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Asset protection

Greyerz – Explosive Setup In Silver As Debt Binge World Faces Two Grim Alternatives

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Posted by King World News

on Monday, 16 October 2017 06:52


With continued uncertainty around the globe, today the man who has become legendary for his predictions on QE, historic moves in currencies, told King World News that the setup in the silver market is explosive as debt binge world faces two grim alternatives.

....continue reading HERE

....also from KingWorld:

With Gold Surging Above $1,300, Here Are Two Of The Biggest Surprises From Jim Grant’s Conference


Asset protection

One Chart Shows Investors Are Dealt A Losing Han

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Posted by Lance Roberts - Real Investment Advice

on Monday, 09 October 2017 07:45

The rise in the market has seemed unstoppable. Despite the Federal Reserve continuing to hike interest rates and tightening monetary policy, geopolitical risks from North Korea to Iran, mass shootings, failure of legislative agenda and weak economic growth – the market’s rise has continued unabated.

Much of the recent rise, as discussed last week, has been based upon faulty assumptions about the effect of tax cuts and reforms. However, in the short-term, it is always the exuberance of market participants chasing returns as the “fear of missing out,” or FOMO, overrides the logic of fundamentals.

The problem for investors is that since fundamentals take an exceedingly long time to play out, as prices become detached “reality,” it becomes believed that somehow “this time is different.” 

Unfortunately, it never is.

Our chart of the day is a long-term view of price measures of the market. The S&P 500 is derived from Dr. Robert Shiller’s inflation adjusted price data and is plotted on a QUARTERLY basis. From that quarterly data I have calculated:

  • The 12-period (3-year) Relative Strength Index (RSI),
  • Bollinger Bands (2 and 3 standard deviations of the 3-year average),
  • CAPE Ratio, and; 
  • The percentage deviation above and below the 3-year moving average. 
  • The vertical RED lines denote points where all measures have aligned




Asset protection

When the Snowball Reverses

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Posted by Doug Wakefield - Best Minds

on Friday, 06 October 2017 06:46

Screen Shot 2017-10-06 at 6.38.32 AM
“I wrote a series of articles on the Fed versus History. If you thought the Fed could keep us out of recession, you would be a bull. If you thought History would prevail, you should stay out of the market. I bet on History. Time has shown that History won that fight. History is a tough opponent. Betting against History is usually a losing proposition.”  

September 2008 seems so long ago now. The experiment of global QE has proven from the last 9 years that the $700 billion bailout in 2008 did not end the crisis, but kicked off a world that became addicted to ongoing bailouts....

....continue reading HERE 


If You Want To Know How Crazy Things Really Are Right Now, Take A Look At This… (hint, take a look at the chart below! - Ed)





Asset protection

Marc Faber Warns of Another Market Crash

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Posted by Marc Faber - Gloom Boom & Doom Report

on Wednesday, 04 October 2017 06:22

stock-market-crash-1987Sudden Event Would Be More than Enough to Spark Financial Crisis, Warns Faber

Many have expected a financial crisis in 2017. Some may have even hoped for one, thinking it would cause a big dent in President Donald Trump’s popularity. In August and September, as if taking a sigh of relief, investors pushed the pedal to the metal. For much of 2017, the markets have performed as if nobody even wonders, “Will there be another financial crisis?”

Ten years after the subprime crisis, the ever-crazier world of stock markets is on the verge of a new financial bubble. As it happens, it’s no time to consign stock market crash predictions to the closet of obsolescence.

Also Read“Economic Crash 2017” and How Next Financial Crisis Could Be Worse than 2008


Asset protection

Are the US Markets setting up for an Early October Surprise?

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Posted by Chris Vermeulen - Active TradinPartners.comers.com

on Monday, 02 October 2017 09:21

As investors, we have to determine the amount of risk compared to the amount of potential gain in any trade.  Our job is to measure this relationship properly and to attempt to find opportunities in taking risks for an adequate amount of gain.  Often, this business is difficult to manage expectations and presumed risk factors for traders.  We’ve been trading, combined, for over 40+ years and have learned that the markets don’t always do what we expect them to do.  A perfect example is our most recent VIX Spike call for Sept 9th ~ 12th.  Even though our analysis was valid and accurate, we did not see the VIX spike levels we had projected to happen – such is life in the markets.  We strive every week to deliver superior analysis, trading triggers/alerts and daily markets updates to our clients.  Right or wrong, we live by our abilities to call successful trading triggers and provide timely and accurate market research.

Right now, a number of US major markets are setting up with divergence between price and common technical indicators.  Because many investors fail to even review or focus on longer term charts, very few may be aware of these setups.  Given the size and strength of the recent moves, we are not making predictions regarding the downside price potential (although it could be substantial).  We are simply pointing out that these divergence patterns are setting up in a number of US major markets and we believe this is a significant correlation pattern of a future event.

This Daily NASDAQ chart provides one of the clearest examples of the divergence patterns.  Price has continually tightened within an upward sloping trend channel and has recently formed a bear flag formation.  MACD has related multiple divergence tops over the past 3+ months and RSI has hovered just above 45 throughout this trend to support the upward move.  As washout high reversal early this week would be a perfect setup for a divergent reversal. A prices spike a bit higher early this week followed by a deep market correction.

Chart 17-09-28 13-29-24

This second chart of the ES provides even further evidence of the setup.  This chart is a Weekly ES (S&P) chart that shows the divergent price action going all the way back to February/March of 2017.  The cyan blue trend channel (support level) is clearly our potential downside target and the RSI is continuing to hover above 58 as this trend continues.  Could the extended divergence be warning of a potentially massive correction?  If so, the RSI would quickly fall to below 50 and price would attempt to retest the support channel (-200 pts from current levels).



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