In yesterday’s alert we emphasized that the breakdown in the USD Index should not be trusted as it was not confirmed and there were several good reasons to think that it would not be confirmed. The breakdown is already invalidated and – again, as discussed yesterday – this is actually a strong bullish sign. Is the decline in the USD Index over and is the big slide in the precious metals sector just around the corner?
In short, that seems quite likely. Naturally, there’s much more to the precious metals market than just the USD Index and it’s prudent to analyze more factors than just this specific index. In other words, it is of utmost importance especially at this time, but there are many other important signs to keep in mind. Still, let’s start today’s analysis with the U.S. currency (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
In yesterday’s alert, we commented on the above chart in the following way: