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Canadian Housing Starts - City and Provincial

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Posted by Brian Ripley's Canadian Real Estate Charts

on Wednesday, 18 October 2017 05:24

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“So far this year, all regions are on pace to surpass construction levels from 2016 except for British Columbia, where starts have declined year-to-date after reaching near-record levels last summer.” “The trend in housing starts for Canada reached its highest level in almost five years”, said Bob Dugan, CMHC’s chief economist. 



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Real Estate

Canada 6-City Housing & the Plunge-O-Meter

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Posted by Brian Ripley's Canadian Real Estate Charts

on Thursday, 12 October 2017 05:44

chart-canada 10 orig

The chart above shows the average detached housing prices for Vancouver*, Calgary, Edmonton, Toronto*, Ottawa* and Montréal* (the six Canadian cities with over a million people each) as well as the average of the sum of VancouverCalgary and Toronto condo (apartment) prices on the left axis. ​On the right axis is the seasonally adjusted annualized rate (SAAR) of MLS® Residential Sales across Canada (one month lag).​

​In September 2017 Toronto metro SFD prices found support after 5 months of selling below the March 2017 spike and peak price. The 2017 price gains have vanished. Vancouver prices defy gravity in all residential sectors with another HPI hat trick; FOMO and speculative pricing is still on. 

....read more HERE

also:

Brian Ripley's Plunge-o-meter which tracks the dollar and percentage losses from the peak and projects when prices might find support. HERE



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Real Estate

Gold Market Update

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Posted by Clive Maund

on Monday, 09 October 2017 06:38

The last Gold Market update almost a month ago called the intermediate top within a day, as you may recall, and the subsequent Gold and US Dollar Interim update called the rally in the dollar the day before it started. Having seen a significant reaction back by gold, the question now is “Has it run its course?” The short answer to that is yes, although calling a bottom here is complicated by the fact that gold’s COTs have not eased as much on the reaction as we might have expected, and the dollar Hedgers’ chart is still flat out bullish for the dollar. What this means is that we may need to see some bottoming action by gold, even if it soon breaks out of its rather steep short-term downtrend, and another possibility that we will examine is that the dollar and gold rally in tandem, a rare circumstance that could be occasioned by an extreme development such as an attack on North Korea, although if this happens the peoples of Seoul and Tokyo will doubtless have more important things to think about than the price of gold. 

On gold’s latest 6-month chart we can see how the reaction of recent weeks has retraced about 50% of the prior rally, as tensions with N Korea have temporarily eased. This reaction has more than fully corrected the overbought condition resulting from the rally, and has brought gold back into a zone of significant support just above its rising 200-day moving average, and with moving averages in bullish alignment, conditions generally favor a reversal and rally. The “spinning top” candlestick that occurred on Friday on increased volume may mark the turn, although the candlesticks that occurred on the charts for silver and silver proxies look like more convincing reversals. 

gold6month081017

An important factor having a bearing on the outlook for the Precious Metals was the nice reversal in copper on Thursday after a significant reaction, with it gaining nearly 3%...



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Real Estate

Real Estate Investing: Here are 4 Timeless Strategies to Use

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Posted by Visual Graphics

on Wednesday, 27 September 2017 06:56

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For new investors, getting into the business of buying, selling, and renting homes may seem pretty ambitious.

But like any other area of personal finance expertise, real estate investing boils down to some simple basics. With the right strategies, patience, and a willingness to learn, it’s a discipline that can help you make strides on the path to financial independence.

STRATEGIES FOR REAL ESTATE INVESTING

Today’s infographic comes to us from Offer Climb and it dives into four timeless real estate investing strategies worth knowing.

Whether you aim to do a quick “lipstick” flip or you’d prefer to generate passive income over time, here are the details and resources needed to execute on each strategy.



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Real Estate

The Retail Apocalypse is a Lie

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Posted by Greg Guenthner - The Rude Awakening

on Wednesday, 27 September 2017 06:29

 

  • Dead malls spring back to life
  • The start of a huge rally?
  • Plus: The best names in cheap retail

The retail apocalypse is a lie.

Don’t get me wrong — the stock losses racked up by the big mall anchors are very real. We’ve spent most of 2017 digging into troubling numbers posted by the prominent brick and mortar retailers. They aren’t pretty. Everyone knows that the first half of the year was a disaster for the mall anchors, with no relief is in sight for some of these troubled companies.

But there’s more to the “death of retail” story than these struggling stores. Watching iconic brands close locations across the country has warped our brains. We see pictures of vacant malls on the news and assume the American shopper has taken his business online for everything from big screen TVs to socks and underwear.

Will we ever leave our homes for the local shopping center again?

Absolutely. 

If you dig into the numbers, you’ll find that aside from the high-profile closings, brick and mortar retail is expanding this year. According to IHL Group, U.S. retailers will open 1,326 more locations than they will close in 2017.

Despite popular belief, every single retailer in the country isn’t about to declare bankruptcy. As we’ve said from the start, the best businesses will adapt and survive, whether we’re talking online start-ups or brick and mortar retailers.

The market’s finally starting to catch onto this idea…

For starters, the retail sector halted its nasty year-to-date plunge last month. It’s now quietly on the cusp of breaking out of the downtrend that has held the sector hostage all year.

BrickMortarBottoms

The failed breakdown in late August appears to have sealed the downtrend’s fate. The bears have overplayed their hand and are now susceptible to a face-ripping rally if these poor little retail names can catch a little momentum…

In fact, we’ve already seen select retail stocks rise from the rubble.



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