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Doomsday Clock Dangerously Close to Striking Midnight

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Posted by Larry Edelson - Money & Markets

on Wednesday, 01 February 2017 06:23

Here’s a sobering thought: In the first month of 2017, we find ourselves closer to nuclear Armageddon than at any time in the last sixty years!

The Doomsday Clock, started by a group of scientists after the Manhattan Project back in 1947, is updated each January to show how close or how far away we are from the stroke of midnight, which means imminent nuclear holocaust.

Well, according to the latest report from the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists in January, the clock just moved to two-and-one-half minutes till midnight.

That’s closer to nuclear annihilation than any time since 1953 … immediately after the first H-bomb test by the Soviet Union.

This revelation is no surprise to me, because I’ve been warning you for some time now that the cycles of war are indeed ramping higher, and will continue to do so in the years ahead.

The war cycles are just one component in an intersection of multiple cycles I call the Edelson Wave, that are now converging into the most powerful tidal-wave of economic and political upheaval in more than eighty years.

All around me I see hard evidence that the war cycles are rising. Just look at the short-list of flash points for potential conflict around the world today … 

  • North Korea’s development of nukes and missiles to carry them…
  • Hot war in Syria and rising tensions across the Middle East …
  • Russia’s ambitions to restore the lost Soviet empire …
  • China’s saber rattling in the South China Sea

The list goes on, and could easily include rising tensions between India and Pakistan, both nuclear-armed states, not to mention threats by Israel, Turkey and Saudi Arabia to intervene in the Syrian conflict.

Screen Shot 2017-02-01 at 6.08.02 AMAgainst this backdrop, we have a changing cast of world-leading characters with very strong personalities. Of course, this includes a new American president who enjoys talking tough and doesn’t seem hesitant to swing the big stick of U.S. military might.

And in the opposite corner is Russian President Vladimir Putin, who for all his friendly gestures toward Trump, has his own ambitious agenda for expanding Russia’s power.

Trump has promised to improve relations with Russia, but don’t let that lull you into a false sense of security.

Putin is dead set on restoring Russia’s former glory, by force if necessary. He has systematically flexed his military muscle to show his willingness to re-acquire former client states of the old Soviet Union.  Remember Crimea? Remember Ukraine? Remember Georgia?

 



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Asset protection

The Global War on Cash

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Posted by Visual Capitalist

on Monday, 30 January 2017 07:18

war-on-cash-shareThere is a global push by lawmakers to eliminate the use of physical cash around the world. This movement is often referred to as “The War on Cash”, and there are three major players involved:

1. The Initiators
Who? 
Governments, central banks.
Why?
The elimination of cash will make it easier to track all types of transactions – including those made by criminals. 

2. The Enemy
Who? 
Criminals, terrorists
Why?
Large denominations of bank notes make illegal transactions easier to perform, and increase anonymity.

3. The Crossfire
Who?
Citizens
Why?
The coercive elimination of physical cash will have potential repercussions on the economy and social liberties.

Is Cash Still King?



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Asset protection

Is The Public About To Get Torched In A Stock Market Plunge? The Answer Will Shock You

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Posted by King World News

on Friday, 27 January 2017 06:14

King-World-News-Gerald-Celente--Shocking-Swiss-Move-Only-The-Beginning-Of-A-Much-Larger-Global-Meltdown-864x400 cThe latest readings from the weekly American Association of Individual Investors survey show a drop in bullish opinion among mostly self-directed investors. At the same time, “everyone else” remains steadfastly, and extremely, bullish. While individuals are looked down upon as the dumb money, that has not been an accurate statement, especially over the past decade…

....continue reading HERE



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Asset protection

Beware: Excessive Optimism

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Posted by Andrew Ruhland

on Thursday, 26 January 2017 13:04

optimism“Dow Jones 20,000 thanks to The Donald…To the Moon, Alice…whew-hew!”

“Donald Trump slays all dragons: mainstream media, leftists and doubters!”

“Donald Trump is the cause of all evils real and imagined, past, present and future!”

The first headline is partly real and timely, the second is my paraphrasing the recent coverage from supportive media outlets. The last one is from every other media outlet, including the CBC…your income tax dollars at work!

