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Three Black Swans

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Posted by John Mauldin - Mauldin Economicscs

on Monday, 24 July 2017 08:38

Yellen Overshoots
ECB Runs Out of Bullets
Chinese Debt Meltdown
Too Many Planes; Grand Lake Stream, Maine; Colorado; and Portugal

“The world in which we live has an increasing number of feedback loops, causing events to be the cause of more events (say, people buy a book because other people bought it), thus generating snowballs and arbitrary and unpredictable planet-wide winner-take-all effects.”

– Nassim Nicholas Taleb, The Black Swan

170722-01



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Asset protection

John Embry – The Situation Is Now Rapidly Deteriorating In The West

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Posted by King World News

on Friday, 07 July 2017 09:10

KWN-John-Embry-V-2242015-864x400 cThings Are Rapidly Deteriorating

John Embry:  “Eric, I think investors should be getting very concerned at this point as the market manipulation has been almost fanatical recently, suggesting that things behind the curtain are deteriorating at a rapid rate…

...continue reading HERE

...also from King World News:

The War In The Silver Market Rages, Plus A Look At Gold



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Asset protection

Prepare For Asset Price Declines Of 50-75%

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Posted by Steve St. Angelo - SRSrocco Report

on Wednesday, 05 July 2017 05:13

2537-Bear Market Trading IdeasWhat we have is a totally propped-up market based upon debt. Energy isn’t producing positive growth, really. So instead of having real economic growth, we have inflated economic growth and inflated asset values.

When growth starts to decline, I think we’re going to see the valuations of assets decline considerably. It’s anyone’s guess how quickly they can fall, but according to what I have been looking at, I think we are going to see a 50% decrease in real estate values right off the bat. I am not saying this will happen in a day, but the first wave will be a 30-50% decrease in real estate values when the markets really start to crack. They are already at the edge of the cliff — and I see prices falling down the cliff, struggling to recover, and then falling even further. Actually, I predict within the next 5-10 years, we can easily see a 75% or more reduction in real estate values.

This was part of my interview with Chris Martenson at Peak Prosperity.  During the interview Chris and I discussed how the disintegrating energy industry would negatively impact the value of most assets…. Stocks, Bonds and Real Estate, while the precious metals would ultimately be the higher quality safe haven and store of value.

Out of all the analysts in the alternative media, I find that Chris Martenson’s work at Peak Prosperity gets closer to the root of the problem as it pertains to the future of our financial system and economic markets.  This is due to the fact that Chris focuses on energy and the Falling EROI – Energy Returned On Investment.

Unfortunately, most precious metals and resource analysts overlook energy.  Thus, their analysis is likely flawed because they view the future as a continuation of “business as usual”, once the debts and leverage are taken out of the system.  This is an incorrect assumption, because the debt and leverage actually have allowed our financial system and markets to continue to function well beyond its expiration date.  Getting rid of the debt and leverage would cause a collapse of the system… one that we will be unable to grow back out of.

Lastly, I believe it is important to continue focusing on the information and data as it changes.  This will provide the investor-public with a guideline as to the timing of the upcoming disintegration of our highly leveraged debt based financial market.

You can also access my interview with Chris here: Steve St. Angelo: Prepare For Asset Price Declines Of 50-75%

Also, if you have not watched Chris Martenson’s CRASH COARSE, I would highly recommend it.



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Asset protection

Tell as Lie Often Enough it Becomes the Truth – How Lies Now Defeat Gold & Dollar

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Posted by Martin Armstrong - Armstrong Economics

on Friday, 30 June 2017 07:44

Gold-Dollar

Martin Armstrong: A flood of comments from central banks this week has been signalling that the era of easy money is coming to an end. Of course, the nonsense spouted out by the Gold Promoters that hyperinflation was coming has left 10 years of continually wrong forecasts yet the pretend analysts have done far more damage to the marketplace that is only now revealing itself. Note carefully, that gold has declined WITH the dollar. Something else the promoters said would never happen.



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Asset protection

Public Pension Crisis Reaching a Tipping Point

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Posted by Lawrence McQuillan via Financial Sense

on Thursday, 29 June 2017 07:00

public-pension-liability

With several states and local governments across the country facing insurmountable public pension obligations, and a few cities having already declared bankruptcy to cope with the problem, it’s becoming increasingly clear that the current system is unsustainable and will have to change.

 

Lawrence McQuillan, a senior fellow at the Independent Institute and author of the book California Dreaming: Lessons on How to Resolve America’s Public Pension Crisis, explains why this is a crisis, how we got to this point, and the reforms that are needed.

Is It Safe to Call It a Crisis?

The short answer is, yes, we’re likely at the beginning of a crisis. From a national perspective, all state and local government pension debt amount to $4.7 trillion, McQuillan stated.

“This is money that should be in the bank today, but isn’t, in order to pay for pension benefits that have already been earned,” he said.

Though contributions have increased in recent years to make up for the shortfall, public pension liabilities are still climbing at a much faster rate and are unlikely to be reversed even under the most rosiest scenarios, notes Bloomberg based on a recent study by Moody's:

....continue reading summary HERE



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