling their stake. Past performance is of course no guarantee of future success, but the current bet, notwithstanding VXX’s relentless sinking spell, is one I can surely live with.  See my tout below for explicit details. 

If you don’t subscribe, click here for a free two-week trial that will allow you not only to view the tout, but to enter the Rick’s Picks chat room, where great traders from around the world gather 24/7.



Stocks & Equities

Technically Speaking: The Formula Behind “Buy High/Sell Low”

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Posted by Lance Roberts - Real Investment Advice

on Tuesday, 30 May 2017 08:34

“Technically Speaking” is a regular Tuesday commentary updating current market trends and highlighting shorter-term investment strategies, risks, and potential opportunities:

With the markets closed on Monday, there really isn’t much to update you on “technically” from this past weekend’s missive. The important point, if you haven’t read it, was:

“The failure of the market to rotate to the “risk on” trade should not be lightly dismissed.  A healthy breakout of the market should have been accompanied by both an increase in trading volume and leadership from the “smaller and riskier” stocks in the market. 

SP500-R2000-052617

You can see this exuberance in the deviation of the S&P 500 from its long-term moving averages as compared to the collapse in the volatility index. There is simply “NO FEAR” of a correction in the markets currently which has always been a precedent for a correction in the past. 



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Notes From Michael - June 28th The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety)...

- posted by Michael Campbell

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