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Gold & Precious Metals

Key Gold & Silver Stocks Look Perky

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Posted by Morris Hubbartt - Super Force Signals

on Friday, 08 June 2018 08:27

Today's videos and charts (double click to enlarge):

SFS Key Charts & Video Update

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Gold & Precious Metals

US Stock Market Meets Insidious Inflation

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Posted by Stewart Thomson - Graceland Updates

on Wednesday, 06 June 2018 06:57

1.    In the West, gold has rallied decently during five of the past seven recessions.  I’ve suggested that the current situation in America is something like 1965 – 1970, when inflation began a long and strong up cycle.

2.    That’s partly why I’m adamant that it’s the best time in American history to own a portfolio (a global portfolio) of companies involved in precious metals mining and jewellery.

3.    The other reason that I’m excited about these stocks is that in the East, when people get richer, they buy gold.  They are now getting a lot richer, and a lot faster.  

4.    Simply put, deflation is out, and inflation is in.  It’s really that simple, and investors around the world need to get positioned right now to ensure they get maximum financial benefit.

5.    Please click here now.  With their statements and analysis, Morgan Stanley moves “thunder cash” in the institutional investor community.

6.    Their top US equity man, Mike “Mr. Big” Wilson, predicts that while US markets are a clear short-term buy, valuations peaked in 2017, and prices will peak in 2018.  

7.    I’m in 100% agreement with Mike.  Tactically, I’ve urged investors who are not afraid of price chasing to buy some bank stocks, energy stocks, and growth stocks.  Gamblers can buy call options.  

8.    That’s how to play the final months of upside fun in the US stock market,but investors must be seriously prepared for years of inflationary bear market horror to follow this blow-off top.

9.    I’ve predicted that only the most astute stock pickers will survive being invested in the US stock market from 2019 forwards.  In the coming inflationary inferno, index and ETF investors will essentially be turned into tumbleweed, burning in a financial desert.  

10. When will the inferno begin? 



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Gold & Precious Metals

This is When Gold Will Soar…

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Posted by Jordan Roy Byrne - The Daily Gold

on Thursday, 31 May 2018 07:52

Despite the insistence of some, precious metals have not been in a bull market. After a big pop at the start of 2016, the sector has trended lower. Sure, Gold has traded up towards a major breakout but Silver and the gold stocks have trended lower. When the US Dollar corrected significantly, the stock market outperformed precious metals. Does that sound like a Gold bull market to you? The moribund performance has left us wondering what could turn the tide. A quick study of Fed history with the context of current conditions is very instructive as to when Gold could begin a true bull market.

Fundamentally speaking, we know that Gold performs best when real rates are declining or will soon begin declining. That usually entails either accelerating inflation (surpassing the increase in nominal rates) or falling rates amid stable inflation. At this juncture we are leaning towards the latter as the eventual catalyst for Gold.  

We were curious how Fed policy and policy changes impacted precious metals so we decided to plot the Fed Funds rate (above) along with gold stocks (middle) and Gold (bottom). We used the gold stocks (Barron’s Gold Mining Index) because they have a longer history than Gold. The vertical lines in blue mark lows in the BGMI that coincided with peaks in the Fed Funds rate (FFR) while the vertical lines in red mark lows in the BGMI that coincided with a bottom in the FFR.

05282018goldstocksFed

Fed Funds Rate, Gold Stocks & Gold

 

Outside of the highly inflationary 1970s, the best bull markets in gold stocks began around the time the Fed Funds rate peaked (or in other words when the Fed ended its rate hikes). Lows in 1993, 1999 and 2016 coincided with the start of a new hiking cycle. However, unlike the lows in 1972 and 1976, inflation did not accelerate enough to drive more than a rebound.  

Does that signal that gold stocks (and precious metals at large) need an end to the rate hikes?

The period from 1999 to 2001 is very instructive as there are several similarities between 1999-2000 and 2016-2017.

Like 1999, 2016 followed a nasty bear market in Gold and hard assets.

Also, the 1999 bottom in precious metals and commodities occurred around the time the Fed began a new cycle of rate hikes. Sound familiar to 2016?

As the Fed continued to hike into 2000, Gold and gold stocks trailed off but commodities were able to make higher highs until the very end of 2000. Commodities have not been quite as strong this time but they have outperformed precious metals which have trailed off since the initial rebound.

Gold and gold stocks ultimately bottomed and began spectacular rebounds around the time the Fed moved from a pause in rate hikes to rate cuts at the very start of 2001.

 

05292018Fed99to01
1999-2001: Fed Funds Rate, Gold Stocks, Gold, Commodities

 

Unless there is an acceleration in inflation, the turning point for precious metals figures to be around the time the Fed ends its rate hikes. That would likely coincide with Gold regaining outperformance against the stock market, which we have noted as Gold’s missing link (from an intermarket perspective). Weakness in the economy and stock market would lead to an end to the rate hikes and then rate cuts. That would be the time Gold and gold stocks begin a major move higher. In the meantime we continue to focus on and accumulate the juniors that have 300% to 500% return potential.

Jordan Roy-Byrne CMT, MFTA



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Gold & Precious Metals

Kirkland Lake On Its Way To Becoming “The Premier Mining Company In The World”

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Posted by Jay Tayor - MiningStocks.com

on Monday, 14 May 2018 07:45

Kirkland Lake Gold is by far the best up-and coming gold miner that the publisher of MiningStocks.com is aware of. Kirkland’s Chairman Eric Sprott knows the Gold business extremely well and won’t be satisfied until he makes Kirkland the preeminent gold mining company in the world.R Zurrer for Money Talks. 

Novo Resources CEO Dr. Quinton Hennigh, who knows Kirkland’s Chairman Eric Sprott as well as anyone in the mining industry, told me Eric won’t be satisfied until he makes Kirkland the preeminent gold mining company in the world. I think Sprott can actually achieve that goal, in part because like another successful executive named Rob McEwen who launched Goldcorp into its status as one of the largest gold mining companies in the world, Eric understands the product he produces and sells. Like McEwen, Eric understands that gold is money, which was a refrain Rob was constantly reminding his shareholders of when he was at the Goldcorp helm. If anything, as a strong supporter of the Gold Anti Trust Action Committee, Sprott understands gold even better than McEwen does. Whether or not that is true, Sprott is thinking very big and he is entering into various strategic investments that have the potential to launch Kirkland into the gold mining company big leagues in fairly short order from its current very profitable earnings base. 

Kirkland-Lake-May-18

In 2017 Kirkland earned $132.4 million, or $0.64 per share, and its operating cash flow totaled $309.8 million on production of 596,405 ounces of gold. At the end of Q1 2018 the company earned another $53.8 million and increased its cash on its balance sheet to $275.3 million. Production is currently coming from three mines in Ontario and one in Australia. But the aggressive big picture acquisition and strategic investment strategy of Eric Sprott since he took the helm at Kirkland combined with strong operating performance of Kirkland is really the story. 

The first bold move was to acquire Newmarket Gold in 2016 that brought the phenomenal Foster Mine in Australia. But under the radar are a couple of other moves Eric has made that I think can catapult this company to another level.



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Gold & Precious Metals

ERIC COFFIN - Special Situations BUY ALERT

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Posted by MoneyTalks Editor

on Friday, 11 May 2018 16:08

An exclusive for our MoneyTalks audience. Click on the image below. ~ Editor

Eric Special



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