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The Canadian Real Estate PLUNGE-O-METER

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Posted by Brian Ripley's Canadian Housing Price Charts

on Thursday, 07 May 2015 06:02

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The Plunge-O-Meter tracks the dollar and percentage losses from the peak and projects when prices might find support. On the price chart in the spring of 2005 there was a 4-6 month plateau period while buyers and sellers twitched like a herd. When the credit spreads narrowed and the yield curve began its journey towards inversion, the commodity stampede began.
 
The Price Support target represents prices at March 2005; the start of a 40 month period of ardent speculation in all commodities; then a full blown crash into the pit of gloom (March 2009); and then another 39 month rocket ship to the moon but then the crowd suddenly thinned out in April 2012. The revival of spirits erupted in 2013 as global money went short cash and long real estate on an inflation bet (see Whale Watching). Now we have a major divergence with Vancouver and Toronto going against the trend.
 
...see the price trends of  6 Canadian Cities with more than a milion HERE


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Real Estate

Compare Vancouver to Toronto SFD, Townhouse & Condo Housing Prices and Total Residential Listings & Sales and Absorption Rates

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Posted by Brian Ripley's Canadian Housing Price Charts

on Wednesday, 06 May 2015 13:52

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The chart above shows the average Single Family Dwelling, Townhouse and Condo prices (solid plot lines) of both Vancouver and Toronto as well as the Monthly Absorption Rate (MAR = Sales/Listings as dotted plot lines). At the Vancouver peak in April 2012, Vancouver metro SFDs were an astounding 64% (1.6 times) more expensive than GTA comparables. But Toronto has been on a tear out of the March 2009 Pit of Gloom and the SFD price differential has shrunk to 33% (1.3x) even with the current (April 2015) peak average SFD price in Vancouver.

.....for larger chart & to read more go HERE

 


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Negative Interest Rates Put World on Course for Biggest Mass Default in History

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Posted by Jeremy Warner - Telegraph

on Monday, 04 May 2015 05:09

eurozone 3023810bMore than €2 trillion-worth of eurozone government bonds trade on a negative interest rate. It's a bubble that is bound to end badly

Here’s an astonishing statistic; more than 30pc of all government debt in the eurozone – around €2 trillion of securities in total – is trading on a negative interest rate. 

With the advent of European Central Bank quantitative easing, what began four months ago when 10-year Swiss yields turned negative for the first time has snowballed into a veritable avalanche of negative rates across European government bond markets. In the hunt for apparently “safe assets”, investors have thrown caution to the wind, and collectively determined to pay governments for the privilege of lending to them.

....read more HERE

 



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Yet Another Warning Over Canada’s Housing Market

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Posted by Economist Magazine

on Wednesday, 22 April 2015 08:13

images-1The Economist says that Canada’s housing market is overvalued by at least 25 per cent. More likely 35%

The magazine named Canada along with the U.K. and Australia as being "notable" for having an overvalued housing market. The metrics it uses include home-value-to-rent ratios and prices relative to after-tax income.

It’s not the first time that Canada has ranked highly in the Economist’s analysis of property markets, but it is the first time it’s been at the top.

House prices compared to rents are 89 per cent overvalued, which is a rise of 73 per cent from two years ago. Compared with income prices are 35 per cent too high. 

related:

9 reasons your real estate venture could fail

Vancouver condo ‘better investment than gold’

Investing in real estate will be easier, if you give to charity



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Shocking CDN Real Estate Chart Shows Sales Exhaustion

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Posted by Brian Flores - Guru Focus

on Friday, 17 April 2015 06:19

Screen Shot 2015-04-17 at 7.17.35 AM

As the chart above shows that overall Trans-Canada Single Family Housing Sales are exhausted. Amazingly within that sales exhaustion are continuing potent Bull Markets in Toronto and Vancouver.

In the interview below Brian Ripley is questioned about the 2 charts showing how SFD properties in the hot markets are defying the national residential real estate sales slowdown as well as the ballooning strata inventory levels in both listings for sale and properties for rent.

 



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