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Gold & Precious Metals

Does Baseball Influence the Market?

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Posted by Benzinga

on Wednesday, 12 July 2017 11:10

allstar baseball

The folks at Benzinga check to see the results post-all star game depending on whether the National or American League won. :)  CLICK HERE



Gold & Precious Metals

Alone Perhaps: But Is Trump Right?

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Posted by Pat Buchanan

on Tuesday, 11 July 2017 11:06

patbuchananHas Trump read the crisis of the West correctly? Are his warnings valid? Is not the Obama - Merkel vision of world order a utopian fantasy?... CLICK HERE for the complete article



Gold & Precious Metals

Rising Interest Rates Could Present A Problem For Risk Assets

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Posted by The Felder Report

on Monday, 10 July 2017 07:50

Exactly one year ago I wrote, “long bonds enter the blowoff stage” (and “a few more thoughts on the long bond blowoff“). Since then the 30-year treasury yield has risen 40% and the 10-year treasury yield has risen 75%. This is an important development for investors to take note of because when interest rates have risen this rapidly in the past it has typically led to some stormy weather for risk assets.

sc-2

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Gold & Precious Metals

The Reason Why Gold And Silver Have Frustrated Investors Since 2011

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Posted by Steve St. Angelo - SRSrocco Report

on Friday, 07 July 2017 06:52

The biggest frustration to many precious metals investors, is why have the gold and silver prices under-performed the market since 2011?  Actually, for gold it was since 2012.  Even though gold hit a new record high of $1,900 in September 2011, its average annual price was higher in 2012 at $1,669 compared to $1,571 the prior year.

Regardless, the precious metals analysts back in 2012 were forecasting the market was going to experience even higher gold and silver prices, especially after the Fed announced QE 3 at the end of 2012.  However, the precious metals community was taken by surprise as the gold and silver prices were hammered at the end of 2012 and into the beginning of 2013:

Gold-Silver-Fall-SEPT-2012-JUNE-2013-768x352

During this period, the gold price fell 30% and the silver price declined nearly 50%.  Did something fundamental change in the markets for investors to suddenly ditch precious metals?  Actually, something really big happened….. THE MARKETS BROKE.  Of course, many in the alternative media believe the financial market died in 2008, but when we look at another indicator… it clearly shows that the markets drastically changed even further in 2012.

The following charts (below) from the article, Deutsche: The Market Broke In 2012, “This Is What Everyone Is Talking About”, show that the market is totally under-pricing RISK by orders of magnitude never seen before.  Now, when I say “under-pricing risk”, all that means is that the market has no idea of the dangers ahead.  It is similar to someone driving a car that doesn’t realize the engine is burning up and the brakes don’t work because the WARNING LIGHTS aren’t functioning.  So, the poor slob continues to speed down the road, without out a care in the world… until the car blows up or he heads over a cliff.

In the Deutsche Bank article linked above, analyst Aleksandar Kocic providing actual evidence that the WARNING LIGHTS in the market are no longer working:



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Gold & Precious Metals

Pause vs. Reversal

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Posted by Paul Rejczak - Sunshine Profits

on Thursday, 06 July 2017 06:28

Briefly: In our opinion, full (100% of the regular full position) speculative short positions in gold, silver and mining stocks are justified from the risk/reward perspective at the moment of publishing this alert.

Gold and silver didn’t continue Monday’s plunge, but they didn’t erase it either. Have we just seen a reversal or just a normal, healthy pause after a sharp move?

The former seems more likely and the price levels that were reached (and those that were not) provide the details. Let’s move right to the charts (chart courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

Gold

pr up 2017 07 06 1

Gold moved back up on an intra-day basis, but finally ended the session without significant changes. At the moment of writing these words, gold is trading at about $1,223, so the situation didn’t change much overnight either. Please note that the volume that accompanied yesterday’s back and forth movement was significant, but the same was the case on June 14th – back then it was only a pause within the decline. Consequently, it doesn’t seem that the sizable volume is a bullish sign at this time.

The RSI indicator is close to 30, however, the comeback of the regular gold-USD link and the situation in the USD and Euro Indices seems to be much more important. After all, if gold is to move below the 2015 low this winter, then it’s about time it started a bigger decline, and during bigger moves, the daily RSI can stay below 30 for prolonged periods (November and December 2016 serve as examples).

Silver



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