Gold & Precious Metals

The ONLY Gold Chart You Need

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Posted by Greg Guenthner

on Wednesday, 21 June 2017 06:24

  • This indicator says gold is about to kick off a major buying opportunity
  • Simple chart pattern that holds the key to making money in metals
  • Plus: The next trade triggers Thursday…

If you're thinking about buying gold, pay close attention...

A major buying opportunity is about to ignite in everyone's favorite precious metal.

But you won't uncover this buy signal by visiting mines, studying gold production, or watching CNBC. In fact, I couldn’t even see it with my naked eye. I needed a sophisticated computer program to alert you to this hidden opportunity.

It was our in-house “quant” Jonas Elmerraji who spotted it thanks to the proprietary indicator he has spent the last five years coding.

And the window is about to kick off this week.

The signal Jonas has pinpointed is highly reliable. It's made investors money almost 80% of the time over the last 12 years. His system has nailed the price action in gold this year. And that's not the result of some hypothetical back test, either. In fact, Jonas shared his research on gold with you back in March…

Have a look at an indicator called the Kinetic Composite for GLD, the popular SPDR Gold ETF (NYSE:GLD):


You can think of the Kinetic Composite chart above as a sort of "idealized" price chart for GLD. Jonas' algorithm crunches decades of price data and mutates it into the chart above. It shows you when a stock is predisposed to rally… up to a year in advance.

You can see how the Kinetic Composite signaled a rally at the start of the year, followed by a volatile sideways period, and then another rally kicking off this summer.

Here's how GLD's price has played out in the months since:


Gold & Precious Metals

Blockchain: Team Gold's Newest Player?

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Posted by Stewart Thomson - Graceland Updates

on Tuesday, 20 June 2017 07:15

Jun 20, 2017

  1. After the US markets close today, Morgan Stanley will announce whether Chinese stocks get the green light for inclusion in their emerging market index.
  2. Please  click here now. This announcement has the potential to create substantial international liquidity flows into Chinese stocks. 
  3. That can have a very positive effect on the price of gold. Here’s why: Gold plays a huge role in Chinese culture. When the citizens are happy or in the mood to celebrate, they buy gold. 
  4. For most of 2017, the Chinese stock market has left the US market in the dust, and today’s announcement could add even more zest to the rally.
  5. Please  click here now. Double-click to enlarge this FXI chart (a Chinese stock market ETF).
  6. It’s clear that even without inclusion in the Morgan Stanley indexes, the Chinese stock market is roaring higher. Note the bullish island reversal pattern that is in play now.
  7. The Chinese gold market (especially the market for investment grade bars of gold) is recovering in step with the new bull cycle in Chinese stocks.
  8. Please  click here now. Double-click to enlarge this daily gold chart. I realize that gold market investors are a bit disappointed that gold hasn’t surged above $1300 in 2017, but good things come to those with patience.


Gold & Precious Metals

Reflation, Deflation and Gold

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Posted by Arkadiusz Sieron

on Monday, 19 June 2017 07:08

One of the most important economic debate today is whether the economy will experience reflation or deflation (or low inflation) in the upcoming months. Has the recent reflation been only a temporary jump? Or has it marked the beginning of a new trend? Is the global economy accelerating or are we heading into the next recession? It goes without saying that it is a key investment issue because of the implications for different asset classes, including the precious metals. Let’s try to outline the macroeconomic outlook.

As one can see in the chart below, inflation has recently risen both in the U.S. and the euro area. And inflation in the UK has really accelerated recently. It’s true that there was a slowdown in the U.S. after a peak in February, but the level of inflation rates remains much higher than in 2014-2015.

Chart 1: The CPI rate year-over-year for the U.S. (blue line), the Eurozone (red line), and the UK (green line) over the last ten years.


(Click to enlarge)


Gold & Precious Metals

Return Of The Gold Bear?

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Posted by Jordan Roy-Byrne - The Daily Gold

on Saturday, 17 June 2017 10:39

Return-of-the-Bear opt02-1024x683

It was exactly one month ago we discussed our posture as a “bearish Gold bull.”

The gold mining sector hit a historic low nearly 18 months ago but this new cycle has struggled to gain traction as metals prices have stagnated while the stock market and the US Dollar have trended higher. Unfortunately recent technical and fundamental developments argue that precious metals could come under serious pressure in the weeks and months ahead. 

First let me start with Gold’s fundamentals, which turned bearish a few months ago and could remain so through the fall. As we have argued, Gold is inversely correlated to real interest rates. Gold rises when real rates fall and Gold falls when real rates rise.

Real interest rates bottomed in February and have trended higher ever since. As we know, the rate of inflation has peaked and is declining. Meanwhile, the fed funds rate has increased while bond yields have remained stable. The real fed funds rate and the real 5-year yield have increased by 1% in recent months. If inflation falls by another 0.5% and the fed funds rate is increased by another quarter point, then the real fed funds rate would be positive by the end of the year. That would mark a 2% increase inside of 10 months.

Turning to the technicals, we see that Gold is starting to follow Silver’s lead. Silver is very weak and headed for a test of $16/oz. Last week Gold formed a bearish reversal at major resistance ($1300/oz) and closed the week in the red and even below its April high. If Gold breaks its 2017 uptrend then it is likely to retest the $1125/oz level. There will be rebounds along the way but both metals are at serious risk of retesting their bear market lows.


Gold & Precious Metals

WARNING: Stock Market Sees 6 Titanic Or Hindenburg Omen Warnings In The Past 30 Days!

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Posted by King World News

on Friday, 16 June 2017 07:04

Despite hitting new all-time highs on the Dow this week, the major index has now seen 6 Titanic or Hindenburg Omen Will-This-Take-Markets-To-The-Brink-Bring-Consumers-To-Their-Knees-copy-864x400 cwarnings in the past 30 days!  An illustration showing the warnings is included in this piece.

Another Nasdaq Warning
June 16 (King World News) – From Jason Goepfert at SentimenTrader:  On Thursday, there were more stocks that slid to a 52-week low on the Nasdaq than rallied to a 52-week high. Coming so soon after a new high in the Nasdaq Composite, this triggered a Titanic Syndrome signal. There have now been 6 Titanic or Hindenburg Omen warning signs in the past 30 days, one of the larger clusters during this bull market…

....read more HERE

...also from KingWorldNews:

Celente – This Trigger For A Global Stock Market Crash Will Devastate The World

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The nervousness surounding the current bull market remains significant. While there are a number of unsettling indicators suggesting a serious...

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