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You Don’t Have to Be a Victim

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Posted by Porter Stansberry via Bill Bonner - Diary of a Rogue Economist

on Tuesday, 22 November 2016 08:32

Don’t ignore this warning. I’m going to show you exactly how to make a lot of money in the options market. 

But what I’m trying to teach you below could rescue you financially over the next 12 to 36 months.

Investors who don’t know the facts, the history, the financial concepts, and the trading strategy I outline in today’s Digest have absolutely no chance of surviving the next few years without taking huge losses.

Even if you’ve never printed a Digest before, I’m going to urge you to print today’s. Pin it up on the wall next to where you monitor your portfolio or do your trading. Make sure your adviser or your spouse gets a copy, too. At the end of each quarter over the next few years, read this letter again. And ask yourself what you’re prepared to do now about these ideas.

Please. Don’t. Ignore. This. Warning.

You have to understand this… You can take the information I’ll give you below (for free) and make something between 10 and 20 times your money in the next year or two. Investors who don’t follow this strategy – or one like it – are going to suffer big losses.

That’s why this is so important. It’s not just an opportunity to make huge gains. It’s a chance to blow past the results that anyone who’s only invested on the long side could possibly achieve. 

But let’s start with the bad news…

Our Big Trade strategy – to buy out-of-the-money, long-dated put options – is normally the hardest way to make money in the securities markets. The only reason to consider doing any of the things I will outline below is because you already have a successful investment strategy. You already have a good diversified portfolio. You are already meeting your investment goals.

And because, like me, you’re convinced that Obama’s legacy – the stunning amount of bad debt that has been underwritten over the past seven years – is going to cause certain industries and businesses big problems. Life-threatening problems.

I firmly believe that’s true. It’s only because of the truly historic size of the debt bubble Obama built that I would even consider this strategy.

 

  • Our Big Trade strategy is the absolute best way to hedge your financial assets from credit risk.

  • This isn’t just speculation. It’s also the best strategy to avoid big losses from what’s about to happen.

  • The debt-default cycle has already begun, and big losses for most investors are now inevitable.

 

Bad debt is only half the story…

The real key to understanding this opportunity is to realize the profound dichotomy between how much financial risk U.S. corporations currently have on their balance sheets (the most ever) and how little risk is being priced into the equity market today (among the least ever).

It’s this shocking "spread" between the real and obvious financial risks we face and the nearly record-low volatility in the stock market that the Big Trade is set up to exploit.

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Let me show you how this all works in practice…



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Personal Finance

Eliminating Cash – The NEW AGE of Economics

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Posted by Martin Armstrong - Armstrong Economics

on Wednesday, 16 November 2016 12:32

Tax-RobberyQUESTION:

What is your view on the Indian government banning large denomination bills and why such a small window of time to get them turned in?
PB

ANSWER: Unfortunately, the theory is that cash prevents governments from maintaining negative interest rates. They want to “tax” the mere possession of money. Eliminate cash, and then they think they can stimulate the economy without creating inflation and they will be in total control. They view that the reason Marxist/Keynesian philosophy failed is because of cash. People can hoard money and thus exit the system. They cannot stop that unless they eliminate money.

This is what the NEW AGE of economics is all about. They next level of taxing you for merely having money. Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi has announced that the 500 ($7.60) and 1,000 rupee banknotes will be withdrawn from the financial system overnight. This is all about taxes.

Everyone should pay attention here. Governments can simply cancel a currency overnight. The ECB wants to eliminate the 500 euro note and Larry Summers is arguing to end the $100 bill in the USA. These people want to tax everything and see that interest rates can be negative forever if they get rid of cash. They are totally insane.

....related: 

War on Cash intensifies: Citibank to stop accepting cash at some branches

by Simon Black

Less than a week after India’s surprise move to scrap its highest denomination cash notes, another front in the War on Cash has intensified down under in Australia.

Yesterday, banking giant UBS proposed that eliminating Australia’s $100 and $50 bills would be “good for the economy and good for the banks.”

...continue reading HERE



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Personal Finance

Graham's 4 Vital Elements

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Posted by Thomas Macpherson

on Tuesday, 15 November 2016 07:03

iStock reading book 2013 12 28When things are not working out, a lesser-known piece of Graham's writing can show you the way

One of the most overlooked sections in great value investing writing is chapter two in Benjamin Graham and David Dodd’s classic “Security Analysis." [1] Entitled “Fundamental Elements in the Problem of Analysis. Quantitative and Qualitative Factors,” the chapter is filled with insights on both an investor’s approach and views on data and information about possible investments. 

....continue reading HERE

 

...also:

Post Election: Pause, Reflect, and Act Carefully



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Personal Finance

Post Election: Pause, Reflect, and Act Carefully

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Posted by Dash of Insight

on Thursday, 10 November 2016 06:50

caution-proceed-carefully-clip-art-at-clker-com-vector-clip-art-Wb1pbu-clipartTake a deep breath. Or maybe two.

The biggest trap for investors during an aggressive political campaign? Allowing the political narrative to become the foundation for your portfolio decisions. I have frequently advocated that investors should be “politically agnostic,” willing to make sound investments regardless of who is in power. This is always easier said than done, particularly in an environment of extreme claims.

Acting emotionally and without sufficient thought is usually a costly mistake. Those who sold all stocks when President Obama was elected missed a huge rally. Those who sold futures contracts on the breaking news last night also have big losses this morning. Here are some key points:

...read 1 thru 4 HERE

...related from Larry Edelson:

The Trump Win. What to do …



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Personal Finance

President Trump and the Fall of Davos Man & When Elites Fail

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Posted by John Mauldin - Mauldin Economicscs

on Thursday, 10 November 2016 06:41

113306409 NEW YORK NY - NOVEMBER 09  Thousands of anti-Donald Trump protesters shut down 5th Avenue transVYxRx2 9udgNR4uaqOYbBvks6nzheoCJCWn0mmbs TUWe had a very late night in the Mauldin household, as I’m sure many of you did. I truly was unsure what to expect from this election, and I was as surprised as anyone when the Trump victory started taking shape. At our election party there were many of my neighbors who were ardent Hillary supporters, and they were shocked, as was much of the national media.

The real losers? Polling companies and those who create models built around them. It turns out that when you really need a poll to work, the model breaks down. Not unlike the models built by the Federal Reserve and many financial planners. Blame natural complexity, for starters.

I keep telling people that past performance is not indicative of future results, and yet even I am surprised (I ruefully admit) at the woeful inadequacy of the predictions of political polls this time around. Brexit? The US? Bring on Italy and France.

Today I have two short, thoughtful post-election articles for you from Gavekal co-founders Louis Gave and Charles Gave. (Charles lives in France, and Louis moves between Hong Kong and Vancouver.) They are among the most “global” people I know, but you will see that they view this election outcome quite differently from the stereotypical globalists. They see the elitist world created by what Charles calls “Davos man” cracking up all over the place as pushback intensifies from the unprotected classes – those left out of the party of globalism and world growth that has developed over the last 30 or so years.



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