Real Estate

Canada Real Estate Bubble

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Posted by Market Oracle

on Friday, 30 June 2017 06:55

I’ve been seeing a lot in the news lately about Canadian and Australian real estate prices. Here’s just a sampling:

New Brunswick real estate offers a lesson on peak housing prices

Condo flipping on the rise as Vancouver market heats up

Face it Canada – you’re a real estate addict and no one wants a cure

Canada real estate industry welcomes Buffett to the neighborhood

Canada’s red hot real estate heats up apartment market to heights not seen in 30 years

Canada is on the ‘A-list’ for commercial real estate investors, in a world of uncertainty

Most of what we’re hearing is that there’s little to worry about with our neighbor’s real estate prices shooting to the moon.

Well, as I told 5 Day Forecast readers yesterday, there IS something to worry about. Something BIG.

Today, I’ll share with you what I told Boom & Bust subscribers yesterday…

Between early 2006 and late 2012, real estate in the U.S. took a whipping worse than what the Great Depression dished out. It lost 34% compared to the 26% it shed back in the early 1930s.

But property prices in Canada and Australia hardly paused, and then they continued their march higher.

Canadian home prices are now 84% higher than in the U.S.!

Despite Canadian’s slightly lower incomes!!

And the Aussies’ are even higher. Home prices in Australia are now 107% higher than those in the U.S.!

It’s terrifying. Stephen King should turn it into one of his horror stories. It’d be a best-seller.


....continue reading HERE


Real Estate

"Real" Gold & Real Housing Price of Van+Cal+Tor Priced in USD

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Posted by Brian Ripley's Canadian Real Estate Charts

on Wednesday, 28 June 2017 06:28


Larger Chart

The chart above shows the "real" price of the TSX real estate index (RE/CCI green dotted plot line) and the "real" price of the TSX gold index (Gold/CCI yellow dotted plot line).

....read more HERE


Larger Chart

The chart above shows the "real price" of Vancouver, Toronto & Calgary SFDs when looked at from the point of view of the BoC Canadian Commodity Index (CCI) and Borrowing Costs (retail 5yr Mortgage) which are the main input costs apart from operating expenses and tax.



Real Estate

Is the Housing Rally Over?

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Posted by Dash of Insight

on Tuesday, 20 June 2017 07:28

With soft housing data last week and higher interest rates expected, it is a good time to ask:

Is the housing rally over?

Last Week Recap

The big economic news last week was the Fed policy decision and guidance. Friday’s announcement of the Amazon purchase of Whole Foods grabbed the headlines. Attorney General Sessions’ Senate Testimony got the gavel-to-gavel treatment.

Our question from last week – a possible change in market leadership – did attract some discussion. Friday’s grocery news is still being digested, but the sector shifts were pronounced.

The Story in One Chart

I always start my personal review of the week by looking at this great chart from Doug Short via Jill Mislinski. Despite the mid-week Fed announcement, the result for the week was barely changed.


....continue reading HERE



Real Estate

Pop Goes The Housing Boom... In Canada

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Posted by Robert Zurrer

on Friday, 16 June 2017 06:56


China's new controls seek to slow down capital flight.

Canada's housing boom is vulnerable.

The Canadian dollar's rally is overdone.

We're headed for another housing bust. This time in Canada. And the key is China.

It's no secret that Chinese investors, seeking asylum from the slow-motion credit bust underway there, have been dumping tons of cash into Canadian real estate.

But it looks like a number of events are coming together at the same time to blow up that market before the end of 2017.

...continue reading HERE


Real Estate

Canada 6-City Housing & the Plunge-O-Meter

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Posted by Brian Ripley's Canadian Real Estate Charts

on Wednesday, 07 June 2017 06:44


​The chart above shows the average detached housing prices for Vancouver*, Calgary, Edmonton, Toronto*, Ottawa* and Montréal* (the six Canadian cities with over a million people each) as well as the average of the sum of VancouverCalgary and Toronto condo (apartment) prices on the left axis. ​On the right axis is the seasonally adjusted annualized rate (SAAR) of MLS® Residential Sales across Canada (one month lag).

The Canadian Real Estate PLUNGE-O-METER

chart-plunge-o-meter 5 orig
The Plunge-O-Meter tracks the dollar and percentage losses from the peak and projects when prices might find support. On the price chart in the spring of 2005 there was a 4-6 month plateau period while buyers and sellers twitched like a herd. When the credit spreads narrowed and the yield curve began its journey towards inversion, the commodity stampede began.


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