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Ozzie Jurock & The Latest on Real Estate

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Posted by Michael Campbell & Ozzie Jurock

on Monday, 19 March 2018 07:40

Real estate guru Ozzie Jurock is back from his round-the-world adventures. He dives right into the implications of Canada's new speculation tax, prices and Hot Properties

....related from Michael: Government Desperation for Cash & How It Will Affect You

oj

 



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Real Estate

Now is a VERY good time to re-finance

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Posted by Kyle Green

on Friday, 02 March 2018 13:05

Is it time to lock in your variable mortgage?

The Bank of Canada has recently raised rates a few times and experts are saying that they expect another 2 rate hikes by the end of the year. This affects you if you have a Variable Rate Mortgage or a Line of Credit (aka HELOC). You can thank the increasing strength of the global economy for that.

Bond yields, from which the fixed rate mortgages in Canada are derived, have been climbing significantly over the past 14 months.

mortgagekg

So the question is, "should I lock in my variable rate"?

Due to many variables, this is a difficult question to answer immediately answer, everyone’s own personal situation is unique. There is no one size fits all…

Well, there are 3 main considerations:

  1. Your current variable interest rate,
  2. Your future goals and housing/mortgage plans, and
  3. Your potential new fixed rate (this is a big one).

If your variable rate has increased to 3% and over, you may want to think about locking in. We suggest you talk to your bank about what they would offer you to lock in, and convey those rates to our team to see if it makes sense to lock in with your existing bank or transfer the mortgage to another lender.

If your mortgage fits a certain qualification box (called insurable), vary attractive rates that are about .4% lower than the banks are available. It may make sense to break your mortgage with your bank and transfer to another lender if the difference in rates is large enough to offset the penalty to move the mortgage. To be qualified for the best rates right now, an insurable mortgage must follow the following criteria:

-        Mortgage funded before Oct 2016

-        Owner occupied or if a rental, must be 2+ (legal) units

-        No refinances allowed, but you can transfer your mortgage as long as you are not adding any more money to your mortgage

Current insurable 5 year fixed rates are around 3.19%. Uninsurable rates are around 3.59%.

However, variable rates may be preferable over the fixed because the variable rate has the lowest prepayment penalties. Variable rate prepayment penalties are below 1% of the mortgage, where fixed rates at big banks can be 4%+ of the outstanding mortgage. Insurable 5 year variable rates are as low as Prime -.95% (2.5%)

If you have a Line of Credit (aka HELOC) and are not using it to its potential or have a balance sitting on it, you should call me to discuss if that is what is best for you. The rates on a HELOC are higher than a mortgage and it may make sense to lock that in.

Call ASAP for more details and don't miss this window of opportunity!

www.greenmortgageteam.ca



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Real Estate

The Dangers of Gov't Cooling Real Estate

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Posted by Michael Campbell

on Wednesday, 21 February 2018 07:58

 

The BC Government wants to trash the most important industry in the province in the name of affordability. An industry that has a huge workforce. Michael has the numbers and makes the case that Gov't should leave real estate alone. 

....also related from Michael: Your Moral & Intellectual Superiors

joe-ayres-vancouver-housing-rally-sunday-feb-18-2018

 



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Real Estate

Effects of Government Mortgage Meddling

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Posted by Kyle Green

on Tuesday, 16 January 2018 18:08

kylegreen

Jan 1st has come and gone, and wow was it a busy December. Most in the industry reported Jan 1st when the new stress test arrived  (you can read more about the stress test by reading the previous article here). So, now that the new rules are in effect, how may you be impacted?

First off, its important to note that Credit Unions are NOT affected by the new guidelines as they are provincially regulated, not federally regulated. The Credit Unions have confirmed that they will not be following suit with the movement to change qualification criteria. Mortgage Brokers have never before been so important, being able to shop banks but also non-banks and Credit Unions to source loans.

Borrowing power with the bank is now reduced by about 20% for those choosing to take a 5 year fixed rate mortgage. All other terms were already stress tested, but previously choosing a 5 year fixed was a way to get around to tighter qualification guidelines and now that option has disappeared.

Some banks have confirmed that anyone with a contract dated prior to Jan 1, 2018 will be grandfathered under the old rules. This is important for those of you who have presales completing in the next few years. There was no clarity on this rule for many banks until very close to the deadline. In some cases, as late as Dec 29th!

One item that is interesting here is that shorter term rates like variable and 1-3 year fixed terms will now qualify at a lower interest rate, which will incentivize some borrowers to take shorter term rates. This is something that is likely an unintended consequence of the new rules and likely something that the government didn’t quite think through when introducing the new rules. One of the last things the government wants is for borrowers to be assuming short term debts in an environment where interest rates are so low and rates rising too quickly will have many of these borrowers seeing increases to their payments in just 1-2 years instead of ~ 5 years (as many borrowers were previously to maximize borrowing power).

All in all, these rules are intended to make it harder to qualify, yes, but are also here to protect the value of your real estate assets from a collapse like what was seen down in the US in the subprime crisis. If you are seeking financing, it may be wise to jump in sooner rather than later as the Credit Unions may see more volume than they can handle and start to taper their guidelines as well.



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Real Estate

Canada's 6 City Housing Prices & The Plunge-o-Meter

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Posted by Brian Ripley - Canadian Housing Price Charts

on Friday, 12 January 2018 06:46

chart-canada 13 orig
CLICK CHART TO ENLARGE

The chart above shows the average detached housing prices for Vancouver*, Calgary, Edmonton, Toronto*, Ottawa* and Montréal* (the six Canadian cities with over a million people each) as well as the average of the sum of VancouverCalgary and Toronto condo (apartment) prices on the left axis. ​On the right axis is the seasonally adjusted annualized rate (SAAR) of MLS® Residential Sales across Canada (one month lag).​
  • *Toronto GTA SFD prices began March 2009. Prior data are Combined Residential +24.5%. 
  • *Ottawa SFD prices began January 2009. Prior data are Combined Residential +6.9%.
  • *Montreal SFD DATA changed from Average to Median in March 2007
  • *Vancouver SFD data are HPI®, not Average.

In December 2017 Toronto metro SFD prices continued slipping and 9 months since the March 2017 spike and peak price, they have lost $217,895 or 18% ​(Plunge-O-Meter). Vancouver prices are still defying gravity; FOMO and speculative pricing is still on.



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