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Asset protection

Elliott Wave Counts For Gold, SP500, & GDX

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Posted by Captain Ewave

on Wednesday, 21 February 2018 06:58

This analysis gives you the current position and expected future trend of Gold, the S&P500 and Gold stocks as represented by the GDX, a Gold Miners ETF which tracks the overall performance of companies involved in the gold mining industry.

The method of analysis used is the Ellliottwave theory, which measures the waves and cycles of individual markets or stocks. As Martin Armstrong says, everything is cycles, so this is a very good method of analysis invented by Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871–1948) and practiced by many including Jack Crooks to forecast movements. It is a complicated system, but fortunately this analyst does the work. The forecasts are fascinating. - Robert Zurrer for Money Talks: 

Gold: 

Short Term Update:

While we sold off a bit last night, the big picture on the daily chart is that wave ^ii^ is complete at the 1309.00 low and we now expect to rally sharply in wave ^iii^.

Click Chart For Full Size 

golde

Our first projection for the end of wave ^iii^ is: ^iii^ = 1.618^i^=1514.65.

We appear to have completed wave $i$ at 1364.40 and are now falling in wave $ii$. Our retracement levels for wave $ii$ are:

50% = 1336.70;

61.8% = 1330.20.

Upon completion of wave $ii$ we expect a  sharp rally in wave $iii$ that should break above resistance at the 1365.00/1377.00 level.

Trading Recommendation: Long gold. Use puts as stops.  

Active Positions: We are long, with puts as stops.

S&P500: 

Short Term Update:



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Asset protection

Frustrated With Your Financial Advisor?

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Posted by Andrew Ruhland

on Friday, 09 February 2018 15:01

From the Straight Talk for Financial Indepdendence series, Andrew Ruhland shares some strategies for moving forward when you realize your current advisor is no longer right for you.

andrewnumber6

 



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Asset protection

Jim Rogers says the next bear market will be ‘the worst in our lifetime’

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Posted by Jim Rogers

on Friday, 09 February 2018 10:28

MW-GD420 rogers 20180208225040 ZH-1We’re not there yet, but veteran investor Jim Rogers says the next bear market we see is going to be a doozy.

“When we have a bear market again, and we are going to have a bear market again, it will be the worst in our lifetime.”
Jim Rogers

That’s what the chairman of Rogers Holdings Inc. told Bloomberg News on Thursday.

“Debt is everywhere, and it’s much, much higher now,” he said, adding that he expects the current stock-market rout to continue, though he wouldn’t go so far as to say this was the start of a bear market, which is typically defined as a drop of 20% or more from a significant peak.

On Thursday, the S&P 500 SPX, -1.55%   and Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, -1.84%  officially entered correction territory, down more than 10% from recent highs.

Now 75, Rogers founded the Quantum Fund in 1973 with George Soros. The hedge fund famously gained 4,200% by 1980, compared to the S&P 500’s 47% return. Rogers has seen his share of bear markets, including the crash of 1987 (a 36% decline), the bursting of the dot-com bubble of 2000-’02 (a 38% drop) and the Great Recession of 2007-’09 (a 54% fall).

Read: Volatility shock wave has wiped $5.2 trillion from global markets, sent five sectors into correction territory

Rogers said the market may sputter for the next several weeks, rallying only after the Fed raises interest rates in March, as is expected.

This isn’t the first bear-market warning from Rogers in recent months.

In November, Rogers told MarketWatch columnist Michael Brush that the U.S. was “overdue” for a bear market, and predicted market turmoil within the next two years. Rogers said at the time he was light on U.S. stocks because he thought a bubble was forming, and that Japan, China and Russia offered better investment opportunities. He also warned to stay away from bitcoin: “It looks and smells like all the bubbles I have seen throughout history.”

In September, Rogers said the next bear market will be “horrendous, the worst” in an interview with RealVision TV



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Asset protection

Bob Hoye: Pivotal Events

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Posted by Bob Hoye - Institutional Advisors

on Friday, 09 February 2018 06:06

The following is part of Pivotal Events that was published for our subscribers February 1, 2018.

Perspective

"Rational Exuberance".

We started using the phrase in December 2016, because of the new Pro-Business Administration. On the big technical surges, we dropped the "Rational".

The DJIA zoom has reached a Weekly RSI of 92. As noted last week, the highest reached for the Nasdaq in the Dot-Com mania was 84.

Also, the Fibonacci has reached a possible target, built upon the major swings since the panic ended in March 2009.

Clearly, "Irrational Exuberance".

The NYXBT (NYSE Bitcoin Index) soared to 18732 in mid-December and the break is turning into a major hit. The index is at 9345 and the 20-Week ema is at 10125, which is a serious take out of support. Individual examples such as RIOT have been smashed.

The take away is that the sector accomplished a climax within our December-January window. This correction could lead to the Bitcoin bubble entering a long contraction. This would be the speculative part, as with RCA in the early 1930s, or Western Union Telegraph following the 1873 Bubble, the technology continued to advance while stock prices went down. Bitcoin and Blockchain technology will continue its phenomenal progress.

The ChartWorks reviewed the Qualcomm blow-off at the turn-of-the-year in the 2000 peak, and is updating it.

Retail Trade Is Back!

45035

  • Back in the late 1960s, we used to use the ratio between trading volume on the American Stock Exchange and the NYSE.
  • This kept track of the amount of trading on a speculative trading floor.
  • The ratio would soar to a peak in the overall stock markets.
  • Today's equivalent is soaring now.

Scandals and The Stock Market



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Asset protection

“I Expect Tomorrow Could Be Just As Bad If Not Worse Than Today Was”

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Posted by Bill Fleckenstein - King World News

on Tuesday, 06 February 2018 06:45

King-World-News-A-Devastating-Endgame-And-How-22They-All-Sold-At-The-Absolute-Bottom22-864x400 cBefore turning to the action I would like to put where we are in the “everything” bubble into perspective, as I had an insight this weekend, which everyone else may already have thought of, but it was new to me so I thought I would share it…

The Weakest Links…
When the stock bubble burst in March 2000, it was the most speculative elements with the highest imagination potential — i.e., the dot-com stocks — that signaled the end of the mania when they broke. Similarly, in the real estate bubble,

....continue reading HERE

 

...also from King World:

James Turk – Phase 2 Will Pave The Way For $11,000 Gold

 

 



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