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Energy & Commodities

Bitcoin Carnage Continues But What Is Happening In This Market Is Truly Shocking

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Posted by KingWorldNews

on Monday, 05 February 2018 06:05

What is happening in the crude oil market is unprecedented.  Commercial short positions have now reached unimaginable levels (see stunning chart below).

Screen Shot 2018-02-05 at 7.05.28 AM

Meanwhile, Commercial Euro Shorts Hit All-Time Record! -----continue reading HERE



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Energy & Commodities

Commodities as Cheap as (or Cheaper Than) They’ve Ever Been

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Posted by Frank Holmes - US Global Investors

on Friday, 02 February 2018 19:18

Pay close attention to where commodities are relative to equities right now. Compared to the S&P 500 Index, materials are extremely undervalued, the most since at least 1970. This makes now a very attractive entry point—or as natural resource investors Goehring & Rozencwajg Associates writes in its quarterly report, there could be “a proverbial fortune to be made” if investors take advantage of this once-in-a-generation opportunity.

COMM-commodities-are-as-cheap-as-theyve-ever-been-relative-to-equities-02022018

“When commodities are this cheap relative to stocks, the returns accruing to commodity investors have been spectacular,” the firm continues:



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Energy & Commodities

A New Bull Market is Emerging

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Posted by Peter DeGraaf

on Friday, 26 January 2018 06:13

We’ve all watched in amazement, while the equities markets around the world have risen to new highs.  On Wall Street hardly a week goes by without a new record.  There comes a time however when a sector becomes so overbought, that smart money begins to leave and search for a sector that has been overlooked.   That moment is now at hand, as can be seen in our first chart – courtesy sources listed. 

chart one

This chart compares equities to commodities.  In 1970, 2000 and today, equities have become overpriced, while commodities are oversold and cheap by comparison.  In 1973, 1990 and 2008, oil and commodities became overbought and investors sold commodities and bought stocks.  If history repeats (and it often does), we are about to witness a massive switching from equities into commodities.  This trend may or may not include oil, since it is already in a bull market, but because of ongoing demand in Asia it will include such items as natural gas, copper, lithium, vanadium, zinc, and cobalt, and the stocks of the companies that mine and produce these commodities will be in great demand. 

http://www.goldseek.com/news/2018/1-25pd/chart%20two.jpg

This chart courtesy Zerohedge.com shows the average number of days in the US stock market between occasions where the index drops 5% or more is 92 days, all the way back to 1929.  In the mid-1960s there was a stretch without a 5% correction for 386 days.  In the mid 1990s the index went 394 days without a 5% correction.  And now (as of Thursday Jan 25th) we have gone a record 399 days without a 5% pullback.  So The S&P has NEVER been this over-valued, NEVER been this overbought, and NEVER gone this long without even a minor correction.   Odds are.....



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Energy & Commodities

Sentiment Indicates Extremes of Emotion for Lots of Commodities

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Posted by Bob Moriarty via Streetwise Reports

on Friday, 26 January 2018 05:55

Goldbullbear630Bob Moriarty of 321 Gold discusses the role of sentiment in the commodities markets and what it means for investors.

We have an interesting situation where a number of commodities are pressing at sentiment extremes all at the same time. Since the S&P and Nasdaq are both US stock market indexes, it is perfectly natural for their sentiment readings to be similar. After all, the indexes are alike in that they are bundles of different shares. In the same way, you can reasonably assume that the DSI for gold and silver to be close, they are both precious metals.

....continue reading HERE

 



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Energy & Commodities

Run with the Bulls … Especially These Four!

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Posted by Sean Broderick - The Edelson Institute

on Tuesday, 23 January 2018 06:38

On the seventh day of the seventh month in the north of Spain, you will see about 3,000 men — some old, mostly young, all brave — gather in the town of Pamplona.

They are there for the nine-day Festival of San Fermín. They are there to run with the bulls.

Running with the bulls at Pamplona isn’t for the lily-livered. Ernest Hemingway described it this way: “It’s like being shot at, and missed!”

But now, you don’t have to risk a horn though the guts to run with the bulls. What’s more, you can make a mountain of money, doing it, too.

I’m talking about the great, big, snorting bull market right in front of you …

The bull market in commodities is pawing the ground and ready to roar. Just look at this chart of the Thomson Reuters Commodity CRB Index. Or the CRB Index (NYBOT: CRB), for short.

crb

There are many kinds of bulls in Pamplona. And the CRB Index is comprised of 19 different types of commodities: aluminum, cocoa, coffee, copper, corn, cotton, crude oil, gold, wheat. But its weighted toward energy (33%).

The important point is that ALL the bulls are running. Some will run faster; some will run slower. If you can grab on to a fast bull, you can go very far indeed.

How far? This cup-and-handle pattern on the chart gives us a minimum target that is 11% higher from recent prices.

Stocks that are leveraged to commodities can do much better.

Now, what if I told you there is a massive force that is putting Tabasco under the tails of these bulls? It’s a potent mixture … one that could spur these bulls to run further and faster than many dream possible.

It’s in this chart right here …



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