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What Could Possibly Go Wrong?

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Posted by Lance Roberts - Real Investment Advice

on Tuesday, 30 January 2018 06:45

Bear-Possibly-Go-Wrong

What goes up, eventually comes down.

That is just reality.

The bull market that began in 2009, has now entered the final stage of “capitulation” as investors throw caution to the wind and charge headlong into the markets with reckless regard for the consequences.

Of course, it isn’t surprising given the massive amounts of liquidity continually injected into the financial markets and global Central Banks have now figured out that continually rising financial markets solve much of the world’s ills. Simply, with enough liquidity, you can cover up bad (credit risks) by guaranteeing holders they will never default.

It’s genius.  It’s a “no lose” investment scheme.

Unfortunately, we have seen this repeatedly in the past.

In the 1980’s it was “Portfolio Insurance” – a “no lose” investment program that eventually erupted into the crash of 1987. But not before the market went into a parabolic advance first.



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Asset protection

Is Everyone Now Bullish in Stocks?

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Posted by Martin Armstrong - Armstrong Economics

on Monday, 29 January 2018 09:00

businessman ride bull 300 clr 18785At last, we have entered the middle-ground of analytical thought. Between 2009 and 2017, the majority were bearish calling for the inevitable crash any day now. So after 8,6 years, they have now crossed the Rubicon and we now see there is a general expectation that stocks will keep rising, albeit at a slower pace. The reasons they now have adopted a focus on the Trump Tax Cuts and the odds seem low for a recession this year. They are also touting that economies around the world are finally in sync and starting to grow together, yet that seems to be delusional at best.

Then we have the typical fundamental arguing that with profits on the upswing for companies, stock prices tend to follow the direction of profits. That too is a myth for even Shiller has admitted that since 1881, the correlation of the past decade’s real earnings growth with the price-earnings ratio is a positive 0.32. But there is zero correlation between his CAPE ratio and the next 10 years’ real earnings growth.

....continue reading HERE

 

....also from Martin:

It’s The Impeachment That Would Tank the Market



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Asset protection

Stock Market Indicators: Fundamental, Sentiment, & Technical

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Posted by Yardeni Research

on Monday, 22 January 2018 06:38

Table of Contents

Fundamental Stock Market Indicator 1-2

Global Growth Barometer 3

Economic Surprise Index 4

Investors Intelligence Sentiment 5

Bull/Bear Ratio Over 3.0 6

Bull/Bear Ratio Under 1.0 7

Bull/Bear Ratio Under 1.0 & Over 3.0 8

AAII Sentiment 9

Bull/Bear Ratio vs. Consumer Confidence 10

S&P 500 Put Call Ratio 11

Volatility 12

Volume 13

Dow Theory 14

S&P 500 Moving Averages 15-16

S&P 500 Sectors Stock Price Index & 200-dma 17

S&P 500 Sectors Stock Price Index Minus 200-dma 18

S&P 500 Sectors Stock Price Index Relative to S&P  19

Screen Shot 2018-01-22 at 6.44.35 AM

Average of Consumer Comfort Index and Boom-Bust Barometer, which is CRB raw industrials spot price index divided by initial unemployment claims, four-week moving average.
Source: Bloomberg, Commodity Research Bureau, Department of Labor, and Standard & Poor’s Corporation.

.....continue HERE for more & larger charts



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Asset protection

Biggest Challenges Facing DIY Investors Over 50

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Posted by Andrew Ruhland

on Tuesday, 16 January 2018 17:59

Andrew Ruhland examines the three Ts: Time, Training and Temperment to help you identify any pitfalls in your self-directed investing.

andrewnumber6



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Asset protection

Governments And Central Banks Are About To Totally Lose Control

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Posted by Egon von Greyerz - King World News

on Tuesday, 16 January 2018 06:52

Today the man who has become legendary for his predictions on QE and historic moves in currencies, warns that governments and central banks are about to totally lose control of the global financial system, ushering in $10,000 gold, $667 silver and global panic. Money Talks Editor

KWN-Greyerz-II-4172015

Since 2006-2009, governments and central banks believe that they have made it through the strait of Messina, passing through Scylla and Charybdis, but sadly they are mistaken. The world is still desperately trying to get through the inescapable passage that would lead to safety. By printing unlimited amounts of money and thus doubling global debt, there is a general belief that the world has passed the dangers. But sadly that is not the case. We are still in very dangerous waters. 

.....continue reading HERE

....also from King World News:

What Is Happening In Gold, Bonds And Crude Oil Is Truly Stunning



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