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Energy & Commodities

Long Term Patterns in Stocks, Gold and Crude

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Posted by Gary Christensen - The Deviant Investor

on Friday, 15 December 2017 06:41

dp

The green arrows are 10 years long. Peaks indicated are in 1987, 2007, and potentially 2017.

The pause in 1997 was not a top because the market rally extended into early 2000. The current peak in 2017 could also extend, but valuation and timing indicators show high risk.

When the monthly RSI (timing indicator at bottom of graph) exceeds 70, turns down, and prices fall below the red support line, a significant correction or crash is possible. Those crashes occurred in 1987, 2000, and 2008. The S&P is ready to make a similar correction or crash in 2017 or 2018. The RSI has reached its highest level in two decades.

The S&P 500 Index, DOW, NASDAQ, DAX and many other indices are excessively high, thanks to central bank “stimulus” and QE policies. The monthly chart of the S&P shows S&P prices are in a high risk danger zone.

Possible tops have occurred before, but instead of crashing, the market sometimes zoomed higher. Do you own due diligence.

Also, read “Hindenburg Omen Meets Titanic Syndrome.” However, if you want to believe the S&P is going higher, read “Stock Market Crash … Another Lie.”

The Gold Market and its 10 year pattern



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Energy & Commodities

Budding Marijuana Company In Canada

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Posted by The Baron Investing

on Thursday, 14 December 2017 06:03

1125441-15131048102168517Summary

Village Farms International is a greenhouse operator looking to enter the Canadian medical marijuana industry.

They have the facilities, and partner, to potentially become a major player in the North American market.

The company is well positioned to enter the North American recreational marijuana market should the United States change their position under new leadership.

Let's get right to it, Village Farms International (OTCQX:VFFIF or TSE:VFF) has the potential to be the low cost producer in the Canadian medical marijuana industry. This investment is based on stages of development, which I plan to explore with readers and let you know, in likely the most transparent way possible, how I plan to "play" this player in this promising industry.

....read more HERE

 



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Energy & Commodities

Where Will All That Lithium Come From?

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Posted by Sean Broderick - The Edelson Institute

on Tuesday, 12 December 2017 06:21

Lithium prices have traveled sideways recently. So the shares of lithium miners, developers and explorers have suffered a correction. As they often like to do, speculators are temporarily rushing out of a market simply because it’s no longer going up, up, up. They’re probably piling into Bitcoin.

Folks, nothing goes straight up (not even Bitcoin). A cooling off in the lithium market is just what the doctor ordered. 

Look at these charts:

chart1l
Click image for larger view

The chart on the left shows the prices of lithium hydroxide and lithium carbonate in Asia. Asia is the major buyer of lithium. Since the metal doesn’t trade on an exchange (yet), we have to use transactions in Asia to track it. You can see that 2016 and ’17 were rocket rides for the metal.



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Energy & Commodities

Now is the Time to Take a Contrarian Position

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Posted by Egon Von Greyerz

on Tuesday, 21 November 2017 05:29

We are currently standing before one of the most unique and frightening periods in history. Never have there been so many extremes in so many different areas. In the last 100 years everything seems to have developed so much faster, including population, technology, inflation, debt, money printing, budget deficits, stock, bond and property prices, crypto currencies etc.

All of these areas are now in an exponential growth phase. The final stage of exponential growth is explosive and looks like a spike that goes straight up. A spike for a major sample like global population or the Dow never finishes with just a sideways move. Once a spike move has finished, it always results in a spike move down.

It seems that everything in the world is developing much faster today like computers and mobile phones or robots. The world assumes that this exponential growth in so many areas will continue or even accelerate further. But sadly, that is unlikely to be the case.

EXPONENTIAL MOVES ARE TERMINAL

Stockholm housing-1975-2017

There is a more scientific illustration how these exponential moves occur and also how they end. (Ed Note: Great article & charts!)

....continue reading HERE

....also from Egon Von Greyerz:

MAJOR ALERT: Greyerz Says One Of The Two Largest Banks In Switzerland Just Refused To Hand Over Clients’ Physical Gold. Even More Surprising Is What The Client Did Next



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Energy & Commodities

Clive Maund: Oil Market Update

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Posted by Clive Maund Maund

on Monday, 20 November 2017 05:58

It’s a good time to take an updated look at oil, because the paradoxes we observed regarding gold and silver, which we looked at in yesterday’s new Gold and Silver Market updates are much more extreme in the case of oil.On the latest 5-year chart for Light Crude we see that oil has in recent weeks succeeding in breaking out of its giant Head-and-Shoulders base pattern at last. We also see that volume has expanded greatly over the past 2 years which is viewed as a sign of a completing bottom. Recent strong upside volume has driven both volume indicators to new highs, despite the price still being way below its 2013 highs – this is viewed as a very bullish sign, and suggests that oil will advance at least to the $80 area.

wtic5year201117

.....continue analysis HERE



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