I’m starting with these three “headlines” because they illustrate both the spirit of the current environment, and the risks of our media-pervasive modern society. All of this noise is a big distraction from the real action, and it’s very dangerous. Times like these remind us that “mass media mimics - and sometimes manipulates - mass mania.” For some, the mania is a victory parade, and for others it’s a lynch-mob delicately described as a “march” with vulgar hats.

Here’s why you should care: when we are in a highly emotional state, we ALL make emotionally-based decisions; this extends to investment decision making as well. No one is immune to good or bad emotions, and we cannot mask or restrain negative/destructive emotions without doing the same to positive/constructive emotions. For curious minds, please look up Brene Brown’s various TED Talks.

Too much optimism is dangerous, especially if it’s connected to a story, person or movement that we identify with passionately; call it attachment of our ego. Don’t get me wrong, I’m happy that Hillary Clinton didn’t win the Whitehouse, but this isn’t about Donald Trump…despite the fact that he’s showing himself to be a man of swift action, and appears to be following through on his major campaign promises.

This aspect alone has opposing pundits in awe, bewildered, whining and enraged. Thus, Trump supporters are highly likely to be the most at-risk here in terms of buying near a short-term top since their political exuberance is masking their “higher-order executive functions” that produce disciplined investment decision making. While the MSM attacks him on every issue (petty and material), his supporters are growing emotional blinders via over-confidence. Go ahead and enjoy the victory parade, but be smart about it, please.

Why the wet blanket language? Since risk and reward are directly connected to price movements in the medium of time, we know from history that true investment risk is lowest when prices are lowest (and fear of loss of capital is highest) and conversely that risk is highest when prices are highest.

Most describe the emotion of market tops as “Greed” but that’s a misnomer; I believe what most investors feel near market tops (especially at new all-time highs) is actually fear of missing out on gains. This fear of missing out is exacerbated for those who sold near the last bottom based on fear of loss of capital…and they repeat their destructive behaviours of selling low and buying high.

Regardless of who’s in political power, it’s the underlying economic trends that matter. Money is a form of energy, and we know that energy moves in waves and cycles in a dynamic and complex inter-play. This is the entire basis of Martin Armstrong’s ECM and Socrates™ computer models, which remove human emotion, bias and opinion from the mix. The mainstream chatter is a dangerous distraction from the underlying reality, so we need to focus on the data.

What’s happening right now with currency, equity and government bond markets and US-bound capital flows has been forecasted in Marty’s models for many years, long before Donald Trump announced his campaign in the summer of 2015. Donald J. Trump is merely the lead actor is this grand screenplay of energy flows.

So, whether you’re sitting on a lump sum that is “missing out” on recent gains, or fully invested and wondering about de-risking your portfolio, this is the time to go back to your carefully crafted Investment Policy Statement that you agreed to when your emotions were in a more subdued state, and your decision making was dominated by your higher-order executive functions. This is the time to return to your fundamentals, to your Life Goals; and to re-affirm your commitment to making intelligent investment decisions…not emotional decisions.

Patience and Discipline are accretive to your wealth, health and happiness – so focus on these.

I’m looking forward to participating in The World Outlook Financial Conference next week, including presenting a couple of Personal Finance Workshops on investing lump sums and other timely topics.

Cheers,

Andrew H. Ruhland, CFP, CIM

www.integratedwealthmanagement.ca



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Asset protection

Mark Leibovit: Seasonal Pull Back Due

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Posted by Mark Leibovit - The VR Platinum Newsletter

on Wednesday, 25 January 2017 08:32

unnamedThe Nasdaq Composite Index also climbed to a record, with materials producers leading gains as copper and aluminum advanced. Housing stocks surged after the largest U.S. builder delivered earnings, while engineering firms gained as President Donald Trump took steps to advance construction of oil pipelines. Banks jumped as the yield on the 10-year Treasury note climbed back above 2.45 percent. Crude topped $53 a barrel.

While politics continued to sway financial markets as a U.K. court ruled parliament must vote on any Brexit plan. Donald Trump sought to cajole U.S. automakers to build plants in America and vowed to renegotiate the Keystone XL and Dakota Access pipelines. Investors also turned to a slate of corporate earnings that began to show signs that the economy was on firm footing at the end of 2016. D.R. Horton Inc.’s results come amid data showing rising home construction and a pickup in demand as mortgage rates start to climb. The first reading on last quarter’s U.S. economic output is due Friday.



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